Phillies vs Braves Odds, Betting Lines, and Probable Pitchers (Sep. 30)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Braves are -150 home favorites over the Phillies on Thursday night
- Kyle Gibson (10-8, 3.60) will pitch for the Phillies against Ian Anderson (8-5, 3.60)
- The matchups and odds can be found below with a prediction
The Atlanta Braves will try to wrap up their four consecutive National League East title when they host the Philadelphia Phillies at 7:20 pm ET, Thursday, in the finale of a three-game series at Truist Park.
The Braves (85-72, 39-37 home) have a 4.5-game lead over the second-place Phillies (81-77, 34-43 away). Atlanta’s magic number to clinch the division title is one after winning the first two games of the series and they are favored Thursday.
The Phillies have lost three games in a row following a five-game winning streak. The Braves are on a five-game winning streak and winners of nine of their last 10 games.
Phillies vs Braves Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | +130 | +1.5 (-155) | Over 8.5 (-110) |
| Atlanta Braves | -150 | -1.5 (+135) | Under 8.5 (-110) |
Odds as of September 29th at DraftKings.
The moneyline has gone up slightly after the Braves opened as -145 picks. It should be a pleasant night for baseball with the temperature forecast to be 81 mph at first pitch under clear skies and negligible wind.
Probable Pitchers
Starting pitchers with identical ERAs will square off as Kyle Gibson (10-8, 3.60) starts for the Phillies against Ian Anderson (8-5, 3.60).
Acquired from the Texas Rangers at the trade deadline, Gibson has had an awful September, going 0-3 with a 7.16 ERA in five starts.
Gibson vs Anderson
| 10-8 | Record | 8-5 |
| 3.60 | ERA | 3.60 |
| 3.78 | xERA | 4.35 |
| 1.21 | WHIP | 1.24 |
| 2.37 | SO/W | 2.44 |
Gibson had a no-decision against the Pittsburgh Pirates last Friday in Philadelphia when he gave up four runs and three hits in six innings while striking out six and walking two.
At least he flashed some pop.
KYLE GIBSON!
His first Major League home run!!! #RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/8SPLoCSuok
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) September 24, 2021
While Gibson has had 20 quality starts in 29 tries overall this season, he has notched only one QS in September. The Phillies are 5-6 with Gibson on the mound but just 1-4 this month.
Gibson is 3-5 with a 4.29 ERA in 16 road starts this season and 6-7 with a 3.97 ERA in 21 games (20 starts) at night.
Gibson has faced the Braves only once, pitching a complete-game eight-hitter to beat them in 2016 when he was with the Minnesota Twins.
Anderson is 3-0 with a 3.76 ERA in five starts since missing seven weeks with shoulder inflammation.
Anderson had one of his best outings of the season his last time out, allowing one run and two hits in seven innings Sept. 22 to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks in Phoenix. He finished with eight strikeouts and one walk.
Ian Anderson shoved. pic.twitter.com/9XRfsmLL1j
— Bally Sports South (@BallySportsSO) September 23, 2021
That was Anderson’s first quality start since July 1, and he has nine total in 23 starts this season. The Braves have a 12-11 record in his starts.
Anderson has a 4-1 record at Truist Park this season with a 3.58 ERA in 10 starts. In 16 starts at night, he is 7-2 with a 3.50 ERA.
Anderson has made his first four career starts against the Phillies this season, going 0-0 with a 3.09 ERA.
The Walking Man
Braves right fielder Jorge Soler is just 1 for 9 against Gibson but has been productive. The hit is a home run. Soler has also drawn six walks.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Phillies Batters | Batting Average vs Anderson |
|---|---|
| Freddy Galvis | 1.000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | .500 |
| Brad Miller | .333 |
| Ronald Torreyes | .333 |
| Andrew McCutchen | .300 |
| Jean Segura | .300 |
| Didi Gregorius | .286 |
| Andrew Knapp | .286 |
| Alec Bohm | .250 |
| Bryce Harper | .222 |
| Odubel Herrea | .000 |
| Braves Batters | Batting Average vs Gibson |
| Freddie Freeman | .500 |
| Dansby Swanson | .500 |
| Guillermo Heredia | .333 |
| Travis d’Arnaud | .273 |
| Orlando Arcia | .250 |
| Jorge Soler | .111 |
| Joc Pederson | .000 |
Phillies left fielder Andrew McCutchen is 3 for 10 with a home run and two walks against Anderson. The veteran also still plays sound defense.
Andrew McCutchen pulls off the diving circus catch 🎪 pic.twitter.com/4Y03Kw3NR8
— NBC Sports Philadelphia (@NBCSPhilly) September 28, 2021
Right fielder Bryce Harper has carried the Phillies in the second half. In 69 games since the All-Star break, he is hitting .336 with 26 doubles and 19 home runs,
Phillies-Braves Pick
The teams have split 18 games this season with the Braves winning six of eight in Atlanta. Since the start of the 2019 season, the Phillies hold a slim 24-23 edge.
The Braves won 7-2 on Wednesday night as Austin Riley drove in three runs.
💪 @austinriley1308 💪#ForTheA pic.twitter.com/A3C2ML2coV
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) September 30, 2021
The Braves are rolling and Anderson is looking healthy. All signs point to taking the chalk.
The Pick: Braves moneyline (-150)
Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
