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UFC 260 Odds, Picks & Betting Preview – Miocic vs Ngannou 2

Cole Shelton

by Cole Shelton in Mixed Martial Arts News

Updated Mar 24, 2021 · 8:49 AM PDT

UFC 260 - Francis Ngannou vs Stipe Miocic
UFC 260 goes down on Saturday, March 27th where Francis Ngannou battles Stipe Miocic in the main event.
  • Heavyweight title rematch headlines UFC 260 with Stipe Miocic vs Francis Ngannou
  • Sean O’Malley returns against Thomas Almeida
  • See the odds, picks, and betting preview for the full UFC 260 main card, below

The UFC remains at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada for UFC 260, which goes down on Saturday, March 27, 2021. In the main event, heavyweight champion Stipe Miocic looks to defend his belt against knockout artist Francis Ngannou. The fight also serves as their rematch at UFC 220, where Miocic dominated the fight. The co-main event sees former welterweight champion Tyron Woodley take on rising contender Vicente Luque.

UFC 260 airs live on pay-per-view on March 27, 2021, at 10 PM EST in Las Vegas. The table below shows odds for the main card at DraftKings, followed by best bets for the event.

UFC 260 Odds

Fighter Odds at DraftKings
Stipe Miocic +110
Francis Ngannou -130
Fighter Odds
Tyron Woodley +210
Vicente Luque -265
Fighter Odds
Sean O’Malley -305
Thomas Almeida +240
Fighter Odds
Khama Worthy -152
Jamie Mullarkey +125

All odds as of March 22

Does Ngannou Finally Become Heavyweight Champion?

Francis Ngannou was too young and inexperienced when he fought Stipe Miocic at UFC 220 as the champ used his wrestling to dominate and control the fight and win all five rounds. However, Ngannou switched camps and appears to be more mentally ready for the title fight this time around.

Miocic & Ngannou Recent Fights

Miocic
VS
Ngannou
Daniel Cormier, win by decision (title fight) Fight 1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik, win by KO
Daniel Cormier, win by TKO (title fight) Fight 2 Junior dos Santos, win by TKO
Daniel Cormier, loss by KO (title fight) Fight 3 Cain Velasquez, win by KO
Francis Ngannou, win by decision (title fight) Fight 4 Curtis Blaydes, win by TKO

Since losing to Miocic back in January of 2018, Ngannou was hesitant in his next fight and lost a decision to Curtis Blaydes. He has followed that up with four first-round knockout wins, and the longest he has gone is 1:11, as his KO’s have come just 20, 26, and 45 seconds into the fight.

The big question entering the rematch is whether or not Ngannou has gotten better at takedown defense. Miocic dominated the fight by avoiding the power shots and using his wrestling to gas out the challenger. However, since that fight, Ngannou hasn’t been able to prove if his takedown defense is any better. The two wrestlers he most recently fought in Blaydes and Velasquez, he knocked them out in 26 and 45 seconds.

Miocic vs Ngannou Stats

Miocic
VS
Ngannou
38 Age 34
6’4″ Height 6’4″
80″ Reach 83″
9 UFC finishes 10

Ultimately, I do trust the coaching of Eric Nicksick, and everything I have heard has pointed to Ngannou’s wrestling and mindset being much better. Although Stipe Miocic is the greatest heavyweight of all-time, he is now 38-years-old and is slowing down.

Since they first met, Miocic was KO’d by Cormier and then rocked in the other two fights by Cormier. This time around, I expect Ngannou to get the first or second-round KO to become the new champ.

Pick: Francis Ngannou (-130)

Can Woodley Snap His Losing Skid?

UFC 260 could very well be do-or-die for Tyron Woodley and his UFC career.

Woodley & Luque Recent Fights

Woodley
VS
Luque
Colby Covington, loss by TKO Fight 1 Randy Brown, win by KO
Gilbert Burns, loss by decision Fight 2 Niko Price, win by TKO
Kamaru Usman, loss by decision (title fight) Fight 3 Stephen Thompson, loss by decision
Darren Till, win by submission (title fight) Fight 4 Mike Perry, win by split decision

This fight really comes down to, is Tyron Woodley past his prime, or was he just fighting the best three welterweights? There is no question his last three losses were to the best three welterweights, however, he was gun-shy in the fight as he was barely throwing punches. He has lost 15 consecutive rounds and hasn’t been competitive in any of them, and his coaches have been screaming at him to throw his hands, but for whatever reason, he hasn’t.

Against Luque, if Woodley goes back to his roots and wrestles he could very well win this fight. However, I just can’t trust Woodley who can’t get going for whatever reason. I expect the Brazilian, who is the better striker, to piece up Woodley for three rounds and win a clear-cut decision. It could also be the final time Woodley competes in the UFC.

Pick: Vicente Luque (-265)

Other UFC 260 Picks:

  1. Sean O’Malley (-305): O’Malley is the better striker and will likely KO Almeida early in this fight to get some hype back behind him.
  2. Khama Worthy (-152): Worthy is the better striker, and that is where this fight will take place. The question is, does he finish him or get the decision? I lean decision as Mullarkey has proven to be very durable.
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