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SBD’s 2021 PGA Championship Expert Picks

Mitch Robson

by Mitch Robson in Golf

May 19, 2021 · 1:37 PM PDT

PGA Championship
Justin Rose, left, of England, and Cameron Champ, middle, walk to the 14th green during a practice round at the PGA Championship golf tournament on the Ocean Course Wednesday, May 19, 2021, in Kiawah Island, S.C. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
  • SBD’s editorial staff have you covered with some picks to make for the 2021 PGA Championship
  • Along with our picks to win, see some of the favorite props on our cards
  • Check out the best bets and analysis in the article below

Major championship golf returns to our television screens this weekend, with the PGA Championship from the Ocean Course on Kiawah Island, SC.

Rory McIlroy is the favorite in his return to the course he won by a whopping eight strokes on in 2012, while plenty of players from the across the globe could fare well on this coastal, links style venue.

With the deepest field in golf competing, some of SBD’s editors give you a couple of picks they are on this week and should consider adding to your card!

2021 PGA Championship Expert Picks

Prop Mitch Robson Ryan Metivier Ryan Sura
Outright Winner Abraham Ancer (+5000) Xander Schauffele (+1700) Matt Fitzpatrick (+6000)
Best Bet Tony Finau Top 10 (+450) Viktor Hovland Top 20 (+110) Thomas Pieters Top 20 (+450)

All odds of May 19th at DraftKings

Ryan Sura

Matt Fizpatrick Finally Gets It Done

Matt Fitzpatrick has been one of the more consistent golfers on Tour this season without a win. The Englishman has four Top 10’s and seven Top 25’s. Kiawah Island is one of the longest golf courses the PGA will play at almost 7,900 yards. Fitzpatrick isn’t the longest hitter by any means, but he strikes the ball really well.


This season, Fitzpatrick is 16th in Strokes Gained: Total, 16th in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, and he’s 17th in Strokes Gained: Putting. It’s also supposed to be extremely windy over the weekend, which plays to Fitzpatrick’s advantage. At 60/1, Fitzpatrick offers great value to win his first-ever major.

Bombing Belgian for a Top 20

Thomas Pieters is a BIG bomber. The Belgian golfer has only played five events in the US this season but he boasts one Top 10 and four Top 25’s in those starts. He finished tied-23rd at the 2020 US Open, which shows he has the ability to place well in majors.


It’s a longshot as he is 175/1 to win the whole thing at DraftKings, but this Top 20 offers great value. His length gives him an advantage, and he’s used to playing in tough conditions on the European Tour. Give the Belgium native a shot at Kiawah Island.

Mitch Robson

Abe is the Ancer

I’m not a fan of the pricing among top players (although if DJ reaches 20-1 I could be tempted), so my pick to win is from the next tier with Abraham Ancer at +5000.

A phenomenal iron player, Ancer ranks inside the top 35 in key strokes gained categories for this week on the Pete Dye design: tee to green, approaching the green and off-the-tee.

He also comes in red hot, having nearly stole Rory’s win away at Wells Fargo en route to solo second, and has finished every event he’s played inside the top 30 since February. I think this is the week he gets both his first Tour win, and does it in style a major championship.

Top Ten Tony

Finau’s inability to close out tournaments and win has been said so many times, so I won’t bore you with the details – but he’s a machine to sit inside the top ten at major championships.

He’s finished in the top 10 at five of his last seven majors, and although he’s been up-and-down recently – he plays his best in the biggest events. Lay it and laugh.

Ryan Metivier

X-Man Breaks Through

The tour’s fourth-ranked golfer is coming off a 14th place finish at Wells Fargo, but a third-place showing at the Masters just last month. He’s missed just one cut all season, has finished second three times and has six top 5 finishes.

During the 2021 season he ranks second to only Bryson DeChambeau in total strokes-gained and also third in scoring average.

Hovland Gets a Top 20

Hovland has been a model of consistency in the 2021 season. Over 14 events he’s finished in the top 20 on nine occasions, while finishing 21st in another.

But really a bet on top 20 could even be viewed as conservative, when you consider he’s off back-to-back third place finishes and has six top 5 finishes, including a win at the Mayakoba Golf Classic to his name this season.

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