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Dodgers vs Giants Game 5 Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Oct 13, 2021 · 10:38 AM PDT

Los Angeles Dodgers' Chris Taylor, Cody Bellinger, and Mookie Betts celebrating a win
Los Angeles Dodgers' Chris Taylor (3), Cody Bellinger (35) and Mookie Betts (50) celebrate after the Dodgers defeated the San Francisco Giants 7-2 in Game 4 of a baseball National League Division Series, Tuesday, Oct. 12, 2021, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
  • The Dodgers and Giants are both -110 on the moneyline for NLDS Game 5
  • Left-hander Julio Urias (20-3, 2.96) will start for the Dodgers against Logan Webb (11-3, 3.03)
  • The matchups and odds can be found below with a prediction

Left-hander Julio Urias (20-3, 2.96) will start for the Los Angeles Dodgers against San Francisco’s Logan Webb (11-3, 3.03). The two pitchers have not lost a game in a combined 39 straight starts.

The teams with the two best regular- season records in the major leagues meet in a winner-take-all matchup when the Los Angeles Dodgers (109-58, 49-34 road) visit the San Francisco Giants (109-57, 55-28 home) at 9:07 pm ET, Thursday,y in Game 5 of their National League Division Series at Oracle Park.

The Dodgers squared the best-of-five series at 2-2 on Tuesday night with a 7-2 victory in Game 4 at Los Angeles. The Dodgers have split four games in the NLDS after entering on an eight-game winning streak.

The Giants have lost two of their last three games after winning nine of their previous 10.

The game, in which the teams are co-favorites, will be televised by TBS.

Dodgers vs Giants Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Los Angeles Dodgers -110 -1.5 (+160) Over 7 (+105)
San Francisco Giants -110 +1.5 (-190) Under 7 (-125)

Odds as of October 13th at DraftKings.

The moneyline opened with both teams at -110 odds and has remain unchanged. It should be a typically blustery autumn night in San Francisco with the low temperature forecast for 52 degrees and the wind at 10-15 mph from the west with gusts up to 20 mph.

Probable Pitchers

Left-hander Julio Urias (20-3, 2.96 regular season) will start for the Dodgers against Logan Webb (11-3, 3.03). The two pitchers have not lost a game in a combined 39 starts.

Urias last tasted defeat June 21 against the Padres at San Diego. Webb took his last loss May 5 to the Rockies in Colorado.

Urias vs Webb

Julio Urias
VS
Logan Webb
20-3 Record 11-3
2.96 ERA 3.03
3.12 xERA 3.22
1.01 WHIP 1.10
5.13 SO/W 4.39

Urias is 12-0 with a 2.02 ERA in his last 18 starts and coming off a Game 2 victory at San Francisco. He allowed one run on three hits in five innings with five strikeouts and one walk.

The Dodgers are 27-6 when Urias starts this season. He has notched quality starts in 13 of those 33 games.

On the road, he has a 14-2 record and 2.67 ERA in 19 starts while going 13-2 with a 3.18 ERA at night in 23 starts.

Urias has faced the Giants six times this season and gone 3-1 with a 3.15 ERA. He is 3-3 with a 2.56 ERA in his career against San Francisco in 21 games (15 starts) and is 3-2 with a 2.79 ERA in 11 games (seven starts) at Oracle Park.

For his career in the postseason, Urias is 7-2 with a 2.68 ERA in 19 games (four starts)

Webb had a specular outing to win Game 1 at Oracle Park in his postseason debut. He worked 7.2 shutout innings, allowing five hits, striking out 10 and issuing no walks while improving to 11-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last 21 starts.

The Giants are 22-5 in Webb’s starts in 2021 and he has 15 quality starts. He is a perfect 7-0 at home with a 1.80 ERA in 14 games (13 starts) and 6-2 with a 2.14 ERA in 16 night starts.

Webb is 2-0 with a 1.52 ERA in four starts against the Dodgers this season and 2-2 with a 2.89 ERA in seven career starts.

The 24-year-old will be the youngest pitcher in Giants’ history to start a winner-take-all postseason game.

Taylor Made

Dodgers center fielder Chris Taylor is 4 for 13 against Webb with one home run. Turner is 3 for 10 with all the hits being doubles.

Batting Averages vs Starting Pitchers

Dodgers Batters Batting Average vs Webb Home Batters Batting Average vs Starter
Austin Barnes .667 Buster Posey .500
Billy McKinney .500 Steven Duggar .500
Chris Taylor .308 Austin Slater .368
Justin Turner .300 Brandon Crawford .294
Mookie Betts .250 Wilmer Flores .250
Will Smith .250 Kris Bryant .250
Corey Seager .250 Donovan Solano .238
Gavin Lux .200 Evan Longoria .222
Cody Bellinger .188 Darin Ruf .211
AJ Pollock .125 Mike Yastrzemski .200
Matt Beaty .000 Curt Casali .000
Trea Turner .000 LaMonte Wade Jr. .000
Albert Pujols .000 Tommy La Stella .000
Alex Dickerson .000

Ageless Giants catcher Buster Posey presents matchup problems for Urias, going 10 for 20 with four doubles. Outfielder Austin Slater is 7 for 19 with three doubles and a home run.

San Francisco second baseman and leadoff hitter Tommy La Stella left the previous two games early because of left Achilles tightness. However, he is expected to be in the lineup for Game 5.

Dodgers vs Giants Pick

The teams will be meeting for the 24th and final time this season and the series is about as close as it can get with the Giants holding a 12-11 edge. However, the Dodgers have won seven of 12 games at Oracle Park.

The Dodgers won Game 4 when Mookie Betts homered and drove in three runs and Will Smith also went deep.

Pitcher wins have become devalued in modern-day baseball in favor of ERA and more exotic metrics. However, Urias has a 28-3 record over the last two seasons (including playoffs). It’s hard to ignore that.

The Pick: Dodgers moneyline (-110)

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