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Cavaliers vs Heat Predictions, Odds & Lines (Mar. 8)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NBA Basketball

Updated Mar 7, 2023 · 7:26 PM PST

Cleveland's Evan Mobley fighting for the ball
Jan 31, 2023; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Cavaliers forward Evan Mobley (4) shoots between Miami Heat guard Gabe Vincent (2) and center Bam Adebayo (13) in the fourth quarter at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers are 1.5-point road favorites over the Miami Heat in their NBA game slated for Tuesday, March 8
  • The Cavaliers are 1-21 straight up in their last 22 road games facing the Heat
  • See the Cavaliers vs Heat odds and picks, below

Twos are wild for the Cleveland Cavaliers (41-26, 35-29-3 ATS) and Miami Heat (35-31, 23-40-3 ATS). About to begin a two-game mini series against each other, both the Cavaliers and Heat are riding two-game winning streaks.

Miami, though, is where winning streaks go to die for Cleveland. The Cavaliers are 1-21 straight up in their last 22 games in South Beach against the Heat.

Regardless, oddsmakers are backing Cleveland in this game. The Cavaliers are 1.5-point road favorites over the Heat. Cleveland is 5-13 against the spread in the last 18 games against Miami.

Cavaliers vs Heat Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 (-110) -125 O 212 (-110)
Miami Heat +1.5 (-110) +105 U 212 (-110)

The Cavaliers opened up as 2-point favorites in the NBA odds. Currently, the total is set at 212 points. The over was the winning play in six of Cleveland’s last eight games. However, the under has hit in four of Miami’s last six games.

This game is being broadcast by NBA League Pass in the USA and Canada. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30pm ET at Miami-Dade Arena.

The Cavaliers are the 10th betting choice in the NBA championship odds at +2800. Oddsmakers are setting the Heat as the co-13th option in this betting market at a betting line of +7000.

 

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Odds as of March 7 at Caesars Sportsbook.

Cavaliers vs Heat Betting Trends

The public is strongly siding with the experts in the betting splits on this game. In spread splits, Cleveland is getting 82% of handle and 73% of bets. Moneyline splits are with the Cavaliers at 70% of handle and 60% of bets.

As far as the total is concerned, the over of 212 points is currently drawing 100% of handle and bets from the public.

Cleveland vs Miami Injury Report

Miami could be missing a couple of veteran pieces from the NBA starting lineups for the game against Cleveland. Point guard Kyle Lowry (knee) is definitely out. Former Cavaliers power forward Kevin Love is listed as day-to-day with a rib injury and is questionable to play in this game.

The Cavaliers are reporting no injuries.

Cavaliers On High After Win Over Celtics

Cleveland is coming to South Beach following arguably the club’s most significant win over the season. Led by 40 points from guard Donovan Mitchell, the Cavaliers beat the NBA’s #1 team the Boston Celtics 118-114 in overtime on Monday.

Evan Mobley added 25 points, 17 rebounds and three blocks for the Cavs, who improved to 7-0 in OT this season. Playing without All-Star Game MVP Jayson Tatum, Boston blew a 14-point fourth-quarter lead.

Heat Keeps Turning On and Off

Back-to-back home-court wins over the Atlanta Hawks in their last two games marked the first time in 10 games that Miami had posted consecutive victories. The Heat are 2-7 SU since a three-game win streak from Feb. 8-11.

Miami’s 130 points in Monday’s win over Atlanta was the second-most points scored by the Heat in a game this season. It was the team’s biggest offensive explosion since Nov. 12. Forward Jimmy Butler led the attack with 26 points. Victor Oladipo (22 points) and Caleb Martin (21) each topped 20 points coming off the bench. On the flip side, Miami allowed a season-high 70 points in the paint.

Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction

All the underlying head-to-head metrics on this game are saying bet Miami. The Heat are on 13-5 ATS and 13-4 SU runs against the Cavaliers.

Sports is very much a results-driven industry and lately, the results are running cold for the Heat. Miami has won three of its last nine games. The Heat are 3-11 ATS over their last 14 games. Miami is an NBA-worst 23-40-3 ATS this season, a 36.5% cover rate. It’s even worse at home, where Miami is also last overall at 29% (9-22-2).

Meanwhile, Cleveland is 3-1 SU and ATS in the club’s last four games. The Cavaliers are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.

Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 (-110)

 

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