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McIlroy Still Favored to Win 2019 Wells Fargo Championship Despite Trailing Dufner By 5 Strokes

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Mar 23, 2020 · 3:06 PM PDT

Rory McIlroy PGA Tour
Rory McIlroy trails Jason Dufner by five strokes heading into the third round of the 2019 Wells Fargo Championship. Photo from @GolfDigest (Twitter).
  • 2013 PGA Champion Jason Dufner leads the Wells Fargo Championship after 36 holes
  • Big names lurking behind Dufner including McIlroy, Rose, Reed and Day
  • See the updated live odds entering Saturday of the 2019 Wells Fargo Championship

Through 36 holes at the Wells Fargo Championship, Jason Dufner leads a pair of unheralded Americans by one shot after a sizzling second round 63.

Interestingly, there’s separation from the top three golfers to the rest of the field, so despite the fact Rory McIlroy and Patrick Reed are in a tie for fourth, they find themselves five shots behind, with defending champ Jason Day and Justin Rose a further shot back.

Updated 2019 Wells Fargo Championship Odds Entering 3rd Round

Golfer Position Score Rounds Odds at Sportsbook 1 Odds at Sportsbook 2
Jason Dufner 1st -11 68, 63 +400 +450
Joel Dahmen T-2nd -10 66, 66 +400 +450
Max Homa T-2nd -10 69, 63 +1000 +1000
Rory McIlroy T-4th -6 66, 70 +350 +350
Patrick Reed T-4th -6 67, 69 +1200 +1200
Jason Day T-6th -5 68, 69 +1000 +1000
Justin Rose T-6th -5 70, 67 +1000 +1000
Pat Perez T-6th -5 69, 68 +4000 +4000
Seamus Power T-6th -5 69, 68 +5000 +5000

Odds taken May 3rd.

McIlroy No Stranger to Weekend Heroics at Quail Hollow

If you took our pre-tournament advice and bet on Rory McIlroy,  you received better odds than what he’s sitting at right now. The Ulsterman finds himself five strokes back of Jason Dufner, but going low on the weekend en route to victory on this track is Rory’s move.

When he tasted victory for the first time on the PGA Tour in 2010, it was with a final round 62. Then, when he emerged victorious again in 2015, the Northern Irishman carded a blistering 61 on the Saturday.

Heading into moving day this go around, expect more fireworks from Rory.

Jason Dufner Comes Out of Nowhere to Lead After 36 Holes

If you said you predicted The Duff Man would contend for the title this week you’re either the world’s greatest liar or you’re….still the world’s greatest liar.

2024 PGA Championship Odds: Track the Favorites to Win at Valhalla Golf Club
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At the beginning of the week, he was a whopping +25000 to earn his sixth career PGA Tour title. To say he’s been having a rough year would be an understatement.

Jason Dufner’s Last Ten Tournaments

Tournament Result
Zurich Classic of New Orleans CUT
RBC Heritage T-63rd
Valspar Championship CUT
Players Championship T-74th
Arnold Palmer Invitational CUT
Honda Classic T-75th
Genesis Open CUT
Desert Classic CUT
Sony Open in Hawaii T-73rd
RSM Classic CUT

Where does this strong play come from at the Wells Fargo Championship? Your guess is as good as Dufner’s.

Despite leading, his odds are too short and his recent form is so poor that it’s not prudent to bet on him. But at least we have an opportunity for more Dufnering!

Best Live Value Picks at 2019 Wells Fargo Championship

  1. Jason Day (+1000): Defending champ at this event. Four top-5 finishes on tour this season. Third in strokes gained tee to green through two rounds.
  2. Patrick Reed (+1200): Runner-up on this course at 2017 PGA Championship. Posted strong eighth place showing last year at this tournament. Tied second fewest bogeys this week with only two.
  3. Aaron Wise (+6600): Longshot with big upside. Sits at 3-under, eight shots back. Was runner-up in spirited effort last year here. Tied second for most birdies in event with eleven already.
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