Upcoming Match-ups

Tiger 2020 PGA Tour Season Props: Odds Released On When Woods Will Win His 83rd Event, Whether He’ll Win Olympic Gold

Tiger woods hitting a tee shot
What tournament will Tiger Woods win first in 2020? Photo from KA Sports Photos (flickr) [CC License]
  • Tiger Woods won his 82nd PGA Tour event last week at the Zozo Championship
  • Big Cat’s 2020 props have been posted. Where might he pick up win #83?
  • Is there any value in betting on Tiger to win Olympic Gold?

Just days after a record-tying 82nd career PGA Tour victory, odds have been posted for where Tiger Woods will pick up another W to surpass Sam Snead for most wins in the history of the tour. Even in his heyday Tiger played a limited schedule and he pared it down even more this year while battling a few ailments, so the options are limited.

Where will he be popping the champagne at next and is there even any value on betting on El Tigre to not win at all in 2020? What major venues present his best chance to add another notch and win his 16th grand slam event?

Odds on Tiger Woods’ First Win in 2020

Tournament Odds at BetOnline
Farmers Insurance Open +900
Hero World Challenge +1200
Genesis Invitational +1200
WGC-Mexico Championship +1400
The Masters +1600
Players Championship +2000
WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play +3300
Any other 2020 event +150
No win in 2020 +165

Odds taken Nov. 1st.

Easy Events to Discount

Barring an unforeseen injury, Big Cat clearly still has the chops to win so don’t be sadistic and bet on him failing to win. Don’t waste your money on betting that he’ll earn his 83rd win at the Hero World Challenge because that isn’t even an official PGA Tour event. It’s likely BetOnline will realize their error and eventually wipe that tournament off the betting book.

There’s a strong chance the WGC-Mexico Championship gets cut from his schedule with the Genesis Invitational (sponsored by Tiger Woods foundation) the week before and a personal favorite of his at Bay Hill a few weeks later immediately followed by the Players Championship the week after that. Most likely he keeps his body fresh by passing on Mexico.

Other Events That Will be Problematic to Win

The Genesis Invitational at Riviera is the course that Tiger has played the most as a professional without tasting victory. Amazingly, he’s gone 0-for-12. Scratch that one off the list.

He’s won the Players Championship twice but that course is the most fickle year-to-year in predicting future success based off of past results. The Match Play will be a lot more golf than normal in a short span which likely won’t serve him well with a fused back so eliminate them.

Decision Comes Down to Three Choices

It comes down to him winning any other event (+150), Farmers Insurance Open (+900) where he’s won at Torrey Pines eight times (including 2008 US Open), and the Masters (+1600).

Surprisingly, Tiger hasn’t been as strong at Torrey Pines in recent years with injuries and cooler temperatures in January wreaking havoc on his back and swing.

Tiger Woods’ Last Five Results at Farmers Insurance Open

Year Result
2019 T-20th
2018 T-23rd
2017 CUT
2015 Withdraw
2014 T-80th

Best Bet for Tiger’s Next Victory

His best chances to win are his personal playgrounds Bay Hill (eight career wins), and the Memorial (five), so betting on him to win any other event at +150 is the safer choice but him taking home a second consecutive Green Jacket at the Masters is most tempting.

Remarkably, his last four victories have come against condensed fields at the 2013 WGC-Bridgestone (73 players), 2018 Tour Championship (30), 2019 Masters (87) and the 2019 Zozo Championship (78) compared to the approximately 156 competitors teeing it up in any given week. The Masters has that smaller field and he’s won there five times.

Pick: Woods first 2020 win is at Masters (+1600)

Odds Tiger Woods Wins Gold at 2020 Olympics

Outcome Odds at BetOnline
No -2000
Yes +900

Odds taken Nov. 1st

Don’t bet on Tiger Winning Gold

The value simply isn’t there at +900 for a myriad of reasons. He might not qualify against the likes of Brooks Koepka, Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas or others (each country sends only two golfers). Next, he may decide to skip the event all together.

Lastly, even if he does tee it up, he’d then also obviously have to win the gold. That’s too many factors to go out on a limb this early (Olympics start in July).

Pick: Woods does not win Olympic Gold (-2000)

Author Image
Discussion

Let's have fun and keep it civil.