Phillies vs Padres Game 2 NLCS Odds, Picks & Predictions

• San Diego is the -125 home favorite over Philadelphia in the Phillies vs Padres Game 2 odds for Wednesday, October 19
• The Phillies took a 1-0 lead in the best-of-seven series via a 2-0 victory on Tuesday
• San Diego hasn’t lost consecutive home games since Sept. 29-30

As they were claiming a 1-0 lead on the road over the San Diego Padres (5-3, 2-1 home) in Game 1 of the NLCS, the sense that the Philadelphia Phillies (6-1, 4-1 away) might be a team of destiny only took on a stronger narrative.

The Phillies were handing the Padres their first home loss of the MLB postseason. In the meantime, they were winning on the road for the fourth time in five playoff games.

Still, it’s the hometown Padres that the oddsmakers are sticking with for Game 2. They’re setting San Diego as a -125 home favorite. The Padres are 8-3 straight up this season in games played following a day in which they were shutout.

Phillies vs Padres Odds

Odds as of October 19 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get a Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

At moneyline odds of -125, the Padres have an implied probability of victory of 55.56% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on San Diego would create a payout of $18.00.

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First pitch at PETCO Park goes at 4:35pm ET on Wednesday, October 19. The weather forecast is calling for clear skies with 3 mph wind and a temperature of 88 degrees. Philadelphia is a -190 favorite to take this set and advance in the MLB playoff bracket. The Phillies winning the series in five games is the +380 chalk in a series correct score wager.

MLB betting trends are displaying that bettors are leaning toward the Phillies solidly to win Game 2. Philadelphia is drawing 58% of handle and 62% of bets in the runline public splits. Moneyline bettors are heavily backing the Phillies with 91% of handle and 70% of bets. On the total, 55% of handle is with the over. However, 68% of bets are leaning toward the under.

In the World Series odds, the Padres are second in this betting market at +325. The Phillies are the third betting choice at +325.

Philadelphia vs San Diego Probable Pitchers

In the MLB lineups, right-hander Aaron Nola gets the ball to face the Padres and his brother, San Diego catcher Austin Nola, in Game 2. Two of Nola’s stats jump off the page. His strikeouts to walks ratio (8.10) led the National League. Nola’s 0.96 WHIP was fourth among NL pitchers.

Phillies pitcher Aaron Nola will be facing his brother Austin Nola to go to the World Series

Their dad AJ Nola is wearing his Padres jersey on top tonight but he will wear his Phillies jersey on top tomorrow night when Aaron pitches. One proud Dad! A Nola will go to the WS pic.twitter.com/lYMPV2TD5c

— John Clark (@JClarkNBCS) October 18, 2022

He led the NL in bases on balls per nine innings (1.273) and was fourth in strikeouts per nine innings (10.317). Nola’s 235 strikeouts were third among NL hurlers. He was also among the top 1% of NL hurlers in bases on balls percentage (3.6), within the top 8% in hard hit percentage (31.6) and among the leading 10% in xERA (2.74) and xwOBA (.259).

Nola took the loss in a 1-0 setback at San Diego on June 4. He allowed one earned and struck out 10 over seven innings of work. In eight career starts against the Padres Nola is 2-4 with a 3.11 ERA.

Nola vs Snell Stats

Padres left-hander Blake Snell will be making his 12th MLB postseason appearance and 11th start. He beat the Dodgers 2-1 on Oct. 14. Snell allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings while striking out six.

Tomorrow, this man becomes the first player to start ALCS and NLCS games at the same ballpark. (Blake Snell started twice for the Rays at Petco Park in the 2020 ALCS.) pic.twitter.com/7d7SfKtrul

— AJ Cassavell (@AJCassavell) October 18, 2022

Snell rates among the top 8% of big-league pitchers in strikeout percentage (32). In six starts since Sept. 16, Snell is 3-1 with a 1.34 ERA.

Against the Phillies this year, Snell is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA. Over his career facing Philadelphia the veteran southpaw is 0-3 with a 4.91 ERA in four starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Philadelphia’s Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber homered in Game 1 and Harper, +250 favorite at Caesars to lead the MLB postseason in home runs, has also gone deep off of Snell.  Harper is just 1-for-7 (.143) but his lone hit was a two-run homer. JT Realmuto is 4-for-10 (.400) with a homer and 3 RBI. Rhys Hoskins is 1-for-3 (.333) with a solo homer.

San Diego’s Juan Soto has crushed three homers off of Nola, with six RBI. He’s batting .273 (9-for-33). Jose Azocar is 2-for-3 (.667). Both Jorge Alfaro (2-for-6) and Brandon Drury (1-for-3) are batting .333.

Phillies vs Padres Prediction

With the Game 1 victory, Philadelphia has now won three in a row and four out of five SU from the Padres. The Phillies have also won three straight at PETCO Park, as well as four out of five and eight of the last 10 games.

Bryce Harper’s reaction to that Schwarber HR. pic.twitter.com/O3h63EqJ5Y

— Crossing Broad (@CrossingBroad) October 19, 2022

Nola will be making his MLB postseason debut. Snell is a savvy veteran of the playoffs and is pitching at his best level all season long right now.

Pick: San Diego Padres ML (-125)