Blue Jays vs Twins Predictions, Odds & Same-Game Parlay (May 27)
- The Toronto Blue Jays are slight -110 road favorites over the Minnesota Twins in an American League game on Saturday, May 27
- Minnesota is given betting odds of -106 in the moneyline
- Check out the Blue Jays vs Twins odds ahead of first pitch on Saturday
The best thing the Toronto Blue Jays (26-25, 23-28 ATS) have going for them in their weekend series against the Minnesota Twins (26-24, 26-24 ATS) is that the Twins don’t play in the American League East. The Jays are 6-15 straight up when facing AL East opposition this season.
Another bonus for Toronto is that these games are being played in Minnesota. Entering play Friday, the Blue Jays were 4-2 SU in Minny over the past six games and 11-7 SU through the last 18 meetings.
Blue Jays vs Twins Odds
| Team | Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays | -1.5 (+150) | O 8 (-118) | -110 |
| Minnesota Twins | +1.5 (-182) | U 8 (-104) | -106 |
Perhaps that explains why oddsmakers are setting the Blue Jays as slight -110 road favorites over the Twins. Minnesota is 2-5 SU over the past seven games.
First pitch on Saturday, May 26 at Target Field is set for 2:10pm ET. Minnesota is 1-2 SU as a home underdog this season.
The people are all over the app on this game when looking at the MLB public betting trends. In the run line splits, Toronto is drawing a massive 79% of handle, but Minnesota is getting 52% of bets.
The Blue Jays are 8-8 against the spread as an away favorite this season. In the moneyline splits, the Twins are garnering 51% of handle, but it’s the Jays grabbing 66% of bets. Toronto is 1-7 SU over the past eight games. Minnesota is 3-8 SU in the last 11 games playing as a betting underdog.
As far as the total of eight runs is concerned, the people are in lockstep in supporting the over. It’s drawing 96% of handle ad 68% of bets. The over has proven to be the winning play in six of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Twins.
The Twins are the chalk to win the AL Central in the MLB Divisional odds at a betting line of -275. The Jays are the +1200 fourth betting choice to wear the AL East crown.
Odds as of May 26 at FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel promo code.
Bassitt Looking To Bounce Back
A stretch of three starts covering 23 innings pitched in which he was 2-0 and didn’t allow a run came to a crashing halt in the most recent start for Toronto right-hander Chris Bassitt. Tampa Bay roughed him up for seven hits, including three homers, and six runs (two earned) over 6.1 innings, as he lost for the first time since April 30.
Chris Bassitt is doing it all tonight pic.twitter.com/DQ5guO8i4Y
— Talkin’ Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) May 18, 2023
Bassitt is 1-0 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in six career appearances against the Twins, including three starts.
Bassitt vs Lopez
| 5-3 | Record | 2-3 |
| 3.03 | ERA | 3.90 |
| 4.60 | xERA | 3.38 |
| 1.04 | WHIP | 1.10 |
| 2.17 | SO/W | 4.41 |
Twins right-hander Pablo Lopez got the win in his last start, but wasn’t exactly stellar. Over six innings pitched of an 8-6 win over Kansas City, Lopez allowed seven hits and six earned runs. He did strike out seven against just one walk, though.
In one career appearance facing Toronto, Lopez didn’t figure in the decision. He shows a 4.50 ERA against the Blue Jays, allowing five hits and two earned runs, both on solo homers, over four innings of work.
Injuries Crippling Twins
Minnesota is suiting up a shorthanded roster for this series against the Jays. Second baseman Jorge Polanco (hamstring), and outfielders Nick Gordon (tibia), Max Kepler (hamstring) and Trevor Larnach (pneumonia) are all out. Shortstop Carlos Correa (heel) returned to the lineup on Friday. Outfielder Joey Gallo (hamstring) is expected back at some point in this series.
38% of Joey Gallo's career hits have been home runs and that's more than anyone else in MLB history!pic.twitter.com/Hc0lb8RixH
— Codify (@CodifyBaseball) May 21, 2023
Gallo is batting .364 (4-for-11) against Bassitt with two homers and three RBI, so his return on Saturday would certainly be welcome news for Minnesota. Correa is a .308 hitter (4-for-13) when facing Bassitt.
Blue Jays vs Twins Recent Results
| Date | Home-Away | Moneyline | Run Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/24/2021 | MIN 3 TOR 1 | MIN | MIN | Under |
| 09/25/2021 | MIN 4 TOR 6 | TOR | TOR | Under |
| 09/26/2021 | MIN 2 TOR 5 | TOR | TOR | Under |
| 06/03/2022 | TOR 3 MIN 9 | MIN | MIN | Over |
| 06/04/2022 | TOR 12 MIN 3 | TOR | TOR | Over |
| 06/05/2022 | TOR 6 MIN 8 | MIN | MIN | Over |
| 08/04/2022 | MIN 3 TOR 9 | TOR | TOR | Over |
| 08/05/2022 | MIN 6 TOR 5 | MIN | MIN | Over |
| 08/06/2022 | MIN 7 TOR 3 | MIN | MIN | Over |
| 08/07/2022 | MIN 2 TOR 3 | TOR | MIN | Under |
Not known first and foremost for his bat, Toronto outfielder Kevin Kiermaier is a lifetime .375 (3-for-8) hitter off of Lopez, with a homer and three RBI. Outfielder Whit Merrifield (.667 2-for-3) and first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr (.500, 1-for-2) have also been successful at the plate against Lopez in smaller sample sizes.
Toronto vs Minnesota Same-Game Parlay
This seems like a good game to fade the public. Start out a same-game parlay by taking the under on the total of eight runs at -104. Add to that the Blue Jays in first half match betting at +130.
Combined, they give you odds of +327. A $10 bet on this same-game parlay will pay out $32.75 on a $10 winning wager.
Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction
Both starting pitchers display ERAs under 4.00. That’s a rare combination in today’s MLB. With Minnesota’s injuries and Toronto’s inconsistent offense, the under appears to be best play.
Pick: Under 8 runs (-104)
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
