Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Odds, Predictions & Starting Pitchers (Game 4)

• The Dodgers can win the 2024 World Series in Game 4 on Tuesday
• The Yankees turn to rookie Luis Gil in a must-win spot, while the LAD goes with a bullpen game
• See the Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees odds, predictions, and picks on Oct. 29

After a 4-2 win last night game them a 3-0 stranglehold in the series, the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 46-35 away) can sweep the New York Yankees (94-68, 44-37 home) in Game 4 of the World Series on Tuesday night at Yankee Stadium (8:08 pm ET).

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Odds (Game 4)

New York is listed as a -150 moneyline favorite in Tuesday’s MLB odds with LAD coming back as a +125 road underdog. The over/under is currently sitting at 8.5 with -110 odds both ways .

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Games 2 and 3 both ended with identical 4-2 scorelines in favor of the Dodgers, while Game 1 went to extra innings tied 2-2 before a rash of scoring in the 10th gave LA a 6-3 win.

Freddie Freeman tied a World Series record last night by homering in his fifth straight WS game. In addition to his homers in Games 1, 2, and 3 of this series, he also went deep for the Atlanta Braves in the Games 5 and 6 of the 2021 World Series.

Tuesday’s MLB public betting splits show LAD getting the vast majority of moneyline handle: 86% of money is currently on the Dodgers to close out the series tonight. The public is also backing the under to a lesser degree, with 55% of run-total handle on under 8.5.

LAD vs NYY Starting Pitchers

The Yankees hand the ball to rookie Luis Gil in Tuesday’s must-win game. Gil finished the regular season as the favorite in the AL Rookie of the Year odds.  Gil has been used sparingly in the postseason, starting just one game (Game 4 against Cleveland in the ALCS). Gil lasted 4.0 innings, allowing two runs on three hits and two walks with three strikeouts.

Gil made one start against the Dodgers regular season, going 5.2 innings while giving up three runs on five hits and a walk with five Ks in a 6-4 victory.

Instead of handing the ball to his own rookie starter Landon Knack, LA manager Dave Roberts will go with another bullpen game. It’s a strategy that’s largely paid dividends for the Dodgers in the postseason. Los Angeles won Game 4 against the Padres (8-0) using the same strategy, as well as the decisive Game 6 against the Mets (10-5). It didn’t work out in Game 2 against NYM when the Mets earned a 7-3 victory.

The Dodger bullpen has already accounted for 11.1 IP in the World Series, allowing four runs on 11 hits and seven walks.

Dodgers vs Yankees Game 4 Prediction

The Yankee bats have gone ice-cold cold at the wrong time and, despite Shohei Ohtani (shoulder) clearly being much less than 100%, the Dodger lineup is still finding ways to manufacture runs. Plate discipline has been a huge difference-maker throughout the World Series, with the Dodgers drawing 14 walks through the first three games.

Walks have been Gil’s main weakness in his rookie season, recording a relatively high 12.1% walk rate, which would have been in the top 20 (in a bad way) if Gil qualified for the MLB leaderboard.

With the Dodgers sitting at plus-money for the second straight game, I’ll gladly back LAD for the second straight game.

LAD vs NYY picks:

• Dodgers moneyline (+125) at ESPN Bet
• Under 8.5 runs (-106) at FanDuel