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Reds vs Marlins Odds, Lines & Spread (Aug 1)

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in MLB Baseball

Updated Aug 1, 2022 · 7:59 AM PDT

Cincinnati Reds starting pitcher Hunter Greene throwing a pitch
Cincinnati Reds starting pitcher Hunter Greene (21) throws a pitch in the first inning of the MLB National League game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Miami Marlins at Great American Ball Park in downtown Cincinnati on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. Miami Marlins At Cincinnati Reds
  • The Reds and Marlins start a three-game set on Monday evening
  • Cincinnati has won two in a row, while Miami has dropped three straight
  • The Reds vs Marlins odds, preview, and predictions can be found below

Monday marks the beginning of a three-game National League set between the Cincinnati Reds (40-61, 16-29 away) and the Miami Marlins (47-55, 22-26 home) at loanDepot park in South Beach. The first pitch for the series opener is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET.

The Reds go with former first overall pick Hunter Green here. The Marlins have yet to announce their starter, but it’s widely expected Jesus Luzardo will return to the big leagues after almost three months on the IL.

Reds vs Marlins Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Cincinnati Reds +104 +1.5 (-196) O 8.0 (-110)
Miami Marlins -122 -1.5(+162) U 8.0 (-110)

Odds as of July 31st at FanDuel Sportsbook

 

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Reds vs Marlins Probable Pitchers

Greene has been in the Majors for most of the season, but he’s struggled to find success in his rookie campaign. The hard-throwing righty is 3-12 with a putrid 5.59 ERA in 19 starts and while Greene has struck out 119 in 96.2 innings, he’s allowed 23 home runs.

https://twitter.com/JustBBMedia/status/1552063016690237442

On a more positive note, his last start was respectable. Greene actually faced the Marlins, giving up two earned across 6.1 innings. He walked just one hitter while striking out six. Greene will be hopeful of a similar outcome on Monday.

Greene vs Luzardo Stats

Hunter Greene
VS
Jesus Luzardo
3-12 Record 2-3
5.59 ERA 4.03
96.2 Innings Pitched 29
119 Strikeouts 41
41 BB 16

Luzardo was dealing with forearm soreness which kept him on the shelf for quite some time. He finally made some rehab starts recently and tossed 75 pitches on Wednesday in Triple-A, going 4.2 innings and allowing two earned runs on four hits. All signs point to him getting the ball on Monday, considering he’ll be on five days’ rest.

On the year, the lefty is 2-3 with a 4.03 ERA in six outings. He’s racked up 41 K’s in 29 innings but surrendered 16 free passes. Luzardo will likely be on a shorter leash but he has enjoyed success against Cincinnati, throwing six scoreless innings earlier in his career.

Reds Looking to Continue Impressive Play

Nothing is going right for the Reds this season but lately, they’re actually looking a lot better. Cincy is 6-4 in their last 10 games and just took two out of three from the Baltimore Orioles, including a 3-2 win on Sunday.

Nick Lodolo threw a gem, tossing six innings of one-run baseball while striking out seven. His bullpen also clutched up, holding the O’s to just two hits once Lodolo exited. Offensively, Brandon Drury played hero, slugging his 20th home run of the season in the bottom of the eighth to give the Reds the lead for good.

Marlins in Rough Shape

Yes, Miami still has a better record than the Reds, but they expected to be fighting for a Wild Card spot. That’s slowly and slowly slipping further out of reach, now sitting eight games back in the NL WC race. The Marlins were just swept by the Mets and Pablo Lopez, who is a possible trade candidate, was lit up.

The Fish’s second-best starter behind Sandy Alcantara (-170 in NL Cy Young Odds) gave up 12 hits and six earned in a mere 2.2 innings of work as he took his sixth loss of the campaign in the 9-3 loss. Miami’s offense managed to bang out 10 hits but struggled immensely to capitalize, stranding 10 runners.

Cincinnati vs Miami – Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
07/28/22 Reds Marlins MIA, 7-6
07/27/22 Reds Marlins CIN, 5-3
07/26/22 Reds Marlins MIA, 2-1
07/25/22 Reds Marlins CIN, 11-2
08/29/21 Marlins Reds MIA, 2-1
08/28/21 Marlins Reds MIA, 6-1
08/27/21 Marlins Reds CIN, 6-0
08/22/21 Reds Marlins CIN, 3-1
08/21/21 Reds Marlins CIN, 7-4
08/20/21 Reds Marlins CIN, 5-3

Reds vs Marlins Pick

Greene’s ERA skyrockets to almost six on the road and although Luzardo hasn’t pitched in awhile in the Majors, I do think the Marlins will end the losing streak here. After all, they did take two out of three from Cincinnati earlier in the week. Take Miami on the moneyline.

Pick: Marlins moneyline (-122)

 

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