2019 PGA Tour US Open Odds & Picks: Koepka, Johnson, McIlroy, Woods & Spieth Listed as Top Contenders

Tiger Woods PGA Tour
Tiger Woods has the fourth-best odds to win the 2019 US Open. Photo from @ESPNStatsInfo (Twitter).
  • The US Open tees off Thursday, June 13th
  • Can Koepka win yet another major or will McIlroy make it two straight wins?
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious

The third major championship of the season is already here with the US Open heading back to famed Pebble Beach Golf Links. Having won the PGA Championship last month and the last two US Opens, it’s no surprise that Brooks Koepka is the betting favorite.

He’ll have a slew of other top notch players to contend with, namely Rory McIlroy who just blitzed the field at the RBC Canadian Open, Tiger Woods who won the 2000 Open by 15 strokes at Pebble, and Dustin Johnson who’s been runner-up in the year’s first two majors.

2019 US Open Odds

Golfer 2019 US Open Odds at Sportsbook 1 2019 US Open Odds at Sportsbook 2
Brooks Koepka +650 +700
Dustin Johnson +750 +800
Rory McIlroy +900 +900
Tiger Woods +1100 +1000
Jordan Spieth +1600 +1600
Patrick Cantlay +1800 +1800
Justin Rose +2000 +1800
Justin Thomas +2200 +2200
Rickie Fowler +2200 +2200
Jon Rahm +2500 +2200
Jason Day +2500 +2200
Xander Schauffele +2500 +2500
Adam Scott +2800 +2500
Francesco Molinari +2800 +2500
Bryson DeChambeau +3300 +2500

*Odds taken 06/09/19. Follow the link in the table above to see all betting options.

Before Koepka won the PGA Championship, Tiger Woods was sporting the best US Open odds.

Expect Tiger Woods to Play Well at US Open

Tiger Woods has been very unpredictable at the first two majors this season, winning the Masters but then surprisingly missing the cut at the PGA Championship at Bethpage Black, a venue he won at before.

Woods is coming off a solid T-9 showing at the Memorial, where he hit every fairway and green on the front nine of a tournament for the first time in a decade. He’s striking the ball well, which bodes well for Pebble. The potential issue is a putter that is scalding hot sometimes and then ice cold others.

Tiger Woods Strokes Gained Ranks This Season

Stat Ranking
Total Strokes Gained 7th
Around the Green 8th
Tee to Green 9th
Approach the Green 13th
Off The Tee 71st
Putting 73rd

Don’t bank on a repeat performance of a missed cut at a major by Woods. Only in 2015 (when he was dealing with injury issues) has he missed multiple cuts in a row at the majors.

Tiger Woods is a worthwhile bet this week at +1100.

Will Brooks Koepka Ever Stop Winning Majors?

Brooks Koepka has been on an unbelievable tear, racking up four majors in the last eight he’s teed it up in. Without question, he’s an auto bet again this week, despite the really short odds that aren’t overly enticing.

His only start after winning the PGA Championship was at the RBC Canadian Open, where he underwhelmed, finishing 50th.

Don’t get caught up in the result, however, because he admitted that he didn’t care how he did in the tournament as long as he worked on some aspects of his game heading into the US Open.

Brooks Koepka’s Last 8 Majors

Tournament Result
2019 PGA Championship WIN
2019 Masters T-2nd
2018 PGA Championship WIN
2018 Open Championship T-39th
2018 U.S. Open WIN
2017 PGA Championship T-13th
2017 Open Championship T-6th
2017 U.S. Open WIN

If you want to reference history to explain how Koepka won’t win the US Open, you can point to the fact that only one other golfer in the history of the game has won three straight US Open’s (Willie Anderson 1903-05).

But bet against Koepka at your peril, because it’s unfathomable that he won’t be at least in the mix come Sunday.

Rory McIlroy Coming Off Sizzling Victory in Canada

Rory McIlroy dominated the field at the RBC Canadian Open to the tune of his fourth career PGA Tour victory of at least seven strokes.

He flirted with a 59 before a final hole bogey ended those hopes, but he’s in complete control of his game a week after missing the cut at the Memorial.

After two good-not-great results in the majors this year, it seems that Rory will at least be in the battle come Sunday.

Keep in mind, however, that if he doesn’t start quickly he won’t win, at least historically. Of his four career major titles, he hasn’t shot worse than 5-under in the opening round.

Last 5 US Open Champions

Year Winner
2018 Brooks Koepka
2017 Brooks Koepka
2016 Dustin Johnson
2015 Jordan Spieth
2014 Martin Kaymer

2019 PGA US Open Best Value Picks

  1. Tony Finau (+3300): Four top ten finishes in last six majors. Contending in the big events more and more the last few years and has solid all around game fit for Pebble Beach.
  2. Brandt Snedeker (+4500): Two-time winner at Pebble Beach (2013, 2015) who is coming off a strong T-4th result at the RBC Canadian Open. Second in strokes gained around the green & 8th in putting this season.
  3. Graeme McDowell (+8000): Winner the last time the Open visited Pebble (2010). Has a victory on tour this season in the Dominican and coming off a T-8th finish at the RBC Canadian Open. 5th in putting this year.
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