Upcoming Match-ups

Yankees vs Mets Odds and Betting Lines (Sep. 12)

Paul Attfield

by Paul Attfield in MLB Baseball

Updated Sep 12, 2021 · 11:00 AM PDT

New York Met Jonathan Villar high-fiving teammates in the dugout
New York Mets' Jonathan Villar (1) celebrates in the dugout after his two run home run scores Dominic Smith during the sixth inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Sunday, Aug. 29, 2021, in New York. (AP Photo/Corey Sipkin)
  • Yankees come into this game tied with Toronto for second AL wild card, while Mets are four games back
  • Bronx Bombers ended seven-game losing streak with their 8-7 win on Saturday night
  • Read on for a preview, full odds and a best bet for this crucial Sunday night interleague contest

The New York Yankees (79-63, 39-32 away) visit the New York Mets (71-72, 42-28 home) on Sunday, September 12th, for an 8 p.m. ET game to wrap up an important three-game interleague series, with both teams very much in the thick of the playoff race.

The Yankees’ 8-7 victory over the Mets on Saturday night ended a seven-game losing skid for the Bronx Bombers. However, it is fair to say that neither of these teams is exactly in a rich vein of form, with the Mets 5-5 over their past 10, while the Yanks are 3-7 over that span.

Yankees vs Mets Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Yankees -115 -1.5 (+155) Over 8 (-115)
New York Mets -105 +1.5 (-180) Under 8 (-105)

Odds as of September 12th at DraftKings.

Probable Pitchers

The Mets are handing the start to Carlos Carrasco for this vital matchup, with the team hoping he can outperform his 1-2 record and 5.88 ERA in what has been an injury-hit first season in New York for the right-hander.

However, after 11 seasons pitching for the Cleveland Baseball Team, Carrasco knows all about facing off against the Yankees. He has a 5-5 record with a 4.04 ERA in 12 regular-season appearances against the Bronx Bombers, nine of which were starts. Carrasco has also made three more starts against the Yankees in the postseason, recording a 3.86 ERA across 14 pressure-filled innings, meaning he seems to be able to raise his game when the situation calls for it.

Schmidt vs Carrasco 2021 Stats

Clarke Schmidt
Missing Team
N/A Record 1-2
N/A ERA 5.88
N/A Innings Pitched 33.2
N/A SO 32
N/A BB 6

In what looks like a worrying portent for Mets fans, Carrasco hasn’t pitched well at Citi Field during his career. He is 0-1 with a 7.45 ERA across five starts and 19.1 innings there.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Yankees Batters Batting Average vs Carlos Carrasco
Joey Gallo .333
Brett Gardner .222
Aaron Judge .000
Rougned Odor .300
Anthony Rizzo .750
Giancarlo Stanton .000
Andrew Velazquez .333
Mets Batters Batting Average vs Clarke Schmidt
Jonathan Villar .000

The Yankees are turning to Clarke Schmidt for the decisive game of this series, with the right-hander set to make his season debut with just his second major-league start.

He made three appearances last season, giving up five earned runs across 6.1 innings, while striking out seven. He blew a save in his MLB debut at Baltimore, before taking the loss and going just four innings in a game against Miami last September, which was also his last MLB appearance.

Subway To Success

When it comes to the Subway Series, it’s very much been a tale of Yankee success, with the Bronx Bombers holding an all-time record of 80-58, not including their famous meeting in the 2000 World Series, won by 4-1 by the Yankees.

YouTube video

Recent years have seen the teams split their games, with the interleague series ending up tied in each of the past three seasons. The Yankees trail the Mets so far in 2021, but can earn a season 3-3 split with a win Sunday evening. The Bombers have only lost three season series against their cross-town rivals, with the last of those coming back in 2013.

The Mets haven’t fared all that well at home against the Yankees in recent years either, going just 12-19 at Citi Field since 2009.

Yankees vs Mets Prediction

With Schmidt making his season debut and very much an unknown quantity, it’s tough to go against the Mets in this one, particularly with them fighting for their playoff lives in every game they play right now.

Pick: Mets (-105)

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