UFC Virtual Tournament: Odds and Picks for UFC 3 Sims

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FC fans can fill the void left by the cancellation of UFC 249 by getting into the no-risk betting action offered in Saturday night's UFC $49 event.
  • Khabib faces Ferguson in main event of UFC 3 Sim card running in Stand and Bang mode
  • UFC fighters Colby Covington and Ben Askren scheduled to chat with fans on Twitch
  • Get all the odds and insight into Saturday’s UFC $49 card in the story below

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has forced the cancellation of UFC 249, but bookmakers have stepped in to fill the void with UFC $49 – a full slate of UFC 3 simulation fights scheduled for Saturday night that features a no-risk betting matchup between Rose Namajunas and Jessica Andrade, plus a main event clash between Khabib Nurmagomedov and Tony Ferguson.

All of Saturday’s UFC 3 Sim fights will run in Stand and Bang mode at legendary difficulty, with main-card matchups scheduled to go a full five rounds. Here’s a look at the full slate of scheduled fights, along with our best bets.

UFC $49 Odds

Preliminary Card – Three Rounds

Formiga vs Benavidez Odds
Jussier Formiga +300
Joseph Benavidez -500
Fight Ends in Decision -300
Fight Ends Inside Distance +200
Korean Zombie vs Edgar Odds
Chan Sung Jung +155
Frankie Edgar -220
Fight Ends in Decision -200
Fight Ends Inside Distance +150
Dillashaw vs Garbrandt Odds
TJ Dillashaw -250
Cody Garbrandt +170
Fight Ends in Decision -120
Fight Ends Inside Distance -120
Kowalkiewicz vs Jedrzejczyk Odds
Karolina Kowalkiewicz +165
Joanna Jędrzejczyk -240
Fight Ends in Decision -180
Fight Ends Inside Distance +140
Silva vs Diaz Odds
Anderson Silva -180
Nick Diaz +140
Fight Ends in Decision +100
Fight Ends Inside Distance -140
Holm vs Rousey Odds
Holly Holm -300
Ronda Rousey +200
Fight Ends in Decision -140
Fight Ends Inside Distance +100
Gustafsson vs Oezdemir Odds
Alexander Gustafsson -190
Volkan Oezdemir +145
Fight Ends in Decision +120
Fight Ends Inside Distance -160
Ngannou vs dos Santos Odds
Francis Ngannou -250
Junior dos Santos +170
Fight Ends in Decision +300
Fight Ends Inside Distance -500

Odds taken on 04/18/2020.

Classic Fights – Three Rounds

Penn vs Edgar Odds
BJ Penn +300
Frankie Edgar -500
Fight Ends in Decision -220
Fight Ends Inside Distance +155
Hughes vs Gracie Odds
Matt Hughes -140
Royce Gracie +100
Fight Ends in Decision -150
Fight Ends Inside Distance +100
Henderson vs Bisping Odds
Dan Henderson +170
Michael Bisping -250
Fight Ends in Decision +350
Fight Ends Inside Distance -600
Jackson vs Machida Odds
Rampage Jackson -150
Lyoto Machida +110
Fight Ends in Decision +155
Fight Ends Inside Distance -220
Liddell vs Ortiz Odds
Chuck Liddell -250
Tito Ortiz +170
Fight Ends in Decision +150
Fight Ends Inside Distance +200
Covington vs Masvidal Odds
Colby Covington +145
Jorge Masvidal -190
Fight Ends in Decision +140
Fight Ends Inside Distance -180
McGregor vs St-Pierre Odds
Conor McGregor -200
Georges St-Pierre +150
Fight Ends in Decision +170
Fight Ends Inside Distance -250

Main Card – Five Rounds

Namajunas vs Andrade Odds
Rose Namajunas -190
Jessica Andrade +145
Fight Ends in Decision +155
Fight Ends Inside Distance -220
Nunes vs de Randamie Odds
Amanda Nunes -170
Germaine de Randamie +130
Fight Ends in Decision +145
Fight Ends Inside Distance -190
Usman vs Woodley Odds
Kamaru Usman +140
Tyron Woodley -180
Fight Ends in Decision +100
Fight Ends Inside Distance -140
Miocic vs Cormier Odds
Stipe Miocic -200
Daniel Cormier +150
Fight Ends in Decision +250
Fight Ends Inside Distance -400
Jones vs Blachowicz Odds
Jon Jones -700
Jan Blachowicz +400
Fight Ends in Decision +350
Fight Ends Inside Distance -600
Adesanya vs Whittaker Odds
Israel Adesanya +400
Robert Whittaker -700
Fight Ends in Decision +350
Fight Ends Inside Distance -600
Khabib vs Ferguson Odds
Khabib Nurmagomedov +170
Tony Ferguson -250
Fight Ends in Decision -160
Fight Ends Inside Distance +200

