Yankees vs Dodgers Predictions, Best Bets, Pitchers & Odds for Saturday 

• The New York Yankees are -120 moneyline favorites against the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight
• Will Warren (3-2, 4.09 ERA) gets the ball for the Yankees, while the Dodgers counter with Landon Knack (2-2, 5.22 ERA)
• See my NY Yankees vs LA Dodgers predictions and best bets for Game 2 of their series below, plus the NYY vs LAD odds

The World Series rematch continues Saturday night, as the Dodgers (35-22, 20-8 home) host the Yankees (35-21, 17-12 away) at Dodger Stadium. Los Angeles took Friday’s series opener 8-5, rallying from deficits of 4-1 and 5-2 to spoil Max Fried’s Yankees debut.

The betting market initially had this one as a pick ’em in the MLB odds, but line movement now favors New York. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm ET on FOX, with temperatures in the low 80s and winds blowing out to right-center field.

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Predictions

• Over 9.5 (-110 at BetMGM)

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Get Up To $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets

21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (US); 1-800-327-5050 (MA); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-981-0023 (PR), 877-718-5543 or visit morethanagame.nc.gov (NC). See BetMGM.com for T&C. US promotional offers not available in MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: SBD1500

CODE: SBD1500

SIGNUP BONUS

GET $1,500
BACK

BET NOW

The pitching matchup and weather conditions scream offense for Saturday’s showdown. I’m backing another high-scoring affair between these two powerhouse lineups.

Landon Knack has been a disaster for the Dodgers, posting a 5.22 ERA with an even uglier 5.35 expected ERA. The right-hander sits in the second percentile for hard-hit rate allowed and third percentile for average exit velocity. He’s been tagged for a 7.81 ERA and three homers in his last three home starts.

Even more concerning? Knack is 0-6 in team starts when the Dodgers are slight favorites and 0-5 against winning teams. With his 36.7% ground ball rate, the warm weather and wind blowing out spell trouble against a Yankees lineup that leads MLB with 92 home runs.

The Yankees thrive in day games, batting .281 with 39 homers while averaging 6.4 runs per game in daylight. Aaron Judge leads the charge with a .392 average and 19 home runs, while Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .343. Six Yankees have a WAR of 1.1 or higher.

Will Warren vs Landon Knack Stats

Will Warren has been lights-out recently, posting a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts with a 0.92 WHIP and 6:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He’s struck out at least seven batters in all five May starts, including 10 against Texas and nine versus Seattle.

Despite Warren’s hot streak, he allows plenty of hard contact himself (eighth percentile exit velocity). Against a Dodgers lineup featuring Shohei Ohtani’s league-leading 22 homers and Freddie Freeman’s .368 average, that could be problematic. The Dodgers have gone over the total in their last six games against American League opponents.

NY Yankees vs LA Dodgers Best Bet for Saturday

• Aaron Judge Over 2.5 Hits, Runs and RBI (-125 at BetMGM)

If we’re riding the over in this battle of World Series odds favorites, we need the big bats to deliver. And there’s no bigger bat than Aaron Judge right now.

Judge leads the majors with 83 hits and is batting an absurd .392 with 19 homers and 48 RBI. The Yankees are 13-0 after allowing 8+ runs since last season, averaging a 5.5-run margin of victory in those games.

After Friday’s loss, look for Judge to lead the charge against a struggling Knack, who’s allowing a .286 expected batting average. At -125, Judge over 2.5 combined hits, runs and RBI is excellent value.

Yankees vs Dodgers Odds

Everything points to another offensive explosion. The best price on the over sits at -110 at BetMGM. The game opened as a pick ’em at -110 on both sides, though sharp money has pushed the Yankees to slight favorites at some books. The Dodgers are heavy -165 juice to cover the +1.5 run line.

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Get Up To $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets

21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (US); 1-800-327-5050 (MA); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-981-0023 (PR), 877-718-5543 or visit morethanagame.nc.gov (NC). See BetMGM.com for T&C. US promotional offers not available in MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: SBD1500

CODE: SBD1500

SIGNUP BONUS

GET $1,500
BACK

BET NOW

Odds as of May 31st at BetMGM. Claim the BetMGM bonus code to bet on MLB tonight. 

Per the MLB public betting splits, 74% of bets and 73% of the money are on the over. The Dodgers are 12-3 to the over in their last 15 home games, and five of Knack’s seven starts have exceeded the total.