Justin Rose’s Odds Keep on Slipping as 2019 US Open Approaches

• Justin Rose won the 2013 US Open
• Justin Thomas won the 2017 PGA Championship
• Both golfers have the same odds, despite the stats showing Thomas is the much better bet this weekend at Pebble Beach
  

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Justin Rose won the US Open back in 2013, but the latest US Open odds indicate that bookmakers don’t love his chances of adding another trophy to his mantle this week at Pebble Beach.

2019 US Open Odds

*Odds taken 06/12/19

Does Rose have a chance? Sure. Technically anyone putting a peg in the ground this week has a chance, but if I was you I’d be looking elsewhere with my hard earned cash.

That one time Justin Timberlake almost made a hole-in-one at Pebble Beach while Justin Rose was taking a selfie 😂pic.twitter.com/y0iAyFP6Gx

— Golf Digest (@GolfDigest) June 11, 2019

Rose Better Bet to Miss the Cut?

There’s very little pointing in a positive direction for Rose this week. He’s played in three tournaments over the last month finishing 13th, T58 and T29. Looking deeper, his chances actually get worse. His shots gained around the green rank 114th on tour, he’s 156th in driving distance, and 118th in greens in regulation. In short, he drives it short and is struggling to hit greens. At Pebble Beach, missing greens will be absolutely killer this week.

Here's what the players can expect next week at Pebble. 😱

📽️: IG/Patrick Cantlay pic.twitter.com/Ld1Ps4Rlmc

— George Savaricas (@GeorgeSavaricas) June 6, 2019

Rose is in poor form and nothing he’s done lately makes me comfortable betting money on him. If you want to buy the lottery ticket feel free, but I’m turning my focus elsewhere.

Could Justin Thomas Win His 2nd Major?

Justin Thomas won the PGA Championship in 2017. Is he a real threat to win at Pebble Beach this weekend? He’s +2800 just like Rose, but I like his chances much more.

Justin Thomas is hitting 72.1% of greens this year which is fourth best on tour and his 4.72 birdies per round is first.

Thomas is hitting 72.1% of greens this year which is fourth best on tour and his 4.72 birdies per round is first.  Thomas hits greens and makes birdies, which will be at a premium in this tournament. Thomas is also fifth in shots gained tee to green, which will be especially helpful with the small surfaces on this golf course. All of these numbers point to Thomas being a solid bet.

The century-long story of Pebble Beach begins with a man named Samuel Finley Brown Morse. #USOpen pic.twitter.com/YESim3jFUF

— U.S. Open (@usopengolf) June 12, 2019

He’s healthy and all the stats point to Thomas being in contention. There’s reason to love the favorites in Brooks Koepka and Rory McIlroy, but if you’re looking for a little more bang for your buck, I’d put some money on Thomas.