- H2H Matchup odds are live for the FedEx St. Jude Championship which begins on Thursday, August 10
- Lucas Glover hasn’t finished higher than 39th in an elevated event this season, missing six of eight cuts
- Check out the FedEx St. Jude Championship H2H picks and odds below
The race for the FedEx Cup begins on Thursday, as players make their way to TPC Southwind for the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Unlike previous postseasons that started with the top-125 players on Tour, this year’s playoff field has already been trimmed to 70.
Lucas Glover is among those remaining players, and enters play fresh off a win at the Wyndham Championship. Glover has played marvellous golf over the last five weeks, but all versus subpar competition. As we’ll examine, he’s performed horribly in the strongest fields of the season, making him a target to pick on in the 72-hole head-to-head matchup market.
FedEx St. Jude Championship H2H Odds
Glover currently boasts identical -110 odds as his matchup opponent Emiliano Grillo. The two are +7500 and +7000 respectively in the FedEx St. Jude Championship outright odds, but unlike Glover, Grillo has performed quite well at the toughest tests of the season.
Glover vs Grillo H2H Prediction
Grillo finished sixth at the Open Championship, and 15th at the Travellers. He missed the cut at the U.S. Open, but made the weekend at the Memorial after winning the Charles Schwab the previous week. The Argentinian finished 23rd at Wells Fargo and seventh at the RBC Heritage, while also making the cut at API and the Genesis Invitational.
Why we love golf. ❤️
While waiting for a playoff, Emiliano Grillo let two young fans join him on the first tee to take some swings. pic.twitter.com/sCaTWAAza9
— Golf Digest (@GolfDigest) May 28, 2023
He ranks 19th in the field in iron play over the last 36 rounds, and top-18 in putting and scoring. Glover on the other hand, made just two of eight cuts in elevated events in 2023. He didn’t post a finish better than 39th in any of those events, and his recent hot streak has all come at birdie fests.
Including his win last week, he’s posted four top-five results in his last five starts. The problem is, each of those finishes came at courses with a winning score north of -20. TPC Southwind will provide a much stiffer test, and we shouldn’t be surprised if Glover comes out flat, still caught up in the whirlwind of last week’s victory.
Pick: Emiliano Grillo Over Lucas Glover (-110)
Todd vs Theegala Prediction
The next player we’re backing is Brendon Todd versus Sahith Theegala. He’s posted two top-seven results in his last three starts, and as the owner of one of the best short games in the field, he should be able to grind out plenty of par saves if things get extremely tough.
Sahith Theegala Last Three Starts
Theegala on the other hand, sports some of the worst form in the field. He’s missed each of his last three cuts, and has zero top-25 finishes since mid-April. He’s lost strokes to the field in five of his past nine starts, and has gained strokes ball striking only twice in his last six measured tournaments.
Pick: Brendon Todd Over Sahith Theegala (-110)
Hatton vs Schauffele Prediction
Our final selection will be Tyrrell Hatton over Xander Schauffele. Both have excellent short and long term form, with the slight edge going to Hatton. The Englishman is priced at much juicier +100 odds however, making him an easy selection.
Strokes gained leaders from 2022-23 PGA Tour regular season
Jon Rahm: +2.78
Scottie Scheffler: +2.76
Rory McIlroy: +2.53
Patrick Cantlay: +2.17
Xander Schauffele: +2.15
Tyrrell Hatton: +1.87
Rickie Fowler: +1.84
Viktor Hovland: +1.75
Collin Morikawa: +1.70
Tony Finau: +1.63
— Patrick McDonald (@AmateurStatus) August 8, 2023
Hatton has played 15 PGA Tour sanctioned events in 2023, finishing outside the top-20 just four times. He’s racked up seven-top six results, and arguably should have won multiple times along the way. Hatton ranks 12th in the field in ball striking over the last 36 rounds, 10th in strokes gained tee-to-green, and fourth in scoring.
Schauffele meanwhile, hasn’t finished inside the top-10 since early May. He’s finished 46th or worse at this event three times in the last five years, with only one result inside the top-25.
Pick: Tyrrell Hatton Over Xander Schauffele (+100)