- G2 and MAD Lions face off in the Winner’s Bracket Final on April 3rd, 2021
- Schalke 04 nearly shocked G2 in the opening round, before eventually losing in game five
- MAD Lions enter as +255 underdogs despite beating G2 in Week 8. Read below for our analysis on the matchup followed by our best bet
On April 3rd, either G2 Esports or MAD Lions will book their spot in the LEC Spring Playoff Final. As for the loser of the Winner’s Bracket Final, they’ll be dropped into the lower bracket and still have a shot of being the Spring champions. G2 Esports finished first during the regular season but just barely survived their first-round matchup against Schalke 04.
Let’s take a look at the odds for G2 versus MAD Lions.
LEC Spring Playoffs Winner’s Bracket Final Odds
|April 3, 2021||Map Handicap||Total Maps||Moneyline|
|G2 Esports||-1.5 -154||O 3.5 -313||-400|
|MAD Lions||+1.5 +105||U 3.5 +195||+255|
Odds as of April 2nd at Betway
G2 Still Heavily Favored
Entering the 2021 season, G2 was widely viewed as the strongest Western League of Legends team in the World. The odds back up that belief as they still have the best odds of winning the 2021 LoL World Championship of all Western teams.
Even without ‘PerkZ’, G2 continues to be the premier team in Europe, although they’ve faced some tough competition along the way. After paving their way to the first seed in Europe, G2 ran into a nail-biter in the first round of the playoffs. Schalke 04 wasn’t going to go down without putting up an incredible fight.
G2 Esports won the opening two games, making everyone think that the series would end in a brisk 3-0 sweep. Instead, Schalke 04 made it a series and ended up taking G2 all the way to a game five. Although G2 would close out the series, it was by no means a cakewalk. Despite MAD Lions having a couple of champions that scale well into the late-game, it was G2 that out-maneuvered Schalke with their seemingly un-killable composition.
That’s what makes G2 so dangerous. They have a willingness to play absolutely anything. ‘Rekkles’ is one of the best AD Carries in the World, and yet he has no issue being placed on a more support-oriented champion to help the team.
G2 can also surprise with some bizarre picks as they did in Week 5 with the Sona – Sion bottom lane. G2 has a way of beating you with both meta and off-meta picks, which is why they’re so difficult to overcome in a best-of-five.
The Upstart Underdogs
MAD Lions pulled off an impressive upset over a Rogue team that had put up a 14-4 record in the regular season just like G2 did. The upset was even more surprising considering that they limped into the playoffs winning just 1 of their previous four games. They had even dropped a game to the ninth-placed Astralis.
In the opening round of playoffs, the MAD Lions proved that they were still a dangerous team with high potential. Last year was their coming out party, but they’ve struggled to consistently piece together wins. Anytime a team has a new roster additions like MAD Lions had with Armut and Elyoya, it takes time to get back to that top level.
With the 3-1 win over Rogue, MAD Lions might be back on track. What makes them dangerous is that each and every member has the ability to carry the game. ‘Carzzy’, ‘Humanoid’, and ‘Armut’ all have carry potential. Even more importantly, ‘Kaiser’ is currently playing at a top-level at the support position. This showdown between G2 and MAD Lions could come down to who can make more plays between ‘Mikyx’ and ‘Kaiser’.
Even though MAD Lions took down the second seed in Rogue, G2 is still too much of a powerhouse to bet against here. I’ll take G2 Esports in four games.
Pick: G2 Esports (-400), O 3.5 (-313)