Dodgers vs Padres Game 3 Predictions & Odds

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:

- The Dodgers are -127 road favorites over the Padres in Game 3 of their NLDS on Friday night
- Tony Gonsolin (16-1, 2.14) will pitch for the Dodgers against lefty Blake Snell (8-10, 3.43)
- A look at the Dodgers vs Padres predictions and odds can be found belowÂ
Both teams will try to take control of the series when the Los Angeles Dodgers visit the San Diego Padres at 8:37 p.m. ET Friday in Game 3 of their National League Division Series at Petco Park.
The Padres (92-75, 44-37 home) evened the best-of-five series at one game apiece with a 5-3 victory on Wednesday night in Los Angeles. The Padres have alternated losses and wins in their last six games.
The Dodgers (112-52, 54-27 road) have the best record in the major leagues but have lost four of their last six games.
Dodgers vs Padres Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers | -127 | -1.5 (+138) | O 7.5 (+102) |
San Diego Padres | +108 | +1.5 (-165) | U -7.5 (-120) |
Odds as of October 14th at Barstool Sportsbook. Claim the Barstool Sportsbook promo code.
The Dodgers are -127 favorites, giving them a win probability of 55.95%, while the Padres are given a 48.08% chance of winning as +108 underdogs in the MLB odds. Los Angeles is favored in the World Series odds at +350 while San Diego is listed at +2500.
The weather forecast calls for mostly cloudy, a gametime temperature of 68 with a low of 63 and southwest wind at 5 mph.
Los Angeles vs San Diego Probable Pitchers
Tony Gonsolin (16-1, 2.14) is scheduled to start for the Dodgers against left-hander Blake Snell (8-10, 3.43). Gonsolin will be pitching on 10 days of rest and Snell on five.
Gonsolin vs Snell
16-1 | Record | 8-10 |
2.14 | ERA | 3.43 |
3.12 | xERA | 3.19 |
0.87 | WHIP | 1.25 |
3.40 | SO/W | 3.09 |
Gonsolin has pitched only once since returning from the injured list after missing nearly six weeks with a strained right forearm.
He was activated Oct. 3 and pitched two innings against the Colorado Rockies in a no-decision in Los Angeles. He gave up one run and three hits, struck out three and walked none. Gonsolin won five straight starts before being injured.
Against the Padres, Gonsolin has a perfect 4-0 record and 1.45 ERA in six games (five starts). He is 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA in two games (one start) at Petco Park.

Gonsolin will be making his fourth career postseason start and eighth appearance. He has a 1-2 mark and 3.33 ERA.
Manager Dave Roberts says Gonsolin will be on an approximately 75-pitch limit and likely be followed by either Dustin May or left-hander Andrew Heaney.
Gonsolin has not lost on the road this season in 11 starts, going 7-0 with a 2.66 ERA. He is 13-1 at night with a 2.10 ERA in 20 starts. The Dodgers have won 19 of Gonsolin’s 24 outings.
Snell had a shaky outing last Saturday in Game 2 of the Padres’ NL Wild Card Series with the Mets in New York as he allowed six walks in 3.1 innings of a no-decision. He was charged with two runs on four hits and had five strikeouts.
However, Snell has a sparkling 1.84 ERA in his last three starts despite a 0-1 record.
Snell has made 11 career starts against the Dodgers, going 1-1 with a 2.54 ERA. He has a 2-3 career postseason record and 3.05 ERA in 10 games (eight starts).
Snell is fan friendly – even in enemy territory.
Blake Snell tossed us a ball!! 🤣 pic.twitter.com/6UnbQwBEmH
— Clippers gon’ clip (@clippersgonclip) October 12, 2022
At home this season, Snell is just 4-8 with a 3.56 ERA in 15 starts. He is 7-6 with a 2.83 ERA in 17 starts at night. The Padres have gone just 9-15 when Snell gets the ball.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Dodgers Batters | Batting Average vs Blake Snell |
---|---|
Joey Gallo | .600 |
Freddie Freeman | .444 |
Austin Barnes | .429 |
Chris Taylor | .263 |
Will Smith | .250 |
Mookie Betts | .231 |
Trea Turner | .200 |
Trayce Thompson | .200 |
Justin Turner | .167 |
Cody Bellinger | .111 |
Max Muncy | .059 |
Padres Batters | Batting Average vs Tony Gonsolin |
Jurickson Profar | .500 |
Josh Bell | .500 |
Trent Grisham | .400 |
Juan Soto | .333 |
Manny Machado | .273 |
Brandon Drury | .200 |
Wil Myers | .167 |
Ha-Seong Kim | .167 |
Jake Cronenworth | .000 |
Austin Nola | .000 |
Jorge Alfaro | .000 |
Joey Gallo could get a start for the Dodgers as he is 3 for 5 with two home runs off Snell in a limited sample size. Max Muncy has hit just .059 against the lefty, going 1 for 17.
Joey Gallo plays postseason baseball today. pic.twitter.com/z0lUo2INib
— Kelvin (@Cole4CyYoung) October 11, 2022
The Padres’ Jurickson Profar is 5 for 10 (.500) with three doubles against Gonsolin. Jake Cronenworth, on the other hand, is hitless in 10 at-bats.
Dodgers vs Padres Betting Trends
Manny Machado homered and hit an RBI double in the Padres’ win in Game 2 on Wednesday night. He has +10000 NL MVP odds.
Manny is The Man! #CaptureTheMoment pic.twitter.com/7JHuDVBzjs
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) October 13, 2022
Profar also had two hits. He singled in the go-ahead run in the sixth inning.
The Dodgers’ runs came on solo home runs by Freddie Freeman, Max Muncy and Trea Turner. Freeman, Muncy and Lux had two hits each.
Roberts plans to make one lineup change. Left fielder Chris Taylor will start in place of center fielder Cody Bellinger while Trayce Thompson will move from left to center.
Taylor missed the first two games of the series because of neck soreness.
Live at-bats for Chris Taylor vs Victor Gonzalez tonight #Dodgers pic.twitter.com/L9D0AQ2NqY
— Bill Plunkett (@billplunkettocr) October 11, 2022
The Dodgers lead the season series 15-6, including going 6-3 in San Diego. Since 2008, Los Angeles has a 177-99 record against the Padres.
LAD vs SD 10 Games
Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
---|---|---|---|
10/12/22 | Dodgers | Padres | SD, 5-3 |
10/11/22 | Dodgers | Padres | LAD, 5-3 |
9/29/22 | Padres | Dodgers | LAD, 5-2 |
9/28/22 | Padres | Dodgers | LAD, 1-0 |
9/27/22 | Padres | Dodgers | SD, 4-3 |
9/11/22 | Padres | Dodgers | LAD, 11-2 |
9/10/22 | Padres | Dodgers | LAD, 8-2 |
9/9/22 | Padres | Dodgers | SD, 5-4 |
9/4/22 | Dodgers | Padres | LAD, 9-4 |
9/3/22 | Dodgers | Padres | LAD, 12-1 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers don’t figure to get too many outs from Gonsolin, so Roberts will likely have to rely heavily on the bullpen. However, Snell looks like a fade candidate following his erratic outing in New York.
Pick: Dodgers ML (-127)

Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.