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Wednesday MLB Odds and Picks – Royals vs Angels (Keller vs Canning)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Jun 9, 2021 · 8:29 AM PDT

Shohei Ohtani running to first base
Los Angeles Angels' Shohei Ohtani runs to first as he lines out during the sixth inning of an Opening Day baseball game against the Chicago White Sox Thursday, April 1, 2021, in Anaheim, Calif. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
  • The Los Angeles Angels are -143 home favorites over the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday night at Angel Stadium in Anaheim
  • Griffin Canning (4-4, 5.82) will pitch for the Angels against Brad Keller (6-4, 5.50)
  • A look at Royals-Angels as well as a prediction can be found below

The Los Angeles Angels will try to sweep the three-game series when they host the Kansas City Royals at 9:38 p.m. ET Wednesday at Angel Stadium in Anaheim.

Griffin Canning (4-4, 5.82) is scheduled to start for the Angels against Brad Keller (6-4, 5.50).

The Angels (28-32) made it two in a row over the Royals as well as four wins in their last five games and 10 in their last 15 with an 8-1 victory on Tuesday night. The Royals (29-29) are on a four-game losing streak that follows five straight wins and are underdogs in this matchup.

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Royals vs Angels Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total at DraftKings
Kansas City Royals +118 +1.5 (-167) Over 9 (+100)
Los Angeles Angels -143 -1.5 (+138) Under 9 (-121)

Odds as of June 9th.

Keller Rolling for Royals

Keller has won three starts in a row and his last four decisions. He is also 4-0 with a 3.52 ERA in his last five outings after beginning the season by going 2-4 with a 7.31 ERA in six starts.

In his previous start last Thursday against the Minnesota Twins in Kansas City, Keller surrendered two runs on seven hits in five innings. He struck out five and had no walks.

Keller has three quality starts this season in 11 turns through the rotation and those are also the three games in which he has pitched at least six innings.

Keller beat the Angels on April 14 in Kansas City, giving up one run in 5.2 innings to earn the decision over Canning. Keller is 2-2 with a 2.66 ERA against the Royals in five career games, including four starts, but 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts at Angel Stadium.

Angels Career Stats vs Keller

Player AB H HR RBI K AVG
Justin Upton 3 1 0 0 0 .333
Shohei Ohtani 3 0 0 0 1 .000
Anthony Rendon 0 0 0 0 0
Jared Walsh 0 0 0 0 0
Juan Lagares 0 0 0 0 0
Jose Iglesias 5 2 1 4 0 .400
Taylor Ward 0 0 0 0 0
Max Stassi 1 1 0 1 0 1.000
David Fletcher 0 0 0 0 0

Angels left fielder Justin Upton had never batted leadoff in 1,778 career games until May 23. In 13 games from the No. 1 spot of the order, Upton is 16 for 49 (.327) with five doubles, five home runs and 11 RBIs.

The Angels have scored at least five runs in four straight games and 33 total.

Canning Can’t Lately

Canning has struggled recently, going 1-2 with an 8.74 ERA in his last three starts. He lasted just 3.1 innings in a loss to the Seattle Mariners in his last outing last Thursday, giving up four runs, six hits and two walks while striking out five.

Canning has pitched at least six innings just twice in nine starts this season. Those also represent both his quality starts.

On April 14, Canning allowed two runs in five innings in losing to the Royals and Keller. He is 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA against the Royals in two career starts.

Canning has a 3-2 record at the Big A this season, but his ERA is 6.52 in five games, four of which have been starts.

Royals Career Stats vs Canning

Player AB H HR RBI K AVG
Whit Merrifield 6 1 0 0 1 .167
Carlos Santana 3 1 0 0 1 .333
Andrew Benintendi 3 2 0 0 1 .667
Salvador Perez 3 1 1 1 1 1.000
Kelvin Gutierrez 0 0 0 0 0
Jorge Soler 5 1 0 0 2 .200
Michael A. Taylor 2 2 0 0 0 1.000
Hunter Dozier 5 2 0 0 0 .400
Nicky Lopez 5 0 0 0 0 .000

Royals second baseman Whit Merrifield is on a nine-game hitting streak, going 14 for 37 (.378). He has also played in 367 games, the longest current streak in the major leagues.

The Royals have scored just nine runs in their last four games, including four runs or less in each one. They plated at least five runs in each of their previous seven games.

An Ohtanian Blast

Shohei Ohtani hit the longest home run of his major league career in the first inning Tuesday night and the Angels pounded five homers.

Ohtani’s 17th homer of the season was a 470-foot shot deep into the bleachers off Kansas City starter Kris Bubic (1-1). Ohtani then added a third-inning double that had an even higher exit velocity — 112.6 mph, compared to 111.7 for his homer.

Max Stassi, José Iglesias and Justin Upton also homered for Los Angeles off Bubic. Taylor Ward added a two-run shot in the eighth.

The two wins give the Angels 14 victories in 19 games against the Royals since the start of the 2018 season.

However, look for the Royals to buck that trend in this game. Keller is rolling and looks like a good underdog play against the struggling Canning.

The Pick: Royals (+118)

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