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Mets’ World Series Odds Take a Beating After Being Swept by Brewers

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Mar 26, 2020 · 1:28 PM PDT

Noah Syndergaard
Noah Syndergaard has struggled mightily so far this season. Photo by Arturo Pardavila III (flickr) [CC License].
  • The Mets’ average World Series odds have plummeted to +2500
  • New York has just two wins in May and the third worst run differential in the National League
  • Can they rebound or are Mets fans destined for another year of misery?

The New York Mets were never a serious title contender, and their recent play is clear proof of that. New York has dropped four of its last five games, scoring just 13 runs along the way, and has seen its average World Series odds plummet to +2500.

2019 World Series Odds

Team Odds
Houston Astros +450
Los Angeles Dodgers +500
New York Yankees +500
Chicago Cubs +1000
Philadelphia Phillies +1100
St. Louis Cardinals +1100
Tampa Bay Rays +1100
Boston Red Sox +1500
Milwaukee Brewers +1500
New York Mets +3300

*Odds taken on 05/07/19

Books are even more bearish on the Mets’ championship prospects and for good reason. New York has the third worst run differential in the National League, and is failing at the plate and on the mound.

Mets Plagued by Pitching Problems

The strength of this Mets team was supposed to be its pitching, but so far that hasn’t come to fruition. New York has allowed the second most runs in the NL and none of its starters have a WAR above 0.8 or an ERA below 3.60.

The loss of Steven Matz to a nerve issue hurts, but both Jacob deGrom and Noah Syndergaard have performed below expectations. They’ve each battled early season command issues and both are surrendering home runs at a rate above their career average.

deGrom has performed better in his last two starts, albeit a pair of losses, but even when he does pitch well he fails to get any run support from New York’s putrid offense.

New York Has Been Offensively Challenged

The Mets have scored just 13 runs in their last seven games, and one of those contests went 18 innings. Only two teams in the Majors have struck out more than New York, and aside from rookie sensation Pete Alonso, the Mets are a team full of underachievers.

Just three of their position players have a positive WAR and eight-time All-Star Robinson Cano is slugging a putrid .380 on the season, despite earning a base salary of $24 million.

Move Away From the Mets and onto the Rays

The Mets are a mediocre team with an underachieving roster. There’s no value chasing their World Series odds because they simply don’t have the pieces in place to win a championship. The Astros remain the rightful favorites but don’t ignore what’s going on in Tampa.

Fresh off a blowout victory over Arizona, the Rays now have an MLB best +57 run differential and a two game lead in the American League East. They’ve won eight of their first 10 series in 2019 and +1100 is a juicy price for baseball’s analytical darlings.

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