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Odds to Make Cut at 2022 PGA Championship

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in Golf

May 18, 2022 · 6:09 AM PDT

Abraham Ancer looking confused
Apr 6, 2022; Augusta, Georgia, USA; Abraham Ancer reacts to his tee shot on no. 4 during a practice round of The Masters golf tournament at Augusta National Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Katie Goodale-Augusta Chronicle/USA TODAY Network
  • You can bet on which golfers will make and miss the cut at the 2022 PGA Championship
  • Which favorites might be heading home early? Will anyone off the radar reach the weekend?
  • See the odds to make and miss the cut for the top players below

Golf’s second major is upon us and this year’s PGA Championship has the potential to be one of the most difficult in recent memory. Southern Hills Country Club will play close to 7,600 yards as a Par-70, and in addition to being absurdly long it’s also going to extremely penal for golfers that miss the green.

The green complexes are incredibly small and most of the area surrounding them has been shaved off. That means any ball that misses the green won’t have any rough to stop it, and word from the grounds suggest there will be plenty of golfers trying to get up and down from 50-60 yards as a result.

Anytime you place that much of an emphasis on short game more variance is bound to be introduced. As a result, there will likely be plenty of surprise trunk slammers in the PGA Championship odds on Friday and we’ve narrowed down a couple to target in the betting market.

Odds to Make Cut and Miss Cut at 2022 PGA Championship

Golfer Odds to Make the Cut Odds to Miss the Cut
Scottie Scheffler -700 +450
Jon Rahm -600 +400
Justin Thomas -550 +350
Rory McIlroy -500 +333
Jordan Spieth -450 +300
Collin Morikawa -450 +300
Patrick Cantlay -450 +300
Cameron Smith -450 +300
Xander Schauffele -450 +300
Dustin Johnson -400 +275
Hideki Matsuyama -400 +275
Viktor Hovland -400 +275
Shane Lowry -350 +250
Will Zalatoris -335 +240
Matthew Fitzpatrick -275 +200
Sam Burns -275 +200
Joaquin Niemann -275 +200
Daniel Berger -250 +175
Tony Finau -250 +175
Max Homa -225 +165
Corey Conners -225 +165
Tyrrell Hatton -200 +150
 Keegan Bradley -200 +150
Cameron Young -200 +150
 Abraham Ancer -190 +140
Billy Horschel -190 +140
Adam Scott -190 +140
 Talor Gooch -190 +140
 Jason Kokrak -190 +140
 Russell Henley -175 +125
 Seamus Power -175 +125
Harold Varner III -175 +125
 Maverick McNealy -165 +120
Sergio Garcia -165 +120
Alex Noren -165 +120
Sebastian Munoz -165 +120
Marc Leishman -165 +120
Gary Woodland -165 +120
Si Woo Kim -165 +120
Christian Bezuidenhout -165 +120
Webb Simpson -150 +110
Matt Kuchar -150 +110
Cameron Champ -150 +110
Tiger Woods -125 -110

Odds as of May 18th at DraftKings Sportsbook

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Abraham is Not the Ancer This Week

When you think of which courses suit Abraham Ancer, short, narrow tracks with a heavy emphasis on accuracy come to mind. Basically most Pete Dye tracks. Southern Hills CC is not that. The skills most needed here are length, long iron play and wizardry around the greens, which are not exactly Ancer’s bread and butter.

Over the past 24 rounds, Ancer ranks 108th in driving distance and 146th in strokes gained around the green. He’s lost strokes tee-to-green in four straight events, and has been in the negative with his irons in three of those four tournaments. Not surprisingly given those stats, he’s missed two of four cuts with no results inside the top-40.

He’s trunk slammed in two of his past three Majors, losing strokes to the field in all three events. Seems like a pretty good bet to miss the cut to me.

Pick: Abraham Ancer to Miss the Cut (+140) 

A Power Outage at Tough Tournaments

Seamus Power is a nice story. He’s gone from losing his Tour card to top-45 player in the world and has a resume full of strong finishes over the past 12 months. However, a closer look at his results reveals he’s done most of his damage almost exclusively at easy events.

In 2022 alone he’s missed the cut at the Genesis, API and Wells Fargo, three of the five most difficult fields he’s played in. He’s lost strokes with his irons in five straight measured events and his other statistics don’t inspire much confidence.

Over the past 24 rounds, Power ranks 91st in ball striking, 96th in strokes gained around the green and 129th in proximity from 200+ yards out.

Pick: Seamus Power to Miss the Cut (+125)

Make the Cut Parlay for PGA Championship

That’s enough doom and gloom for one story, now let’s focus on who will still be playing on the weekend. Will Zalatoris was featured in our PGA Championship sleepers and longshots article and is a great anchor for our make the cut parlay given his form and track record at Majors.

He’s finished inside the top-10 in four of his past six Majors and leads the field in strokes gained approach and proximity from 200+ yards out over the past 24 rounds.

Let’s pair him with Max Homa, who’s fresh off his fourth win since 2019. Tony Finau might not have that kind of winning pedigree, but he’s proven time and time again he belongs on the big stage. Finau has nine top-10 finishes in his past 16 Majors and is a great third leg to this parlay.

We’ll go a little deeper down the board for our next three pieces, starting with Gary Woodland. A former Major champ, he ranks inside the top-30 in ball striking, proximity from 200+ yards out, around the green play and bogey avoidance over the past 24 rounds. Cameron Young is up next, who excels on long courses as evident by his top-20 results at the Farmers, Genesis, API and Wells Fargo.

Finally, let’s cap it off with Alex Noren. A grinder in every sense of the word, Noren has four top-12 finishes in his past six events, ranks 12th in strokes gained approach over the past 24 rounds, and owns a world class short game.

Pick: Make the Cut Parlay (+930)

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