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Giants vs Tigers Odds, Picks & NRFI Best Bets (April 16)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Apr 15, 2023 · 11:55 PM PDT

Riley Greene slides into home plate safely
Apr 15, 2023; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Tigers center fielder Riley Greene (31) dives in to score against the San Francisco Giants in the eighth inning at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
  • San Francisco is a -145 moneyline favorite in the Giants vs Tigers odds on Sunday afternoon
  • Detroit has won three straight, including the first two games of this series
  • See below for the Giants vs Tigers odds, picks and NRFI bets

Two teams going in two very different directions at the moment close out a three-game set in Detroit on Sunday. The Tigers (5-9, 2-3 home) host the Giants (5-9, 3-5 away), looking to complete the three-game sweep. Read on for an analysis of Giants vs Tigers.

Online sportsbooks aren’t bullish on their chances though, as they pegged San Fran as road chalk in the MLB odds.

Giants vs Tigers Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
San Francisco Giants -145 -1.5 (+115) O 8.5 (+100)
Detroit Tigers +125 +1.5 (-135) U 8.5 (-120)

The Giants are currently -145 moneyline favorites, in a contest with a total of 8.5. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm ET at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan, with 72-degree temperature and a 40% chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.

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Odds as of April 15 at FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code.

San Francisco vs Detroit Probable Pitchers

Big things were expected by the Giants this year from Logan Webb. So far, he’s failed to deliver. Webb started the season as a longshot NL Cy Young odds contender, but that seems like a pipe dream now after his start.

Webb has coughed up at least four runs in each of his three outings. He’s surrendered four home runs already, while opponents are batting .270 against him.

One bright spot about his performance, however, has been his strikeout rate. He’s fanned 22 batters through 17 innings of work, while his K/BB rate (7.3) is nearly two times higher than his career-best mark.

He’s got minimal history against these Detroit hitters, but the Tigers he has faced have not fared well. Webb has surrendered only one hit to Detroit roster players in 15 at-bats, while striking out six.

Webb vs Boyd Stats

Logan Webb
VS
Matthew Boyd
0-3 Record 0-1
4.76 ERA 4.00
1.24 WHIP 1.56
.270 OBA .206
7.3 SO/W Ratio 1.0

The Tigers will counter with Matthew Boyd, whose K/BB rate is significantly less impressive. He has a 1-1 strikeout-to-walk rate through two starts and has yet to make it out of the 5th inning.

On the bright side, he’s only allowed four runs and hasn’t been taken deep. He’s also inducing plenty of soft contact, as his hard-hit rate sits at just 25%.

Giants vs Tigers Betting Trends

One look at the Giants’ lineup and you certainly wouldn’t expect them to rank third this season in home runs. But that’s where they sit after belting two on Saturday and a pair on Friday.

San Fran raced out to a 6-1 lead in Saturday’s loss but faltered down the stretch before losing in 11 innings. It was the second straight 11th-inning loss against the Tigers, and San Fran’s third straight defeat overall.

Detroit meanwhile, has won three straight after a 2-9 start. They’ve scored seven runs in back-to-back contests, after crossing the plate three times or fewer in nine of their previous 11 outings.

The Tigers are baseball’s second-lowest scoring team, while only the Guardians and Nationals have hit fewer home runs. Detroit also strikes out at the league’s fourth-highest rate, whiffing 22 times through the first two games of this series.

As a result, make sure to check out Webb’s strikeout prop once it’s released. Given his strikeout rate to start the season, and the Tigers’ propensity for whiffing, there could be some serious value to be found.

Giants vs Tigers NRFI Best Bet

Detroit’s been extremely guilty of slow starts this season. In fact, they’ve scored a run in the first inning in only two of their 14 games. No other team has started slower so far, and the matchup with Webb is certainly not favorable in spite of his underwhelming form.

1st Inning Over/Under 0.5 Runs

Team Moneyline
Over +104
Under -132

San Fran on the other hand, has scored a 1st inning run in five of 14 games, and back-to-back outings versus Detroit. Their lineup is very top-heavy, but two of their best hitters will sit out on Sunday. That would be Michael Conforto (calf) and Joc Pederson (undisclosed), and the lack of those bats drastically reduces San Fran’s offensive ceiling.

Boyd meanwhile, has not allowed a 1st inning run in either one of his two starts. Webb has coughed up a 1st inning run in each of his three outings, but all three teams he’s faced have scored at least 20 more runs than the Tigers this season.

Pick: 1st Inning Under 0.5 Runs (-132)

 

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