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UFC 260 Best Prop Bets – O’Malley to Win by TKO/KO and More

Cole Shelton

by Cole Shelton in Mixed Martial Arts News

Updated Mar 25, 2021 · 11:05 AM PDT

UFC 260 props - Sean O'Malley and Tyron Woodley
Tyron Woodley works out ahead of his UFC 205 mixed martial arts bout against Stephen Thompson during an open workout at Madison Square Garden in New York. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez, File)
  • Stipe Miocic looks to defend his heavyweight title again against Francis Ngannou
  • Ngannou is a -130 favorite, but are there props to get better value on him?
  • Aside from the betting line, here are a handful of props that hold value

When the heavyweight title is on the line, it is always a big event, but a heavyweight rematch makes it that much bigger. There are several UFC 260 props I like to cash on Saturday night in Las Vegas, in Woodley vs Luque, Robertson vs Maverick, and O’Malley vs Almeida.

We’ve already broken down the full UFC 260 main card and found some value on a few fighters, despite it being a chalky main card. Let’s take a look at the props list below.

Total Rounds Odds

Matchup Total Rounds Over Odds Under Odds
Miocic vs Ngannou 1.5 -142 +112
Woodley vs Luque 2.5 -164 +128
O’Malley vs Almeida 1.5 -142 +112
Robertson vs Maverick 2.5 -158 +124
Worthy vs Mullarkey 1.5 -186 +144

All odds taken March 25 at FanDuel

Woodley vs Luque Over

Tyron Woodley vs. Vicente Luque seems destined to go the over.

In Woodley’s past three fights, he went the full five rounds twice and went into the fifth-round in the other fight. Luque, meanwhile, does have finishing power. That being said, in his last four fights, the over 2.5 have hit three times.

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Why I like the over os the fact Tyron Woodley is very durable. Although the former champion is getting dominated, he doesn’t get finished, except for a rib injury in the fifth-round against Colby Covington. He also has a very solid chin, and although I like Luque to win the fight, I don’t think the Brazilian will be able to find the KO. Instead he will get a decision and the over will cash.

Pick: Woodley-Luque Over 2.5 (-164)

Fight Goes The Distance Odds

Matchup Yes Odds No Odds
Miocic vs Ngannou +330 -480
Woodley vs Luque -132 +100
O’Malley vs Almeida +158 -205
Robertson vs Maverick -136 +104
Worthy vs Mullarkey +162 -215

Best Robertson vs Maverick UFC 260 Prop Bet

Gillian Robertson vs Miranda Maverick is very likely to hit the scorecards.

Although Robertson has the most finish wins at women’s flyweight those were against much-lower level competition against the likes of Sarah Frota and Veronica Macedo among others. In her last couple of fights, she lost a decision to Taila Santos and went the distance with Poliana Botelho.

Maverick, meanwhile, gets most of her finishes by submission, but Robertson is probably the better grappler and likely won’t submit Robertson.

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If Maverick wins, she will likely control the wrestling and striking and win a decision as the Canadian is very durable. Robertson, however, has proven she can’t submit high-level grapplers like Maverick but she still is capable of out grappling her opponents and win a decision as she did to Botelho. I like this fight to go the distance as my top Robertson vs Maverick UFC 260 prop bet.

Pick: Robertson-Maverick goes the distance (-136)

Method of Victory Odds

Result KO / TKO Odds Submission Odds Decision Odds
Miocic beats Ngannou +210 +2100 +420
Ngannou beats Miocic +100 +3400 +1400
Woodley beats Luque +500 +2200 +460
Luque beats Woodley +230 +1500 +135
O’Malley beats Almeida +140 +850 +230
Almeida beats O’Malley +550 +1400 +750
Robertson beats Maverick +900 +420 +460
Maverick beats Robertson +500 +950 +130
Worthy beats Mullarkey +190 +750 +500
Mullarkey beats Worthy +500 +700 +310

O’Malley’s Bounceback Fight

Sean O’Malley will get back into the win column and do so by KO/TKO.

O’Malley has the capability to be the next big star in the UFC, and this is a tailor-made matchup for him to get back into the win column and do so by KO/TKO. He is coming off a first-round TKO loss to Marlon Vera in a fight his ankle rolled several times, and the fight was over after Vera landed some ground and pound.

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In this fight, Almeida is the perfect opponent because he gets hit a lot. Almeida absorbs 4.69 significant strikes per minute while O’Malley lands 6.35, and I expect “Suga” to land the KO shot to get back into the win column.

Pick: Sean O’Malley by KO/TKO (+140)

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