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Odds to Make Cut at 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in Golf

Aug 10, 2022 · 6:33 AM PDT

Gary Woodland hangs his head
Jun 19, 2022; Brookline, Massachusetts, USA; Gary Woodland reacts after playing his shot from the sixth tee during the final round of the U.S. Open golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
  • You can bet on which golfers will make and miss the cut at the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship
  • Which favorites might be heading home early? Will anyone off the radar reach the weekend?
  • See the odds to make and miss the cut for the top players at the FedEx St. Jude Championship

The start of the PGA Tour postseason is upon us which means gigantic prize pools and smaller fields. The first leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs begins at TPC Southwind with the FedEx St. Jude Championship, and it will see just 122 players tee it up starting Thursday.

That means roughly just 46% of the field will miss the cut this week. As a result, oddsmakers have shortened the odds for a golfer to make the cut, but lengthened the price for a player to trunk slam.

Odds to Make and Miss Cut at FedEx St. Jude Championship

Golfer Odds to Make the Cut Odds to Miss the Cut
Rory McIlroy -1600 +700
Patrick Cantlay -900 +500
Xander Schauffele -750 +450
Scottie Scheffler -750 +450
Matthew Fitzpatrick -750 +450
Justin Thomas -750 +450
Jon Rahm -650 +400
Will Zalatoris -550 +350
Tony Finau -550 +350
Sungjae Im -425 +275
Sam Burns -425 +275
Jordan Spieth -425 +275
Billy Horschel -425 +275
Shane Lowry -380 +260
Viktor Hovland -360 +250
Collin Morikawa -360 +250
Cam Young -360 +250
Tyrrell Hatton -360 +240
Max Homa -340 +240
Joaquin Niemann -320 +225
Joohyung Kim -320 +225
Russell Henley -295 +210
Seamus Power -295 +210
Corey Conners -295 +210
Adam Scott -215 +160
Gary Woodland -200 +150

Odds as of August 10th at DraftKings Sportsbook

That’s opened up value in the betting market, and we’re looking to capitalize by targeting another poor performance from Gary Woodland.


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Woodland’s Struggles Continue

The former US Open champ has missed back-to-back cuts entering this week, and has trunk slammed four times in his past six starts. His ball striking has completely abandoned him, especially his iron play. Woodland has lost multiple strokes on approach in three of his past four measured starts.

Gary Woodland – Last Six Starts

Event Result SG Total
Rocket Mortgage Classic MC -0.3
Open Championship MC -5.6
Genesis Scottish Open 30th N/A
U.S. Open 10th +10.4
The Memorial MC -3.1
Charles Schwab MC -3.5

Strokes gained approach has typically been a category Woodland excels in and it’s an absolute necessity to be striking your irons well at TPC Southwind. The course is tight and littered with water everywhere you look. If you’re spraying the ball all over the track, you simply won’t be around for the weekend.

Also working against Woodland is a poor history at this course. He’s played TPC Southwind six times over the past 13 years, failing to make the cut twice, and finishing 57th and 55th in his last two trips. Keep in mind, those two most recent results occurred when the St. Jude stop on Tour was played as a WGC with just a 70-man field.

Pick: Gary Woodland to Miss Cut (+150)

FedEx St. Jude Championship Make the Cut Parlay

Let’s shift our attention now to players who will be around on the weekend. Billy Horschel was one of our main targets in our sleepers and longshots article, as he’s finished inside the top-10 fives times in his past eight starts at TPC Southwind.

Let’s pair him with Shane Lowry, the fourth ranked iron player in this field over the past 50 rounds, and Viktor Hovland who’s fresh off a fourth place Open Championship performance.

We can’t overlook Corey Conners, who gained 8.1 strokes with his ball striking at the Wyndham Championship last week, or Russell Henley who leads the field in strokes gained approach over the past 50 rounds.

Let’s round it out with Seamus Power, who’s placed 12th and 27th at TPC Southwind back when it was a traditional stroke play event, and Max Homa who’s won twice on Tour already this season.

Add it all up and we’re looking at a +524 payday if all seven golfers sneak through the cutline

Pick: Make the Cut Parlay (+524)

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