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Astros’ World Series Odds Have Hardly Moved Despite 7 Game Skid

Jose Altuve
The Astros average World Series odds are now +410, the longest they've been in seven weeks. Photo by Keith Allison (flickr) [CC License].
  • The Houston Astros’ average World Series odds only dropped from +330 to +410 after a seven game losing streak
  • Houston has been hit hard by injuries recently, but are still an elite team
  • Is now the time to buy the Astros?

Last week was a week to forget for the Houston Astros. The AL West leaders dropped seven straight games, including three in a row to the lowly Reds, but despite the skid online sportsbooks remain extremely bullish on Houston’s championship prospects.

2019 World Series Odds

Team 2019 World Series Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers +250
New York Yankees +365
Houston Astros +400
Minnesota Twins +750
Atlanta Braves +800
Chicago Cubs +1400
Boston Red Sox +1800
Tampa Bay Rays +1800
Milwaukee Brewers +2000
St. Louis Cardinals +2500

*Odds taken 06/25/19. Click on the link in the table above to see odds for all 30 MLB teams.

Their average World Series odds barely moved, falling from +330 to +410, and although they now sit behind the Yankees on the odds board, most experts believe the losing streak was just a blip on the radar.

What Went Wrong for the Astros?

First and foremost injuries. All-Star shortstop Carlos Correa and Aledmys Diaz remain sidelined, while George Springer finally returned to the lineup Tuesday, after missing the past month with a hamstring injury.

With three potent bats absent from the lineup, the Astros offense struggled averaging just 2.7 runs, 8.1 hits and a 0.738 OPS per game during their slide. They were outscored 43-19 during that stretch, and surrendered double digit runs in a game for just the second and third time all year.

No Need to Panic for Houston

Fortunately for Houston fans, the Astros were off to such a strong start this season that a seven game losing streak did little damage to their long-term outlook. They still hold a commanding 6.5 game lead in the AL West, and their run differential remains elite despite the lousy week.

Only two other teams in baseball have a greater run differential than Houston, and only one other team has surrendered fewer runs. With Springer back, and Correra expected to return in a few weeks, this team will re-establish itself as one of the premier offenses in the league and resume wreaking havoc on opposing pitchers.

One positive from Houston’s recent string of injuries has been the emergence of Yordan Alvarez, who is off a historic start to his career. The rookie outfielder is the first player in MLB history with seven home runs and 16 RBI in his first 12 games, and he gives the Astros a sixth bat in the lineup with 25+ home run upside.

Buy Houston’s Dip in Price

One week of lousy play has opened up considerable value on the Astros’ World Series odds. This is arguably the best roster in baseball and the most complete team in the American League. Their offense is just as imposing as the Yankees’ when healthy, and their starting pitching is superior in nearly every category.

The only other team that rivals their combination of elite pitching and hitting is the Dodgers, but with odds nearly 58% longer than LA’s, I’ll gladly back a Houston squad that is undervalued at the moment.

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