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UFC Fight Night: Gane vs Spivak Predictions & Odds (Sep. 2)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Mixed Martial Arts News

Updated Aug 29, 2023 · 10:22 AM PDT

UFC fighter Rose Namajunas celebrating
May 7, 2022; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Rose Namajunas reacts during UFC 274 at Footprint Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
  • See the UFC Fight Night 226 odds, which feature two former world champions in action on Saturday, September 2
  • Former interim heavyweight champ Ciryl Gane is a -160 favorite over Sergey Spivak
  • Recent UFC strawweight champ Rose Namajunas is a +155 underdog facing Manon Fiorot

Two former UFC world champions are headlining the card at UFC Fight Night 226, but oddsmakers are projecting different outcomes as each looks to get their careers heading back in a positive direction.

One-time interim UFC heavyweight champion Ciryl Gane is a -160 favorite in his bout against Sergey Spivak. However, Rose Namajunas, who lost the women’s strawweight title in her last bout, is a -155 underdog facing Manon Fioriot as she’s shifting weight classes into flyweight. Both Gane and Namajunas lost title bouts in their previous fights.

All of the action gets underway at 12:00pm eastern time on Saturday, September 2, and is streaming on ESPN+. UFC Fight Night 226 is taking place at the Accor Arena in Paris, France.

UFC Fight Night 226 Odds

Fighter Odds
Ciryl Gane -160
Sergey Spivak +135
Fighter Odds
Manon Fiorot -180
Rose Namajunas +155
Fighter Odds
Benoit Saint-Denis -160
Thiago Moises +135
Fighter Odds
Volkan Oezdemir -180
Bogdan Guskov +155
Fighter Odds
Morgan Charriere -300
Manolo Zecchini +240
Fighter Odds
Caolan Loughran -320
Yanis Ghemmouri +250
Fighter Odds
Taylor Lapilus -190
Muin Gafurov +160
Fighter Odds
Jacqueline Cavalcanti -380
Zarah Fairn +300
Fighter Odds
Nora Cornolle -110
Joselyne Edwards -110
Fighter Odds
Rhys McKee +140
Ange Loosa -165
Fighter Odds
Farid Basharat -350
Kleydson Rodrigues +275

Five bouts on the UFC Fight Night 226 card are showing favorites with odds of -300 or longer. On the other hand, the women’s bantamweight bout between Nora Cornolle and Joselyne Edwards is a pick ’em, with both fighters assigned a betting line of -110.

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Gane vs Spivak Pick

Born in France, Gane (11-2 MMA, 8-2 UFC) still calls the country home and a little taste of home has worked to get his career cooking in the past. Following his first career loss to Francis Ngannou in a heavyweight title bout at UFC 270, Gane headlined the first UFC Fight Night card ever staged in his homeland. He delivered a third-round knockout of Tai Tuivasa.

Ciryl Gane
VS
Sergei Spivak
33 Age 28
6’5″ Height 6’3″
81″ Reach 78″
8 Career Finishes 14

Now, coming off a loss to Jones via first-round guillotine choke submission, Gane is again trying to forget failure in Paris. Gane was embarrassed by Jones and he’ll be looking to make Spivak pay for that.

Moldovan Spivak (16-3, 7-3 UFC) is the #7 UFC heavyweight contender. He’s won this last three bouts all by stoppages – knockouts of Greg Hardy and Augusto Sakai and an arm-triangle choke submission of Derrick Lewis.

Gane, though, is the more well-rounded fighter of the two. He’s also carrying a significant reach and size advantage. Spivak will be looking to deliver a knockout or submission like Jones and Ngannou did. Gane’s best bet is to keep the fight vertical, because Spivak is deadly once the fight goes to ground.

Expect an exciting bout, with Gane earning a close hometown decision.

Gane vs Spivak Pick: Ciryl Gane (-160)

Fiorot vs Namajunas Prediction

At 31, two-time UFC strawweight champ Namajunas (11-5 MMA, 9-4 UFC) is making the decision to move up in weight class. Has she bitten off more than she can chew in Fiorot (10-1 MMA, 5-0 UFC), unbeaten since joining UFC?

The 33-year-old from France has won 10 in a row since dropping her pro debut. In her last three fights, Fiorot has beaten Katyln Chookagian, Jennifer Maia and Mayra Bueno Silva, all via unanimous decision.

Both of these fighters are punishing strikers. It’s been difficult to gauge the caliber of Fiorot’s ground game, since no one’s had much success getting her off her feet. Namajunas could be the fighter capable of making that happen. She’s an outstanding grappler who’s fought all of the best in her class.

Namajunas hasn’t been in the octagon in a year since losing her title to Carla Esparza. If her head’s on straight, Rose will rise to the occasion.

Fiorot vs Namajunas Pick: Rose Namajunas (+155)

Other UFC Fight Night 226 Best Bets

  • Benoit Saint-Denis over Thiago Moises (-160). Saint-Denis extends his win streak to four bouts fighting on home soil
  • Volkan Oezdemir to defeat Bogdan Guskov (-180). Oezdemir is on the downside of his career but his experience will carry the day here
  • Nora Cornolle to defeat Joselyne Edwards (-110). Making her UFC debut, Cornolle has won six straight, all by stoppage
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