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European Tour Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Odds

Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson was the PGA Player of the Year in 2016. Photo by Omar Rawlings (flickr) [CC License].
  • Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka headline a strong Abu Dhabi field
  • Tommy Fleetwood is the two-time defending champion
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious

Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka headline a deep field for the 2019 European Tour opener at the Abu Dhabi Golf Club from January 16th-19th that also features two-time defending champion Tommy Fleetwood.

This event kicks off the eight-event Rolex Series so the prize purse has been elevated from $3 million last year to a whopping $7 million this go around.

2019 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Odds

Golfer Odds to Win 2019 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship at Bovada (01/15/19)
Dustin Johnson +600
Brooks Koepka +900
Tommy Fleetwood +1000
Henrik Stenson +1600
Louis Oosthuizen +2000
Tyrrell Hatton +2000
Thomas Pieters +2200
Rafael Cabrera Bello +2800
Thorbjorn Olesen +2800
Branden Grace +3300

*Follow the link in the table to see all options

Dustin Johnson Better Positioned to Win than Koepka

Choosing between these two golfers is like being picky over a Rolls Royce and a Ferrari – they’re both incredible. Of these two, however, DJ has the better course history. Two top tens in the last two years, including a tie for second in 2017. Koepka has played just once, way back in 2014 where he missed the cut. You can’t go wrong with either pick, but Johnson is the safer selection.

Thomas Pieters’ Last 5 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Results

Year Result
2018 T-5th
2017 MC
2016 2nd
2015 T-4th
2014 MC

It’s either boom or bust for Thomas Pieters at this tournament the last five years – three top five finishes and two missed cuts. After racking up three victories and starring for the 2016 European Ryder Cup team he surprisingly hasn’t tasted individual victory since. Which Pieters’ will show up this week?

However, the long hitting Belgian teamed with Thomas Detry to win the World Cup of Golf in November and posted three straight top 18 finishes before that. At +2200 he deserves strong consideration.

Last 5 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Winners

Year Winner
2018 Tommy Fleetwood
2017 Tommy Fleetwood
2016 Rickie Fowler
2015 Gary Stal
2014 Pablo Larrazabal

There are just some events that have horses for courses and this one is no exception. Tommy Fleetwood has dominated the last two years, defeating DJ and Pablo Larrazabal by a stroke in 2017, and besting Ross Fisher by two last year. That makes up half of his European Tour win total.

There’s a reason the unflappable Englishmen is the third betting favorite this week. But it’s a tall order to three-peat as champion anywhere.

2019 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Best Value Picks

  1. Martin Kaymer (+4500): Amazingly hasn’t won since his dominant eight stroke victory at the 2014 US Open, but has won this event three times (2008, 2010, 2011)
  2. Eddie Pepperell (+6600): Won twice last year, most recently in October. Four top tens in his last seven events. Hasn’t been particularly strong here in the past, but neither was Fleetwood before winning twice in a row.
  3. Andy Sullivan (+8000): Left out of the money just once in 26 events last season, resulting in eight top tens. Won three times in 2015, so capable of torrid play.
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Michael Harrison came into this world an immediate sports fan, thanks to his grandfather's influence. He brings with him 12 years in the sports industry having worked for various shows at TSN. He is a diehard Seahawks fan and will defend Pete Carroll's decision-making abilities to the bitter end.