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Padres vs Phillies Game 5 Predictions, Odds, Probable Pitchers

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Oct 23, 2022 · 5:05 AM PDT

Padres vs Phillies Game 5 Predictions, Odds
Oct 22, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Edmundo Sosa (33) and first baseman Rhys Hoskins (17) and shortstop Bryson Stott (5) celebrate their win over the San Diego Padres in game four of the NLCS for the 2022 MLB Playoffs at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Philadelphia Phillies are -140 favorites over the San Diego Padres in Game 5 of the NLCS on Sunday, October 23
  • A win by the Phillies will advance them to the World Series
  • All of the Padres vs Phillies Game 5predictions, odds, and probable pitchers are listed in the story belo

Leading the San Diego Padres (6-5, 3-4 away) 3-1, the Philadelphia Phillies (8-2, 4-0 home) are one win away from getting to the World Series for the first time since 2009.

And the last five times that the Phillies have been within a victory of getting to the World Series, they have gotten there each and every time. In fact, the last two times that Philadelphia won the NLCS, they did so by 4-1 margins. A win Sunday would give Philadelphia a 4-1 verdict over the Padres.

Oddsmakers are going with the Phillies to be done with San Diego. They re set as –140 home favorites to extinguish the Padres’ season in Game 5. Philadelphia is 2-0 straight up in elimination games so far in the MLB postseason.

Padres vs Phillies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
San Diego Padres +118 +1.5 (-195) O 8.5 (-120)
Philadelphia Phillies -140 -1.5 (+162) U 6.5 (+100)

Odds as of October 23 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get a Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

At moneyline odds of -140, a bet on either team would have an implied probability of victory of 58.33% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Philadelphia would create a payout of $17.10.


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First pitch at Citizen Bank Park goes at 2:37pm ET on Sunday, October 23. The weather forecast is calling for rain with 10 mph wind and a temperature of 59 degrees. The Phillies are given -1000 odds to take this set and advance in the MLB playoff bracket.

In the World Series odds, Philadelphia is set as the +170 second betting choice in this betting line. San Diego is third at +1600.

San Diego vs Philadelphia Probable Pitchers

In the MLB lineups, Padres right-hander Yu Darvish will be looking to rebound from a Game 1 setback Though he struck out seven and walked just one batter while checking the Phillies on three hits, two of the hits surrendered by Darvish were solo homers in the 2-0 loss.

Darvish has proven to be a much more effective hurler on the road during his MLB playoff career. In five career postseason starts away from home, the righty is 4-1 with a 3.60 ERA.

Darvish is 2-1 with a 2.23 ERA in seven starts against the Phillies. In four starts at Citizens Bank Park, he’s 1-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.87 WHIP.

Darvish vs Wheeler Stats

Yu Darvish
Zack Wheeler
16-8 Record 12-7
3.10 ERA 2.82
3.49 xERA 3.10
0.95 WHIP 1.04
4.72 SO/W Ratio 4.79

Phillies right-hander Zack Wheeler will be seeking to repeat his masterful performance from Game 1 of this series. During Philadelphia’s 2-0 victory Wheeler worked seven innings of one-hit shutout ball. He struck out eight while issuing a solitary walk.

It was Wheeler’s first career win in the MLB  postseason, He failed to register a decision in Game 1 of the NLWS against the Cardinals and took the loss in Game 2 of the NLDS at Atlanta.

All three of his starts in these playoffs have come on the road. This will be the first time he’s toeing the slab at home. Wheeler was 6-3 with a 1.85 ERA in 13 home starts this season.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Phillies Batters Batting Average vs Darvish Padres Batters Batting Average vs Wheeler
Bryce Harper ..222 Josh Bell .276
Rhys Hoskins .316 Wil Myers .222
JP Realmuto .200 Jurickson Profar .250
Kyle Schwarber .364 Juan Soto .275

Philadelphia’s Kyle Schwarber is 4-for-11 (.364) off his old Cubs teammate Darvish, with two homers and three RBI. Rhys Hoskins is 6-for-19 (.316) with a homer and three RBI.

San Diego’s Josh Bell is batting .276 (8-for-29) against Wheeler with two homes and five RBI.  Juan Soto is 11-for-40 (.275) two solo homers.

Padres vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are getting it done in the years’s MLB postseason, and they are doing so in short order. The Cardinals were swept in two games in the NLWS, while the Braves managed to extend their NLDS with Philadephia to four games before succumbing.

Philadelphia is a perfect 4-0 straight up at home. San Diego is 3-4 SU on the road.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies ML (-140)

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