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PGA Championship Odds to Make the Cut 2023

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in Golf

Updated May 16, 2023 · 9:20 PM PDT

Shane Lowry dejected reaction after missing a putt
Apr 9, 2023; Augusta, Georgia, USA; Shane Lowry reacts after a putt on the 13th green during the final round of The Masters golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Network
  • Make and miss the cut odds are live for the PGA Championship which tees off on Thursday, May 18
  • Shane Lowry enters in rough form, losing a combined 5.7 total strokes to the field over his last two starts
  • Don’t miss the complete list of make and miss the cut odds, plus a make the cut parlay below

Golf’s elite return to Oak Hill Country Club this week for the PGA Championship, the season’s second major. This course has gone through an extensive redesign since it last hosted a Major in 2013, and is expected to be a gruelling test.

Word on the grounds suggest Oak Hill is going to play very long and be extremely punishing for wayward drives and approaches. The greens are small and the bunkers are treacherous, which will demand a masterful short game in order to compete.

As a result, total driving, long iron play and short game will be key components for how we determine who is most likely to make and miss the cut. Odds for the majority of the game’s top names are below, see keep reading for their prices as well as targets in this market.

PGA Championship Make the Cut Odds

Golfer Odds to Make the Cut Odds to Miss the Cut
Jon Rahm -1400 +600
Scottie Scheffler -1200 +550
Patrick Cantlay -700 +400
Xander Schauffele -700 +400
Rory McIlroy -600 +330
Brooks Koepka -550 +300
Jason Day -500 +300
Tony Finau -500 +300
Justin Thomas -450 +275
Max Homa -450 +275
Tyrrell Hatton -450 +275
Dustin Johnson -450 +275
Sungjae Im -450 +275
Collin Morikawa -350 +225
Viktor Hovland -350 +225
Cameron Young -350 +225
Matthew Fitzpatrick -310 +210
Rickie Fowler -300 +210
Cameron Smith -300 +210
Talor Gooch -295 +200
Sam Burns -280 +200
Wyndham Clark -280 +190
Joaquin Niemann -280 +190
Sahith Theegala -250 +175
Adam Scott -245 +175
Tom Kim -245 +175
Patrick Reed -245 +175
Tommy Fleetwood -245 +170
Shane Lowry -245 +170
Mito Pereira -215 +150
Matt Kuchar -215 +150
Keegan Bradley -215 +150
Corey Conners -195 +140
Seamus Power -195 +140
Gary Woodland -160 +115
Abraham Ancer -160 +115
Stephan Jaeger -160 +115

To no one’s surprise, Masters champ Jon Rahm has the shortest odds to make the weekend. He’s followed by pre-tournament favorite Scottie Scheffler and Patrick Cantlay, the ladder of which is still looking for his first Major Championship win.

Further down the oddsboard is Shane Lowry, and we’re looking to fade his chances of playing all four rounds for a few different reasons.



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Odds as of May 16 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Lowry a Likely Trunk Slam Candidate

For starters, the Irishman enters in underwhelming form. He’s gone missed cut, 67th in his previous two starts, losing a combined 5.7 total strokes to the field in those events. Of particular concern is his short game. Lowry has bled strokes on and around the greens lately, losing a combined 7.9 shots at the Heritage and another 2.7 at Wells Fargo.

Shane Lowry Strokes Gained Short Game Data – LastThree Measured Starts

Event SG Short Game
Wells Fargo -2.7
RBC Heritage -7.9
The Players Championship -3.8

Dating back to last year’s BMW Championship, Lowry has lost strokes putting in nine of 10 starts. Players are going to need to make plenty of eight to 10 foot par saving putts each day at Oak Hill, which spells trouble for Lowry.

Also working against him is his lousy recent ball striking numbers. Lowry ranks 53rd in strokes gained off-the-tee over his last 12 measured rounds and 55th on approach. Naturally his scoring has suffered, as he checks in ranked 111th in that category.

Pick: Shane Lowry to Miss the Cut (+170)

Make the Cut Parlay

While we’re fading Lowry at the PGA Championship, there are plenty of golfers that are worthy targets for our make the cut parlay – price considered.

Among our favorites is Gary Woodland, who’s put on a ball striking clinic in his last two starts. Woodland gained over 9 strokes ball striking at both Wells Fargo and in Mexico, and was positive around the greens. He’s a former Major Champ and has strung together six straight made cuts.

Speaking of Major champs, two more will join our parlay in the form of Keegan Bradley and Matthew Fitzpatrick. Bradley, the 2011 PGA Championship winner, excels on long, difficult, North East courses just like Oak Hill. He went to college nearby and has four top-11 results on similar tracks over the last four years.

Fitzpatrick meanwhile, has always been an accurate player with an excellent short game, but he’s recently added some major distance to his game. That helped propel him to a U.S. Open Championship last year, and will serve him well this week.

We’ll round out our parlay with Tommy Fleetwood, who has been a statistical darling lately. Fleetwood ranks top-18 in ball striking, strokes gained off-the-tee, tee-to-green and around the green over the last 12 rounds, posting three top-15 finishes over four starts.

Pick: Make the Cut Parlay (+343)


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