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MLB NRFI Picks & Odds; First 5 Innings Best Bets for Thursday (June 23)

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball

Jun 22, 2022 · 9:22 PM PDT

San Diego Padres starting pitcher Joe Musgrove throwing a pitch to home plate
Jun 16, 2022; Chicago, Illinois, USA; San Diego Padres starting pitcher Joe Musgrove (44) delivers against the Chicago Cubs during the first inning at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports
  • A light ten-game slate is on tap for Thursday, June 23, in Major League Baseball
  • Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers face Hunter Greene and the Reds in a game that could start slowly
  • See the NRFI and YRFI odds and picks for Thursday, plus first-half odds and best bets

Ten teams are resting on Thursday, June 23, in the MLB, leaving just a relatively light ten games on the schedule.

The first table below lists the NRFI odds (no runs first inning) and YRFI odds (yes runs first inning) for Thursday’s games, followed by best bets for the day.

The second section below looks at the first 5 innings odds and picks.

MLB NRFI Odds (June 23)

Matchup NRFI YRFI
Rockies vs Marlins -135 +105
Giants vs Braves +100 -130
Cubs vs Pirates -115 -115
Dodgers vs Reds -115 -115
Guardians vs Twins +100 -135
Cardinals vs Brewers -120 -135
Mariners vs Athletics -175 +130
Astros vs Yankees -120 -110
Orioles vs White Sox -110 -120
Phillies vs Padres -150 +110

Odds as of June 21 at DraftKings Sportsbook

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Dodgers vs Reds NRFI Pick

Cincinnati rookie Hunter Greene hasn’t exactly been dominant. He’s rocking an unenviable 5.26 ERA on the season which is accompanied by a less-than-stellar 1.29 WHIP.

But the LA native has actually been quite sound in the first innings of games this year. He has held his opponent scoreless in four straight starts and  seven of the last eight.

While the Dodger offense has racked up 16 runs over the past two games in Cincinnati’s bandbox of a stadium, it was sputtering prior (relatively speaking, anyway).

With Clayton Kershaw facing an anemic Cincinnati offense on the other side, I will take NRFI in tomorrow’s Dodgers vs Reds game. Note that first pitch is scheduled for an uncharacteristically early 12:35 pm ET.

MLB First 5 Innings Odds (June 22)

Team 1st 5 Moneyline
Colorado Rockies +114
Miami Marlins -140
Team 1st 5 Moneyline
San Francisco Giants +114
Atlanta Braves -140
Team 1st 5 Moneyline
Chicago Cubs -115
Pittsburgh Pirates -105
Team 1st 5 Moneyline
LA Dodgers -188
Cincinnati Reds +152
Team 1st 5 Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians +122
Minnesota Twins -144
Team 1st 5 Moneyline
St Louis Cardinals -112
Milwaukee Brewers -104
Team 1st 5 Moneyline
Seattle Mariners -136
Oakland Athletics +116
Team 1st 5 Moneyline
Houston Astros +110
New York Yankees -134
Team 1st 5 Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles +132
Chicago White Sox -162
Team 1st 5 Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies +132
San Diego Padres -156

Odds as of June 21 at FanDuel Sportsbook. See available FanDuel Sportsbook promo codes

 

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Phillies vs Padres First 5 Innings Pick

The bet I like most among Thursday’s first-half moneyline odds is the San Diego Padres at a short -156 against the visiting Philadelphia Phillies.

The pitching mismatch here is too good to pass up. Joe Musgrove, who has emerged as a favorite in the NL Cy Young odds, is up against Rangers Suarez. The Venezuelan is sporting an inflated 4.43 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. He’s walked seven batters over his past two starts and surrendered a total of seven runs (five earned) over 9.3 innings of work.

Musgrove, on the other hand, has a sparkling 1.59 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. He hasn’t given up more than two runs in a single start this season, and has held opponents to one or zero runs in six of 13 starts. His 4.8 K/BB ratio is the best of his career.

First 5 Innings Best Bet: Padres (-156)

 

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