- The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals face off at Nationals Park on Sunday, July 17th
- Defending World Series champion Atlanta is nipping at the heels of New York in the NL East standings, while Washington owns the worst record in baseball
- Read below for the Braves vs Nationals odds and betting preview
The Atlanta Braves (56-37) face the Washington Nationals (30-63) on Sunday at Nationals Park. The finale of a four-game series has a scheduled first pitch of 1:35 pm ET. The Braves will send Spencer Strider to the mound, while the Nats will have a bullpen game.
The Braves are favorites in this one and have +115 odds to win the NL East. Meantime, the Nationals have +50000 odds to win the division.
Braves vs Nationals Odds
|Atlanta Braves||-1.5 (-152)||-270||Over 9 (-102)|
|Washington Nationals||+1.5 (+126)||+220||Under9 (-120)|
Odds as of July 16th at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Braves start as -270 favorites on the moneyline with an implied win probability of 72.97%. The Nationals open at +220 with an implied probability of 31.25%.
Atlanta vs Washington Probable Pitchers
The 23-year-old Strider – who was inserted into Atlanta’s starting rotation on Memorial Day — has emerged as the latest in a line of young, quality arms for the Braves. Brian Snitker’s club has gone 5-4 in Strider’s nine starts over the last six weeks. The former fourth-round pick owns three quality starts over the stretch, with all three coming in his last four outings. Plus, he’s doing things no one has ever done.
More on Spencer Strider…
Strider is the FIRST ROOKIE in MLB's Modern Era (since 1900) with 11+ strikeouts and 2 or fewer hits allowed in consecutive starts. pic.twitter.com/BNIzgHqsEK
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) July 8, 2022
His most recent start came on Tuesday against the division-rival Amazins, where Strider went 4.2 innings, allowing five hits, one earned run and three walks while striking out eight in an eventual 4-1 win.
Meantime, whomever Dave Martinez sends to the hill on Sunday will be overmatched by a formidable Atlanta lineup. Among the arms with seven or less starts in 2022, only two – Carl Edwards Jr and Paulo Espino – possess sub-4.00 ERAs. A propensity of surrendering the big fly has been an issue.
Most home runs allowed by relief pitching in MLB so far this season:
45- #BlueJays (Thanks to Adam Cimber giving up a 2-run shot in the 8th inning to put the Mariners up 6-5 tonight vs TOR)
— StatsCentre (@StatsCentre) July 10, 2022
When you compare Washington’s 4.35 bullpen ERA (in the lower-third among all big league clubs) to Strider’s ridiculous K rate, Sunday’s game shapes up to be a major mismatch on the mound.
Strider vs Ramírez Stats
The Braves have been red-hot in July, sporting a 12-4 record. That includes three straight over the hapless Nats in this series. Front and center in Atlanta’s offensive assault of late has been third baseman Austin Riley — who was a late addition to the NL All-Star team roster on Saturday.
27 home runs for Austin Riley.
27 HOME RUNS FOR AUSTIN RILEY. pic.twitter.com/7WciQan16T
— Bally Sports: Braves (@BravesOnBally) July 16, 2022
Riley has gone 11-for-32 (.344) over the last seven games, with five home runs and eight RBI.
Meantime, the big news out of the nation’s capital on Saturday was two-time All-Star Juan Soto turning down a 15-year, $440 million contract extension offer from Washington. The Nats have gone 1-13 this month and suffered three straight losing seasons since Soto was the breakout star in the 2019 World Series victory. Now, the team will reportedly entertain trade offers for the young star.
Only one player in the Modern Era (Since 1900) has a better OBP through his age-23 season than Juan Soto (.427 OBP from 2018-22).
That player? Ted Williams (.481 OBP from 1939-42). pic.twitter.com/YYJgYIIynl
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) July 16, 2022
Despite Soto’s fantastic career stats, he’s hitting a career-low .247 this season to go along with 19 homers and 42 RBI in 89 games.
The Nats currently have +100000 odds to win the Fall Classic, while the Braves are at +700 to repeat in the World Series odds.
ATL vs WAS Last 10 Meetings
|Date||Home Team||Away Team||Score|
Braves vs Nationals Prediction
As noted above, this one is a complete mismatch. The Braves are hot. The Nationals are not. Plus, Atlanta has extreme motivation to keep pace with New York in what should be a captivating division race down the stretch.
Josh Bell has been Washington’s most consistent player this season, slashing .305/.385/.497. But with the Soto news creating a distraction for the club heading into the All-Star break, it doesn’t matter what Bell and Co. do against Atlanta.
Pick: Braves to win (-270)