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Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds, Betting Lines, and Probable Pitchers (Sep. 28)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Sep 28, 2021 · 5:58 AM PDT

George Springer and Marcus Semien celebrate a home run
Toronto Blue Jays' George Springer, right, celebrates his home run with Marcus Semien in the fifth inning of a baseball game against the Minnesota Twins, Sunday, Sept. 26, 2021, in St. Paul, Minn. (AP Photo/Andy Clayton-King)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays are -125 home favorites over the New York Yankees on Tuesday (September 28th, 7:05 pm ET)
  • Toronto will give the ball to Hyun Jin Ryu (13-9, 4.34 ERA), while New York will counter with Jameson Taillon (8-6, 4.41 ERA)
  • Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction

It’s shaping up to be a wild final week around Major League Baseball, particularly in the American League. The New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox are clinging to the two Wild Card spots at the moment, but three teams are right on their heels.

One of those clubs is the Toronto Blue Jays, who host the Yankees in Game 1 of a three-game set on Tuesday. Toronto is one game back of Boston for the final Wild Card berth, and two games behind New York, with six games remaining.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Yankees +105 +1.5 (-180) O 9 (-110)
Toronto Blue Jays -125 -1.5 (+155) U 9 (-110)

Odds as of  September 27th at DraftKings.

The Blue Jays opened as -125 moneyline favorites, in a game that features a total of 9. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm ET at Rogers Centre, and the roof should be open with clear skies and 50 degree temperatures in the forecast.

Probable Pitchers

Toronto will give the ball to Hyun Jin Ryu, who’s just been activated from the 10-day injured list. Ryu was placed on the IL with a neck injury following two of his worst outings of the season.

He’s lasted only two innings in each of his past two starts, surrendering a total of 13 hits, 12 runs, and four homers. Last time out, he was rocked for five runs by Minnesota in a 7-3 defeat, and in the previous outing Baltimore touched him up for seven runs and eight hits.

Dating back to August 8th, he’s coughed up at least four runs in five of his past eight starts, surrendering seven runs three times.

Taillon vs Ryu

Jameson Taillon
VS
Hyun Jin Ryu
8-6 Record 13-9
4.41 ERA 4.34
1.22 WHIP 1.20
.241 OBA .256
3.2 SO/W Ratio 3.0

In the midst of all those sub-par outings was an absolute gem versus New York. Back on September 6th, he blanked the Bronx Bombers over 6 innings, striking out six. He’s 2-0 in four starts against the Yankees this season, with a sparkling 1.88 ERA.

New York will counter with Jameson Taillon, who’s fresh off an IL stint of his own. The right-hander tore a tendon in his ankle, and Tuesday will mark his return after a three week absence.

Prior to the injury, Taillon had not been pitching well. He’d allowed at least three runs in five straight starts, and coughed up 14 runs in his past three outings.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Yankees Batters Batting Average vs Ryu Blue Jays Batters Batting Average vs Taillon
Luke Voit .500 Bo Bichette .333
Brett Gardner .111 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .500
DJ LeMahieu .242 Teoscar Hernandez .200
Anthony Rizzo .500 Marcus Semien .333
Gary Sanchez .333 George Springer .000
Giancarlo Stanton .143 Randal Grichuk .750
Gio Urshela .333 Danny Jensen .250

In his most recent start, he gave up three runs and two homers to this same Toronto club, in an 8-0 defeat. He’s 0-2 versus the Blue Jays this season, posting a 6.75 ERA.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Pick

With so much at stake this week, all three of these Yankees-Jays games are going to feel like playoff baseball. New York enters Tuesday winners of six straight and have produced at least six runs in four of their last five.

Toronto meanwhile, is fresh off back-to-back victories, scoring 11 runs in the process. They’ve hit Taillon hard in both meetings this season, and have crossed the plate at least five times in four straight versus New York.

They boast baseball’s best slugging percentage and OPS, and should feast on the struggling righty. Ryu on the other hand, is dealing with is own issues and we shouldn’t expect him to neutralize the Bronx Bombers.

Pick: Over 9 (-110)

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