Upcoming Match-ups

Cardinals vs Cubs Odds, Picks and Probable Pitchers (Sep. 24)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Sep 23, 2021 · 9:25 PM PDT

Cardinals dugout celebration
St. Louis Cardinals' Dylan Carlson (3) celebrates with teammates after hitting a home run during a baseball game against the Cincinnati Reds in Cincinnati, Sunday, July 25, 2021. (AP Photo/Bryan Woolston)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals are -160 away favorites over the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on Friday, September 24
  • It’s the opener of a day-night doubleheader and the first of seven games between these two teams starting Friday through the end of the season
  • St. Louis has won an 12 games in a row, the hottest streak in MLB

You can tell it’s late September because the weather is turning, pumpkin spice is everywhere and the St Louis Cardinals are making their annual playoff push.

The better-late-than-never Cardinals (83-69, 41-36 away) have won an MLB-best 12 games in a row as they arrive at Wrigley Field Friday for the first game of a day-night twinbill with the Chicago Cubs (67-85, 39-38 home). St Louis is 16-6 as an away favorite this season. That 72.7% win rate is second-best in MLB.

Cardinals vs Cubs Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
St Louis Cardinals -160 OFF OFF
Chicago Cubs +140 OFF OFF

Odds as of September 24th at DraftKings.

First pitch for this game at Wrigley Field is set for 2:20pm ET. Clear skies, 15 mph wind, and a temperature of 77 degrees are in the forecast.

Happ vs Steele

JA Happ
VS
Justin Steele
9-8 Record 3-3
6.02 ERA 4.20
5.72 xERA 4.11
1.48 WHIP 1.40
2.46 SO/W Ratio 1.40

It hasn’t been pretty this season for veteran Cardinals left-hander Happ. In fact, its pretty amazing the St Louis has been able to put together a 12-game winning streak while he’s been 1-2 with an 8.22 ERA through four September starts.

Happ actually has a win in a 2-0 shutout out the Cincinnati Reds and a no-decision during an 8-7 win over the San Diego Padres to show for himself during the streak.

August was actually Happ’s best month of the season. He was 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA in five starts. That was his first month with St Louis after being acquired from the Minnesota Twins.

He’s not faced the Cubs this season. Happ is 1-5 with a 6.00 ERA in seven career starts facing Chicago’s NL ball club. Happ’s barrel percentage (11.8) xSLG (.503) rank among the bottom 4% in the league. He’s also in the bottom 8% in wOBA (.364), the bottom 9% in xwOBA (.358) and xERA (5.72) and the bottom 10% in strikeout percentage (17.1).

Rookie Cubs southpaw Steele has made 18 big-league appearances, including seven starts but has never faced the Cardinals. Since moving into the rotation on August 10, Steele is 1-3 wih a 5.12 ERA and 1.54 WHIP.

He’s never gone more than five innings in any start. Steele has surrendered seven home runs in 31.2 innings as a starter. That works out to 1.99 homers per nine innngs. Steele’s barrel percentage of 4.8 rates among the top 10 %of the league.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Cardinals Batters Batting Average vs Steele Cubs Batters Batting Average vs Happ
Nolan Arenado .000 Sergio Alcantara .000
Harrison Bader .000 David Bote .000
Dylan Carlson .000 Robinson Chirinos .250
Matt Carpenter .000 Willson Contreras .000
Paul DeJong .000 Matt Duffy .308
Tommy Erdman .000 Ian Happ .000
Paul Goldschmidt .000 Nico Hoerner .000
Andrew Knizner .000 Nick Martini .000
Yadier Molina .000 Rafael Ortega .000
Lars Nootbaar .000 Austin Romine .222
Tyler O’Neill .000 Frank Schwindel .000
Jose Rondon .000 Trayce Thompson .000
Edmundo Sosa .000 Patrick Wisdom .000

Cubs infielder Matt Duffy is 4-for-13 (.308) when facing JA Happ with two RBI.

No Cardinals batter has ever faced Steele in a big-league game.

Cardinals vs Cubs Pick

These two teams will face each other seven times over the final 10 games of the NL season. St Louis holds a 7-5 edge in the season series with the Cubs.

The Cardinals have won seven in a row on the road. First baseman Paul Goldschmidt has hit three homers in the past two games. He has an .844 slugging percentage during the winning streak.

The Cubs are 1-6 through their past seven games.

St. Louis now holds a 4.5-game lead for the second NL Wild Card playoff position. The Cards come to Chicago off a four-game sweep of the Milwaukee Brewers. That was their first sweep of the Brew Crew since May 2-5, 2013.

The Cardinals came all the way back from 5-0 down to beat Milwaukee 8-5 on Thursday. This winning streak is the longest by the team in 20 years.

St Louis is 9-2 against the runline over the past 11 games. The Cardinals win with pitching and defense. At 4.72 runs per game, they rank 22nd in the majors.

Pick: St Louis Cardinals (-160)

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