Upcoming Match-ups

Angels vs Mariners Odds, Betting Lines, and Probable Pitchers (Oct. 2)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Oct 2, 2021 · 5:20 AM PDT

Abraham Toro and Luis Torrens home run celebration
Seattle Mariners' Abraham Toro, right, is greeted by Luis Torrens, let, after Toro hit a solo home run during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the Oakland Athletics, Wednesday, Sept. 29, 2021, in Seattle. The Mariners won 4-2. (AP Photo/Ted S. Warren)
  • The Seattle Mariners are -180 home favorites over the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday (October 2nd, 9:10 pm ET)
  • Seattle will give the ball to Chris Flexen (14-6, 3.67 ERA), while LA will counter with Jhonathan Diaz (1-0, 3.12 ERA)
  • Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction

The Seattle Mariners came up short on Friday versus the Los Angeles Angels and now will need major help if they want to advance to the postseason for the first time since 2001.

Seattle enters play on Saturday (October 2nd) in Game 2 of their series with LA, one game back of Boston for the final Wild Card spot with just two games to play.

Angels vs Mariners Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Los Angeles Angels +155 +1.5 (-140) U 8 (-120)
Seattle Mariners -180 -1.5 (+120) O 8 (+100)

Odds as of  October 1st at DraftKings.

The Mariners opened as -180 moneyline favorites, in a game that features a total of 8. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 pm ET at T-Mobile Park, with clear skies and 52 degree night time temperatures in the forecast.

Probable Pitchers

Seattle will give the ball to Chris Flexen, who’ll be looking to shake off a rough start versus Oakland. The former KBO star allowed seven hits and four runs against the A’s on Monday, but was bailed out by his lineup. The M’s gave Flexen 13 runs of support, allowing him to pick up his third straight win.

In his previous two starts, he was lights out, holding both Oakland and Kansas City to one run a piece. He’s 2-0 in three starts versus LA this season, posting a 2.00 ERA, while yielding a .203 opponent batting average.

Flexen has pitched better at home than on the road this season, posing a 3.31 ERA (vs 4.06 on the road), surrendering only six home runs in over 92 innings of work.

Diaz vs Flexen

Jhonathan Diaz
VS
Chris Flexen
1-0 Record 14-6
3.12 ERA 3.67
1.15 WHIP 1.25
.167 OBA .268
1.2 SO/W Ratio 3.2

The Angels will counter with Jhonathan Diaz, who’ll be making just his second career start. The rookie’s MLB debut lasted just 1.2 innings two weeks ago versus Oakland, but he rebounded the following week in a relief appearance against Seattle.

Diaz picked up Jamie Barria, who left after 2 innings due to shoulder tightness, by pitching 7 innings of one-run ball. The 25-year-old struck out four Mariners along the way, and coughed up only three hits.

Diaz was not an elite prospect by any means, and doesn’t feature overpowering stuff. His fastball tops out around 90 mph and he’s posted a K/9 rate below 9.0 in seven of his eight minor league stops.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Mariners Batters Batting Average vs Diaz Angels Batters Batting Average vs Flexen
J.P Crawford .000 David Fletcher .375
Mitch Haniger .333 Phil Gosselin .200
Jake Fraley .000 Juan Lagares .400
Dylan Moore .000 Max Stassi .400
Ty France .000 Shohei Ohtani .143
Kyle Seager .000 Jared Walsh .143
Abraham Toro .000 Kurt Suzuki .000

His 5.69 xFIP suggests he’s due for some regression after that outing against Seattle, and it could happen on Saturday the way the M’s are swinging the bat.

Angels vs Mariners Pick

Seattle has won 10 of its past 12, outscoring its opposition by 19 runs over that stretch.

YouTube video

They need to win to keep their now slim playoff hopes alive, and will pull out all the stops to ensure victory.

LA meanwhile, has just four wins in its past 14 overall, and has struggled against right-handers all season (.244 BA / .307 OBP / .400 SLG). Flexen clearly has their number, and we should expect another solid outing from him with the Mariners season on the line.

Seattle is 10-7 against the Angels this season, with eight of those victories coming by at least two runs.

Pick: Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+120)

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