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Fortinet Championship Odds, Picks & Predictions 2023

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Sep 11, 2023 · 10:02 AM PDT

Max Homa watching a tee shot
Aug 26, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Max Homa plays his shot from the fourth tee during the third round of the TOUR Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Fortinet Championship from Napa, California tees off Thursday, September 14th
  • Two-time defending champion Max Homa is the +750 favorite over Justin Thomas
  • See the 2023 Fortinet Championship odds, picks, and best value bets below

If you blinked you might’ve missed the PGA Tour off-season, with the 2023-24 wraparound campaign starting after a two-week break. The Fortinet Championship gets things started, with a pair of golfers who will be competing in the upcoming Ryder Cup teeing it up.

One of those two is Max Homa, who is looking to become the first golfer since Steve Stricker (2009-11 John Deere Classic) to win the same tournament three consecutive years. Last year he won in dramatic fashion on the 72nd hole over Danny Willett with a chip-in, followed by a three-putt by Willett to hand Homa the trophy.

Justin Thomas, who didn’t qualify for the FedEx Cup Playoffs, is competing for the first time since narrowly missing the postseason at the Wyndham Championship. Going low is imperative for success at the Fortinet, with all 16 winners in the event’s history shooting double digit under par scores en route to the title.

2023 Fortinet Championship Odds

Golfers Odds
Max Homa +750
Justin Thomas +1400
Sahith Theegala +1800
Cam Davis +2200
Stephan Jaeger +2500
Brendon Todd +3500
Beau Hossler +3500
J.J. Spaun +3500
Eric Cole +3500
Lucas Herbert +3500
Andrew Putnam +4000
Webb Simpson +4500
Justin Suh +4500
Alex Noren +4500
Akshay Bhatia +4500
Matt Kuchar +4500
Chez Reavie +4500
Mark Hubbard +5000
Nick Hardy +5000
Taylor Montgomery +5000

The betting favorite is Max Homa, who has made the Silverado Country Club in Napa, California his personal playground, taking back-to-back titles. Justin Thomas is the second choice, after he barely missed the postseason. He’s had success at this event, with three career top-10’s. Sahith Theegala, Cam Davis and Stephan Jaeger round out the top-five. Of those three, only Davis has a PGA Tour title to his credit.

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Cam Davis Primed For Second Victory

Big hitting Australian Cam Davis had a strong 2022-23 season, posting six top-10’s. That includes three in a row to get him to the FedEx Cup Playoffs and allow him to advance to the second leg, the BMW Championship. In those three tourneys, his worst round was a 70.

Cam Davis’ Strokes Gained Stats In Last 24 Rounds

Tee-To-Green Total Ball Striking Around-The-Green Approach Off-The-Tee
2 4 5 10 13 19

Davis broke through into the winner’s circle at the 2021 Rocket Mortgage Classic. Given that he had two great finishes in elite tournaments (T-4th PGA Championship, T-6th Players Championship), and the lack of plenty of top-end talent this week, his +2200 odds to win presents solid value. Those odds are longer than the top-three golfers on the board.

Past Five Fortinet Championship Winners

Year Winner
2022 Max Homa
2021 Max Homa
2020 Stewart Cink
2019 Cameron Champ
2018 Kevin Tway

2023 Fortinet Championship Picks and Value Bets

  1. Beau Hossler (+3500): Beau Hossler continues to search for his first PGA Tour victory, and he’s been showing signs that he could get over the finish line soon. In his last five starts, he’s been 26th or better four times, highlighted by a T-6th at the Barracuda Championship. He’s also been inside the top-25 the last three times he’s played the Fortinet, ranking second in putting and third in total strokes gained in that timeframe.
  2. Doug Ghim (+5000): Doug Ghim had a solid, if unspectacular, end to the campaign, with seven top-35 results in his last nine times teeing it up. During that span, he was first in SG: tee-to-green, second in ball striking and third in total strokes gained, of those competing.
  3. Cameron Champ (+6000): This is the time of year that Cameron Champ excels, having won two of his three titles to begin the wraparound season, including the 2019 Fortinet Championship (and 2018 Sanderson Farms). In his last twelve rounds at Silverado CC, Champ ranks first in strokes gained: off-the-tee, and third tee-to-green. He’s a very boom or bust type player who will be intriguing in the top 10/20 markets.
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