Ferguson Holds the Edge in Stand and Bang Mode

Khabib and Ferguson were originally scheduled to meet in the octagon at UFC 249, making it a fitting main event for the $49 event. Undefeated in 26 career MMA contests, Khabib claimed the UFC lightweight title with a unanimous decision victory over Al Iaquinta at UFC 223.

The 31-year-old Russian followed up with a controversial submission win over Conor McGregor at UFC 229, and also submitted Dustin Poirier at UFC 242. Khabib’s ground-and-pound fighting style may not serve him well in a simulated contest operating in Stand and Bang mode. That is particularly true against Ferguson, who has recorded 10 finishes during a 12-fight win streak.

A powerful striker, who isn’t afraid to go toe-to-toe with opponents, Ferguson dominated in recent TKO victories over Anthony Pettis and Donald Cerrone. With Khabib’s ability to bring the fight to mat limited in Stand and Bang mode, Ferguson enters the octagon with the clear advantage, while also adding value to the +200 odds of this fight ending inside the distance.

Picks: Tony Ferguson -250; Fight to end inside the distance +120

Can GSP Go Toe-to-Toe with Notorious?

A three-round welterweight matchup between two multi-division champions headlines the Classic Fights portion of Saturday’s UFC 3 Sim card, with Conor McGregor pegged as a clear -200 favorite. “Notorious” should also benefit from fighting in Stand and Bang mode. The colorful Irishman is at his best when he is on his feet, finishing opponents on punches inside five minutes on five occasions since joining the UFC in 2013.

Georges St-Pierre dominated the UFC welterweight division during his six years as champion, and proved that he still had plenty in the tank in his return following a four-year hiatus, disposing of Michael Bisping by submission inside of three rounds to claim the UFC middleweight crown.

St-Pierre used his skills as a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt to wear down his opponents throughout his reign as UFC welterweight champion, which featured eight wins by decision. However, St-Pierre could struggle in a toe-to-toe battle with McGregor, and will likely have to do what no fighter has ever done to defeat the Irishman – knock him out.

Picks: Conor McGregor -200; Fight to end by decision +170

Risk-Free Betting Available in Thug Rose, Andrade Rematch

UFC fans are invited to make no-risk wagers as Rose Namajunas takes on Jessica Andrade in a rematch of their UFC 237 tilt. As part of Saturday night’s UFC $49 card, sports bettors are invited to wager on either fighter to win the match, with losing bets refunded up to $49.

Namajunas entered the octagon as the UFC women’s strawweight champion the last time these two fighters met, but saw her two-year reign end in the second round with the first KO loss of her career. Known for her effective use of high kicks, “Thug Rose” is also accomplished at submitting opponents, with five of her eight career wins coming by submission.

Despite recording a stunning victory over Namajunas and demonstrating her formidable striking skills and ability to put opponents to the mat in recent wins over Karolina Kowalkiewicz and Tecia Torres, Andrade is pegged as a +145 underdog.

Her shocking opening-round TKO loss to Zhang Weili at UFC Fight Night 157 cost her the UFC women’s strawweight title, and has done little to boost her odds here. However, her skills as a boxer leave her well positioned to pull off the upset and hand Thug Rose yet another defeat.

Picks: Jessica Andrade +145; Fight to end inside the distance -220

Other UFC $49 Picks:

  • Ronda Rousey (+200): A stunning loss to Holly Holm marked the beginning of the end for Rousey in the UFC, but with the Preacher’s Daughter turning in largely uninspired performances ever since, Rousey offers exceptional value as a heavy underdog.
  • Lyoto Machida (+110): Perhaps one of the most intriguing matchups of the night pits “The Dragon” against Rampage Jackson in a clash of former UFC light heavyweight champions. Both these fighters are equally adept on their feet or grappling. However, Machida’s unorthodox approach and wide array of available tactics make him an attractive underdog.
  • Israel Adesanya (+400): The Last Stylebender’s experience both as a boxer and kickboxer will serve him well in Stand and Bang mode. Expect more of the same after his victory over Whittaker at UFC 243.
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