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Rays vs Red Sox Odds, Picks & Predictions (Aug 27)

John Perrotto

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Published:


Xander Bogaerts about to high-five teammate
Aug 26, 2022; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts (2) reacts after hitting a three run home run during the sixth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Rays are -122 road favorites over the Red Sox on Saturday
  • Jeffrey Springs (6-3, 2.46) will start for Tampa Bay against fellow lefty Rich Hill (5-5, 4.68)
  • A look at the matchup and odds can be found below with a pick

The Tampa Bay Rays look to get back on the winning track when they visit the Boston Red Sox at 4:10pm ET Saturday, in the middle game of a three-game series at Fenway Park.

The Rays (69-56, 27-33 road) had their six-game winning streak snapped by Boston 9-8 on Friday night. The Red Sox (61-64, 30-32 home) ended a three-game losing skid and won for just the second time in their last seven games.

The Rays fell eight games behind the division-leading New York Yankees in the American League East race. The Red Sox got within 7.5 games of the Seattle Mariners for the third AL wild card.

Rays vs Red Sox Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Tampa Bay Rays -122 -1.5 (+132) Over 9 (+100)
Boston Red Sox +105 +1.5 (-165) Under 9 (-120)

Odds as of August 26th at Barstool Sportsbook.

The Rays are -122 favorite giving them a 54.95% implied win probability. In the World Series odds, the Rays are at +3500 and the Red Sox at +25000.

The weather forecast calls for sunny, a high of 77 degrees and east wind at 5-8 mph.

Rays vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers

In a matchup of left-handers, Jeffrey Springs (6-3, 2.46) is scheduled to pitch for the Rays against Rich Hill (5-5, 4.68). Springs will be working on four days of rest and Hill on nine.

Springs vs Hill Odds

Jeffrey Springs
VS
Rich Hill
6-3 Record 5-5
2.46 ERA 4.68
3.42 xERA 4.53
1.08 WHIP 1.31
4.64 SO/W 2.63

Springs is having a fine August with a 3-0 record and 1.66 ERA in four starts.

On Monday, Springs beat the Los Angeles Angels in St. Petersburg. He gave up one run on five hits in 5.2 innings with seven strikeouts and three walks.

Springs has a soft side.

Springs has no career record against the Red Sox with a 3.09 ERA in nine games (one start). He has struggled at Fenway Park, going 0-1 with a 7.32 ERA in 14 games (one start).

Springs is 4-1 with a 2.68 ERA in 13 games (10 starts) on the road this season. In day games, he has gone 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in 10 games (six starts). The Rays have a 12-5 record in Springs’ starts.

Hill is 3-1 in his last six starts despite a 5.53 ERA.

Hill’s last start came Aug. 17 against the Pirates in Pittsburgh. He got the win, allowing two runs and three hits in five innings while striking out four and walking none.

Against the Rays, Hill is 2-0 with a 3.45 ERA in 13 games (four starts) during his career.

Sometimes, Hill must beat the umpires, too.

Hill is just 1-3 with a 6.82 ERA in seven home starts this season. In the day, he has a 2-3 record and 3.74 ERA in nine starts. The Red Sox have split in Hill’s 18 starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Rays Batters Batting Average vs Rich Hill
Taylor Walls 1.000
Ji-Man Choi .667
Randy Arozarena .500
Brandon Lowe .500
Harold Ramirez .333
David Peralta .263
Manuel Margot .217
Christian Bethancourt .200
Yandy Diaz .000
Francisco Mejia .000
Red Sox Batters Batting Average vs Jeffrey Springs
Kike Hernandez .667
Rafael Devers .500
Christian Arroyo .500
Xander Bogaerts .400
Bobby Dalbec .333
J.D. Martinez .333
Jarren Duran .000
Reese McGuire .000
Rob Refsnyder .000
Alex Verdugo .000
Franchy Cordero .000
Tommy Pham .000

The Rays’ Manuel Margot is a .217 hitter (5-for-23) against Hill with a double and home run. The Red Sox’ Rafael Devers, who has +9000 AL MVP odds, is 3-for-6 with a double against Springs.

Rays vs Red Sox Betting Outlook

Xander Bogaerts hit a three-run home run to help the Red Sox beat the Rays on Friday night. The shot came in the sixth inning and put Boston ahead 8-4 after Bogaerts came into the game hitting .217 in August.

Kevin Plawecki had three hits and two RBIs for the Red Sox and Kike Hernandez also had three hits. Tommy Pham and Alex Verdugo added two hits apiece and Franchy Cordero homered.

For the Rays, Yandy Diaz, Jose Siri and Ji-Man Chi homered. Diaz had three hits and Siri and David Peralta had two hits each.

Second baseman Brandon Lowe left the game with a right elbow contusion after being hit by a pitch in the third inning. He is questionable for Saturday.

The Rays are 8-3 against the Red Sox this season, including splitting four games in Boston. The Rays lead the series 39-24 since 2019.

Rays vs Red Sox Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/26/22 Red Sox Rays BOS, 9-8
7/14/22 Rays Red Sox TB, 5-4
7/13/22 Rays Red Sox TB, 4-1
7/12/22 Rays Red Sox TB, 3-2
7/11/22 Rays Red Sox TB, 10-5
7/6/22 Red Sox Rays TB, 7-1
7/5/22 Red Sox Rays TB, 8-4
7/4/22 Red Sox Rays BOS, 4-0
4/24/22 Rays Red Sox TB, 5-2
4/23/22 Rays Red Sox TB, 3-2

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction

Hill should be well rested after his last turn in the rotation was skipped. However, he has struggled at Fenway this season and the Rays have had their way with the Red Sox for the most point. Tampa Bay is the choice here.

Pick: Rays -122 ML

John Perrotto
John Perrotto

Sports Writer

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

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