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Justin Rose’s Odds Keep on Slipping as 2019 US Open Approaches

Justin Rose
Oddsmakers aren't high on Justin Rose leading up to the 2019 US Open. Photo by @everybodygolf1 (Twitter)
  • Justin Rose won the 2013 US Open
  • Justin Thomas won the 2017 PGA Championship
  • Both golfers have the same odds, despite the stats showing Thomas is the much better bet this weekend at Pebble Beach

Justin Rose won the US Open back in 2013, but the latest US Open odds indicate that bookmakers don’t love his chances of adding another trophy to his mantle this week at Pebble Beach.

2019 US Open Odds

Golfer 2019 US Open Odds at Bovada
Brooks Koepka +900
Dustin Johnson +900
Rory McIlroy +900
Tiger Woods +1100
Patrick Cantlay +1800
Jordan Spieth +2200
Xander Schauffele +2500
Jon Rahm +2800
Justin Rose +2800
Justin Thomas +2800
Rickie Fowler +2800

*Odds taken 06/12/19

Does Rose have a chance? Sure. Technically anyone putting a peg in the ground this week has a chance, but if I was you I’d be looking elsewhere with my hard earned cash.

Rose Better Bet to Miss the Cut?

There’s very little pointing in a positive direction for Rose this week. He’s played in three tournaments over the last month finishing 13th, T58 and T29. Looking deeper, his chances actually get worse. His shots gained around the green rank 114th on tour, he’s 156th in driving distance, and 118th in greens in regulation. In short, he drives it short and is struggling to hit greens. At Pebble Beach, missing greens will be absolutely killer this week.

Rose is in poor form and nothing he’s done lately makes me comfortable betting money on him. If you want to buy the lottery ticket feel free, but I’m turning my focus elsewhere.

Could Justin Thomas Win His 2nd Major?

Justin Thomas won the PGA Championship in 2017. Is he a real threat to win at Pebble Beach this weekend? He’s +2800 just like Rose, but I like his chances much more.

Justin Thomas is hitting 72.1% of greens this year which is fourth best on tour and his 4.72 birdies per round is first.

Thomas is hitting 72.1% of greens this year which is fourth best on tour and his 4.72 birdies per round is first.  Thomas hits greens and makes birdies, which will be at a premium in this tournament. Thomas is also fifth in shots gained tee to green, which will be especially helpful with the small surfaces on this golf course. All of these numbers point to Thomas being a solid bet.

He’s healthy and all the stats point to Thomas being in contention. There’s reason to love the favorites in Brooks Koepka and Rory McIlroy, but if you’re looking for a little more bang for your buck, I’d put some money on Thomas.

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