Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 Predictions, Best Odds & Betting Splits

• The LA Dodgers can take a commanding 3-0 lead on the Yankees in the 2024 World Series tonight
• Walker Buehler starts for LAD against Cole Schmidt for NYY
• See the Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 predictions, odds, and betting splits

Up 2-0 after holding serve in California, the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 46-35 away) look to take a 3-0 on the New York Yankees (94-68, 44-37 home) in Game 3 of the best-of-seven World Series tonight at Yankee Stadium (8:08 pm ET). With Clarke Schmidt on the mound for the Pinstripes opposite Walker Buehler for Los Angeles, New York is a modest home avorites in the Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 odds.

Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 Predictions

• LA Dodgers moneyline (+135) at ESPN Bet
• Under 8.5 runs (+105) at Caesars
  

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After Game 1’s emotional comeback victory on Freddie Freeman’s walk-off grand slam, the Dodgers largely dominated Game 2, doubling up on the Yankees in both runs (4-2) and hits (8-4) while chasing starter Carlos Rodon after just 3.1 innings.

While the sight of Walker Buehler on the bump has become panic-inducing for Dodgers fans, the 30-year-old showed signs of regaining his two-time All-Star form last time out. Buehler pitched 4.0 shutout innings in a pivotal Game 3 against the Mets, allowing just three hits and two walks with six strikeouts. He’d only fanned one batter in his previous ten innings.

The shutout performance lowered his postseason ERA from a ridiculous 10.80 to a still-ugly 6.00. He had a career-worst 5.38 ERA in 75.1 regular-season innings, as well.

Only three of the Yankee starters have ever faced Buehler before. Juan Soto is 4-for-15 with no extra-base hits and three Ks; Anthony Rizzo is 2-for-9 with a double; and Jazz Chisholm is 3-for-5 with a double.

The same is true of NYY starter Clarke Schmidt against the Dodger starters: Kike Hernandez is 1-for-7; Teoscar Hernandez is 0-for-3; and Shohei Ohtani is 1-for-3 with a home run.

Schmidt, who had a stellar 2.85 ERA in 85.1 regular-season innings, hasn’t been nearly as effective in two playoff starts against the Guardians and Royals. He went 4.2 innings in both and allowed two earned runs in both. He has a 1.28 WHIP in those 9.1 IP.

Buehler is a massive question mark heading into Game 3. But his last outing shows that he still has huge upside, and with the Dodger bats mashing the way they have been over the last eight games, I am hammering LAD at significant plus-money.

I’m also going to back the under based on the strength of both bullpens, which come into Monday well-rested after a day off on Sunday.

Best Dodgers vs Yankees Odds for Game 3

Odds updated at 5:16 pm ET, Oct. 28. 

The odds for Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 show a decent range as of Monday morning. The best Dodger moneyline is currently +135 at ESPN Bet (nowhere else as the line longer than +130) while the best price on a Yankee victory is -146 at FanDuel (no other book as NYY longer than -150).

On the runline, bettors can get LAD +1.5 at -155 at DraftKings, while NYY -1.5 is +140 at BetMGM.

There isn’t a ton of variety when it comes to the game total. Most books have it at 8.5 with the juice on the over. DraftKings has upped the run total to 9.0 but with -122 odds on the under.

The Dodgers moved to -417 favorites in the 2024 World Series odds after winning Games 1 and 2. The Yankees are +325 to pull off the comeback and win their first championship since 2009.

LAD vs NYY Public-Betting Splits (Game 3)

Monday’s MLB public betting splits show some interesting trends. On the moneyline, the Yankees are getting the vast majority of the bets (75%) but the Dodgers are actually getting slightly more of the money (52%), meaning that the Dodgers are getting significantly bigger wagers.

The runline shows no such discrepancy. The Yankees are getting 81% of runline handle and 85% of runline tickets as -1.5 favorites.

The public is also hammering the over. As of 11:15 am ET, 70% of run-total handle and 69% of bets were on over 8.5, despite the juice.