April 21 NBA Player Props – Over/Unders & Picks for Grizzlies vs Timberwolves, Jazz vs Mavs and Warriors vs Nuggets Game 3s
By Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball
Published:
- The NBA Playoffs continue on Thursday (April 21) with a three-game slate
- Player props are available for all of the contests
- See below to find out where we think the betting value lies
There’s a trio of NBA playoff games to sweat on Thursday, but one injury is currently clouding the player props slate. Dallas’ Luka Doncic, who’s missed both Games 1 and 2 of the Mavericks vs Jazz series with a calf injury, is questionable to play in Game 3.
Until an official decision is made on his status Dallas player props remain off the board which is unfortunate, because Jalen Brunson has been a printing press for bettors early on this postseason.
NBA Player Props – Thursday, April 21
| Grizzlies vs Timberwolves | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 23.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 4.5 (Ov -165 / Un +125) | 4.5 (Ov +120 / Un -160) | 3.5 (Ov +120 / Un -165) |
| D’Angelo Russell (MIN) | 16.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | 3.5 (Ov +130 / Un -175) | 6.5 (Ov -150 / Un +110) | 2.5 (Ov +140 / Un -180) |
| Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) | 25.5 (Ov -115/ Un -115) | 10.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 3.5 (Ov +110 / Un -140) | 1.5 (Ov -150 / Un +115) |
| Ja Morant (MEM) | 29.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 6.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | 7.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110) | 1.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110) |
| Dillon Brooks (MEM) | 18.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | 2.5 (Ov -175 / Un +130) | 2.5 (Ov -165 / Un +125) | 1.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110) |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM) | 15.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) | 6.5 (Ov +105 / Un -135) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) |
| Mavericks vs Jazz | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three Pointers Made |
| Bojan Bogdanovic (UTA) | 21.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) | 4.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110) | 1.5 (Ov -165 / Un +125) | 2.5 (Ov -135 / Un +105) |
| Donovan Mitchell (UTA) | 29.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 5.5 (Ov +115 / Un -155) | 5.5 (Ov -140 / Un +105) | 2.5 (Ov -180 / Un +140) |
| Mike Conley (UTA) | 13.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | 3.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | 5.5 (Ov +110 / Un -150) | 1.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) |
| Rudy Gobert (UTA) | 13.5 (Ov+100 / Un -125) | 15.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) | 0.5 (Ov -225 / Un +165) | OFF |
| Warriors vs Nuggets | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three Pointers Made |
| Aaron Gordon (DEN) | 14.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) | 5.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +155 / Un -210) |
| Monte Morris (DEN) | 11.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) | OFF | 4.5 (Ov +130 / Un -170) | 1.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) |
| Nikola Jokic (DEN) | 29.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 14.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) | 7.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 0.5 (Ov -245 / Un +180) |
| Will Barton (DEN) | 15.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | 5.5 (Ov +110 / Un -145) | 3.5 (Ov -160 / Un +120) | 2.5 (Ov +125 / Un -160) |
| Andrew Wiggins (GS) | 15.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 5.5 (Ov +110 / Un -145) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -105 / Un -120) |
| Draymond Green (GS) | 8.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) | 7.5 (Ov +100 / Un -125) | 7.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 0.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) |
| Klay Thompson (GS) | 22.5 (Ov +100 / Un -125) | 3.5 (Ov -135 / Un +105) | OFF | 3.5 (Ov -120 / Un -105) |
Odds as of April 21st at DraftKings.
Golden State’s Steph Curry meanwhile, has played both of the Warriors first two playoff games despite dealing with a foot injury, but only limited minutes. He’s expected to play on Thursday versus the Nuggets, but oddsmakers are choosing to leave him off the player props board due to the uncertainty of how many minutes he’ll log.
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Pick #1: Donovan Mitchell Over 29.5 Points
On the other side of the Mavericks situation is Utah’s Donovan Mitchell who’s been firing shots at will through two games. Mitchell has taken 59 shots through Games 1 and 2, racking up 34 and 32 point efforts.
Donovan Mitchell has 1,000 career playoff points in just his 35th game. Only five players achieved the feat faster 💪
• Michael Jordan (28)
• Wilt Chamberlain (29)
• Elgin Baylor (32)
• Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (34)
• Oscar Robertson (34) pic.twitter.com/6hGzCRUdsS— The Sporting News (@sportingnews) April 19, 2022
His efficiency has been lacking, as he’s shooting only 39%, but don’t expect him to slow down in Game 3. For his career Mitchell averages four more shots in playoff games versus regular season outings, and over the previous two Jazz playoff runs he’s averaged 36 and 32 points a night.
Utah lacks a secondary option that can create their own shot to the degree that Mitchell can, and up until this point Dallas seems willing to let Mitchell try to beat them on his own. If the Jazz are going to approach their 108.5 point team total, Mitchell is going to need to produce another big night.
- Pick: Donovan Mitchell Over 29.5 Points (-115)
Pick #2: Jaren Jackson Over 1.5 Threes
Our next target is over 1.5 threes for Memphis’ Jaren Jackson Jr. The Grizzlies and Timberwolves own the highest totaled game on the slate at 236.5 points, so there should be no volume concerns for Jackson Jr. barring foul trouble or injury.
Jaren Jackson Jr is the first player to ever lead the league in blocks per game while also having at least 100 3PM in the same season.
Dual-threat🦄 pic.twitter.com/DscO4zEzPn
— GrizzMuse (@901Muse) April 19, 2022
Jackson is by no means an elite three-point shooter, but Minnesota appears to be willing to let him fire away. The 22-year-old has responded by taking 12 three’s so far this series, knocking down four attempts in their last meeting.
For his career Jackson averages five three-point attempts per outing, and no team yielded more points or made three’s than the Timberwolves during the regular season.
Pick: Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 1.5 Threes (-115)
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
