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Bulls vs Cavaliers Odds, Lines & Predictions (Feb. 11)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball

Updated Mar 9, 2023 · 7:30 AM PST

Donovan Mitchell MCU during a stoppage in play
Feb 5, 2023; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Cleveland Cavaliers guard Donovan Mitchell (45) in the second half against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports
  • Cleveland is a 4-point home favorite over Chicago on Saturday in the Bulls vs Cavaliers odds
  • The Cavaliers are 3-0 versus the Bulls this season
  • Check out the latest Bulls vs Cavaliers odds, plus analysis, injury updates and predictions

Schedule makers certainly didn’t do the Cavaliers (35-22, 23-6 home) any favors this weekend. On Friday night, Cleveland will play a rare 10 pm ET tip in New Orleans. Less than 24 hours later, they’re back home for a tilt with the Bulls (26-29, 10-18 away).

In spite of the short turnaround, online sportsbooks are still bullish on the Cavaliers in Saturday’s contest. They opened up Cleveland as home chalk in the NBA odds, as the Cavs shoot for a 24th home victory.

Bulls vs Cavaliers Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Chicago Bulls +4 (-110) +150 OFF
Cleveland Cavaliers -4 (-110) -175 OFF

Odds as of February 10th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code to bet on the Bulls vs Cavaliers game.

Cleveland is currently favored by 4 points in a game without a total as of Friday evening. Tip-off on Saturday is at 8 pm ET at the Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse in Cleveland, Ohio, and will make the fourth and final meeting between these two division rivals this season.

 

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Bulls vs Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Cavaliers have taken each of the first three matchups with Chicago. The first was a 32 point blowout in Chicago, but the last two outings have been close. Cleveland squeaked out a 1-point win on New Year’s Eve, and prevailed in OT two nights later.

That game was the infamous 71-point performance by Donovan Mitchell. The Cavs superstar buried 22 of 34 shots, and 20 of his 25 free throws. Mitchell added 11 assists and 8 rebounds for good measure, but he hasn’t been the same player since.

Mitchell has produced more than 20 points in just six of his past 12 games. He’s scored fewer than 17 points five times during that stretch, and is averaging just 15.3 points per night in February so far. Perhaps the groin injury he’s been dealing with is still affecting him, but Cleveland has been winning regardless.

The Cavs take a four-game winning streak into New Orleans on Friday. All four of those victories have come by double-digits. They boast a plus-75 point differential during that stretch, and have been nearly unbeatable at home all season.

Cleveland’s 23 home wins are tied for the most in the East, and second most in the NBA. They average over 3 more points per 100 possessions inside their own building than on the road, while yielding 3 fewer points per 100 possessions. They’re 7-2 in their last nine games at home, beating NBA Championship odds contenders like the Grizzlies, Clippers and Bucks during that stretch.

The Bulls meanwhile, enter play fresh off back-to-back losses on the road. They’re a dismal 10-18 away from home overall, losing seven of their past eight games as visitors.

While Cleveland is fighting for home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs, Chicago is clinging to a play-in tournament berth. They stood pat at the deadline, electing to move forward with the roster they have.

That group is led by DeMar DeRozan, Zach Lavine and Nikola Vucevic, who account for 59% of the team’s total offense. They’re the only three players on the roster who average more than 10 points per game, and the lack of depth has been an issue all season.

Putting up points has been a major issue for this team on the road, as they’re a bottom-11 scoring team as visitors. That’s a problem on most nights away from home, but it’s especially concerning versus Cleveland.

Bulls vs Cavaliers Trends

That’s because the Cavaliers lead the league in defensive rating. They’ve held Chicago to 102 points or less in two of their three meetings, while just one of Cleveland’s last six opponents have exceeded 100 points.

That stellar defense has helped propel the Cavaliers to one of the NBA’s best home cover rates. They’ve beaten the spread inside their own building at a 67.9% clip this season, with an average margin of victory of 8.9 points. They’ve also performed very well in the second half of back-to-backs, winning six of nine games, with five covers.

Chicago meanwhile, is a bottom-10 team versus the spread. They’re covering just 47% of their games so far, and are 12-14-2 ATS as visitors.

Give me the better team, with more depth, playing in the arena they’ve dominated at all year long.

Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -4 (-110)

 

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