- You can bet on which golfers will make and miss the cut at the 2022 PGA Championship
- Which favorites might be heading home early? Will anyone off the radar reach the weekend?
- See the odds to make and miss the cut for the top players below
Golf’s second major is upon us and this year’s PGA Championship has the potential to be one of the most difficult in recent memory. Southern Hills Country Club will play close to 7,600 yards as a Par-70, and in addition to being absurdly long it’s also going to extremely penal for golfers that miss the green.
The green complexes are incredibly small and most of the area surrounding them has been shaved off. That means any ball that misses the green won’t have any rough to stop it, and word from the grounds suggest there will be plenty of golfers trying to get up and down from 50-60 yards as a result.
Anytime you place that much of an emphasis on short game more variance is bound to be introduced. As a result, there will likely be plenty of surprise trunk slammers in the PGA Championship odds on Friday and we’ve narrowed down a couple to target in the betting market.
Odds to Make Cut and Miss Cut at 2022 PGA Championship
|Golfer||Odds to Make the Cut||Odds to Miss the Cut|
|Harold Varner III||-175||+125|
|Si Woo Kim||-165||+120|
Odds as of May 18th at DraftKings Sportsbook
Abraham is Not the Ancer This Week
When you think of which courses suit Abraham Ancer, short, narrow tracks with a heavy emphasis on accuracy come to mind. Basically most Pete Dye tracks. Southern Hills CC is not that. The skills most needed here are length, long iron play and wizardry around the greens, which are not exactly Ancer’s bread and butter.
— Nate Feken (@TheGreat_Nate) May 17, 2022
Over the past 24 rounds, Ancer ranks 108th in driving distance and 146th in strokes gained around the green. He’s lost strokes tee-to-green in four straight events, and has been in the negative with his irons in three of those four tournaments. Not surprisingly given those stats, he’s missed two of four cuts with no results inside the top-40.
He’s trunk slammed in two of his past three Majors, losing strokes to the field in all three events. Seems like a pretty good bet to miss the cut to me.
Pick: Abraham Ancer to Miss the Cut (+140)
A Power Outage at Tough Tournaments
Seamus Power is a nice story. He’s gone from losing his Tour card to top-45 player in the world and has a resume full of strong finishes over the past 12 months. However, a closer look at his results reveals he’s done most of his damage almost exclusively at easy events.
Seamus Power off the flag!
📺: GOLF pic.twitter.com/godLCr3nH4
— Golf Channel (@GolfChannel) March 26, 2022
In 2022 alone he’s missed the cut at the Genesis, API and Wells Fargo, three of the five most difficult fields he’s played in. He’s lost strokes with his irons in five straight measured events and his other statistics don’t inspire much confidence.
Over the past 24 rounds, Power ranks 91st in ball striking, 96th in strokes gained around the green and 129th in proximity from 200+ yards out.
Pick: Seamus Power to Miss the Cut (+125)
Make the Cut Parlay for PGA Championship
That’s enough doom and gloom for one story, now let’s focus on who will still be playing on the weekend. Will Zalatoris was featured in our PGA Championship sleepers and longshots article and is a great anchor for our make the cut parlay given his form and track record at Majors.
— The Masters (@TheMasters) April 9, 2022
He’s finished inside the top-10 in four of his past six Majors and leads the field in strokes gained approach and proximity from 200+ yards out over the past 24 rounds.
Let’s pair him with Max Homa, who’s fresh off his fourth win since 2019. Tony Finau might not have that kind of winning pedigree, but he’s proven time and time again he belongs on the big stage. Finau has nine top-10 finishes in his past 16 Majors and is a great third leg to this parlay.
We’ll go a little deeper down the board for our next three pieces, starting with Gary Woodland. A former Major champ, he ranks inside the top-30 in ball striking, proximity from 200+ yards out, around the green play and bogey avoidance over the past 24 rounds. Cameron Young is up next, who excels on long courses as evident by his top-20 results at the Farmers, Genesis, API and Wells Fargo.
A birdie when he needs it most. 🐦
Cameron Young holes out on 15.
He's 3 back. pic.twitter.com/rw8wOEmt2W
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) February 20, 2022
Finally, let’s cap it off with Alex Noren. A grinder in every sense of the word, Noren has four top-12 finishes in his past six events, ranks 12th in strokes gained approach over the past 24 rounds, and owns a world class short game.
Pick: Make the Cut Parlay (+930)