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Live WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational Odds Entering Round 3: Matthew Fitzpatrick Listed as the Favorite

Matthew Fitzpatrick
Matthew Fitzpatrick has a two stroke lead over four players, and is the slight betting favorite ahead of Jon Rahm to take down the prestigious WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational. Photo from @GolfCentral (Twitter)
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick has a two stroke lead over Patrick Cantlay, Jon Rahm and two others after 36 holes at the WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational
  • Brooks Koepka and Justin Rose are tied for 7th, four strokes back, while Rory McIIroy is five shots of the lead
  • See the live updated odds entering Round 3 at the WGC FeEx St. Jude Invitational

The best golfers on the planet are in Memphis this week for the WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational, and after 36 holes an unlikely name is at the top of the leaderboard.

Matthew Fitzpatrick has a two stroke lead over four players, and is the slight betting favorite ahead of Jon Rahm to take down the prestigious WGC event.

Live 2019 WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational Odds

Golfer Position Score Rounds Odds at Book 1 Odds at Book 2
Matthew Fitzpatrick 1 -9 67, 64 +450 +500
Jon Rahm T-2 -7 62, 71 +500 +500
Patrick Cantlay T-2 -7 65, 68 +550 +600
Cameron Smith T-2 -7 65, 68 +1400 +1400
Billy Horschel T-2 -7 67, 66 +800 +1000
Shugo Imahira 6 -6 65, 69 +2800 +2800
Alex Noren T-7 -5 66, 69 +5000 +5000
Webb Simpson T-7 -5 69, 66 +2000 +2200
Ian Poulter T-7 -5 66, 69 +5000 +5000
Justin Rose T-7 -5 67, 68 +1600 +1600
Brooks Koepka T-7 -5 68, 67 +900 +1000
Bubba Watson T-7 -5 65, 70 +2500 +6600
Henrik Stenson T-13 -4 69, 67 +4000 +3300
Rory Mcllroy T-13 -4 69, 67 +1600 +1400
Hideki Matsuyama T-13 -4 65, 71 +2800 +2800

*Odds taken July 26 at 9pm EST.

One of the most significant trends to pay attention to this week is the fact that WGC events are typically won by the best players in the world. 11 of the past 16 WGC winners have been major Champions and nine of those winners are ranked inside the top-15 in the World Golf Rankings.

Top of the Board

Unfortunately for Fitzpatrick, he doesn’t meet either criteria. He’s never won on North American soil, and although he does have five European Tour wins to his credit, he has just one top-5 finish on the PGA Tour in 51 events. This week, he’s doing a lot of his damage with the putter, gaining over four strokes on the field, which seems unsustainable since he hasn’t gained that much on PGA Tour greens since the Wyndham Championship last August.

He’s a fine player, but he’s nowhere near the scorer that the guys behind him are, and he’ll have a tough time holding off the best players in the world through two more rounds.

Rose is Ready to Win Again

As mentioned prior to the start of the tournament, Justin Rose is playing superb golf and after great performances at The Open and U.S. Open, he finds himself in the mix again this week. Rose leads the field in strokes gained approach and ball striking, and if wasn’t for some shoddy around the green play, he’d be neck and neck with Fitzpatrick through 36 holes.

He has two career WGC victories, and is both a Major Champion and top-5 player in the world, making him a perfect fit for the criteria we’re looking for. +1600 is a great price for someone who can erase a four shot deficit very quickly.

Favorite Live Value Picks at the WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational

  1. Brooks Koepka (+1000): He says he only cares about winning Majors, but with over $1.8 million up for grabs, you can bet he’s plenty motivated this week. He ranks top-9 in ball striking and putting this week which suggests low rounds are coming.
  2. Justin Thomas (+3300): His approach game has been next level awesome since returning from a wrist injury and this week has been no exception. He’s gained four strokes on the field already in that metric, and is historically one of the best scorers on tour
  3. Bubba Waston (+6600): This is a play to pick on a bad number more than anything. Watson is listed at +2500, but +6600 elsewhere. That price is way too high given his pedigree and the fact that he’s only five shots back.
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