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KBO Picks & Odds (July 31): A Clash of the Titans

NC Dinos
NC's Drew Rucinski is 1-1 versus Doosan this season with a 1.38 ERA. Photo by @ChrisontheMarks (Twitter).
  • The NC Dinos host the Doosan Bears in a clash of the KBO’s top-two teams
  • NC’s Drew Rucinski is looking to become the first pitcher to reach 11 wins
  • Find odds and best bets for the KBO’s five-game slate on July 31st in the article below

Turns out we we had too much confidence that the KBO would get all five scheduled games in on Thursday for just the second time in the last nine days. Rain washed away the NC versus Lotte tilt, meaning Dinos starter Drew Rucinski gets an extra day’s rest. The 31-year-old will head to the mound Friday at 5:30 am EST versus Doosan, looking to become the league’s first 11-game winner.

 KBO Odds: Friday, July 31st

Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
KIA Tigers +100 +1.5 (-200) Over 8.0 (-115) 5:30 a.m.
Lotte Giants -130 -1.5 (+160) Under 8.0 (-115)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Kiwoom Heroes -125 -1.5 (+120) Over 10.5 (-115) 5:30 a.m.
Samsung Lions -105 +1.5 (-150) Under 10.5 (-115)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Doosan Bears +140 +1.5 (-120) Over 10.5 (-115) 5:30 a.m.
NC Dinos -170 -1.5 (-110) Under 10.5 (-115)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
SK Wyverns +135 +1.5 (-155) Over 9.0 (-110) 5:30 a.m.
KT Wiz Suwon -165 -1.5 (+125) Under 9.0 (-120)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Hanwha Eagles +220 +1.5 (+125) Over 9.0 (-110) 5:30 a.m.
LG Twins -280 -1.5 (-155) Under 9.0 (-120)

Odds as of July 30th.

His Dinos have fared extremely well versus the defending champs this season, posting a 6-3 record. They opened as -170 favorites, in large part due to Rucinski’s recent dominance over the Bears.

Rucinski Has Dominated Doosan

Just over a month ago, Rucinski turned in one of his best performances of the year. He held the potent Doosan offense to just four hits over seven scoreless innings, en route to a 5-0 win.

A few weeks prior to that, he also stymied the Bears, allowing just three hits over 6 innings. Those outings certainly weren’t a fluke as Rucinski has been dominating every offense in his path recently. He’s allowed just three earned runs in his last four starts, and now ranks top-three in wins, ERA, WHIP and quality starts.

The Bears will counter with Won Joon Choi, who’s also been fantastic recently, although mostly coming out of the bullpen. He’s made only three starts all season, but has allowed just one run in 15 innings of work as a starter. The concern here is that he’s never pitched beyond the 5th inning which means the Bears bullpen will see a lot of action. That unit currently owns a 5.39 ERA this season, and a 5.77 ERA on the road. Those aren’t the kind of numbers you want to have when facing the league’s number one offense.

Pick: NC Dinos -1.5 (-110)

Duelling Aces

Rucinski isn’t the only elite pitcher on Friday’s slate, as two of the league’s top hurlers square off in Lotte. KIA will send Aaron Brooks to the mound versus the Giants, while Lotte will counter with Dan Straily. Both aces have pitched phenomenally recently, especially Straily who’s allowed just one run in his last 28 innings.

Brooks vs Straily Statistics

5-3 Record 5-2
2.54 ERA 1.88
1.14 WHIP 0.93
72 Strikeouts 97
18 Walks 23
9 Quality Starts 9

Straily ranks top-two in strikeouts, ERA and WHIP and has won four straight starts. He’ll be looking for some revenge Friday, as the last time he faced the Tigers they touched him up for five runs over 5 innings.

Brooks meanwhile, has won his last two decisions but hasn’t been nearly as dominant as his counterpart. Last time out, he held Samsung to two runs over 5.2 innings, and the outing prior to that he limited Doosan to two runs over 8 innings. He hasn’t allowed more than three runs in a start since May 17th, and he pitched well versus Lotte in his only meeting with them this season.

Nevertheless, these teams match-up quite evenly and I’m inclined to roll with the hotter pitcher at the moment. It also doesn’t hurt that Straily’s home splits are outrageous. The 31-year-old is 2-0 in five home starts this season, posting a 1.01 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP, while holding opposing batters to a minuscule .176 batting average.

Pick: Lotte Giants moneyline (-130) 

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