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Golden State’s 2019-20 Win Total Opens at 47.5; Is That Too Low?

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NBA Basketball

Updated Mar 25, 2020 · 2:45 PM PDT

Golden State's Klay Thompson and Steph Curry high five.
The total wins odds for the Golden State Warriors for the 201-20 NBA season is 47.5, which would be their lowest total since 2012-13. Photo by @NBCSWarriors (Twitter)
  • Sportsbooks project the win total for the Golden State Warriors in 2019-20 at 47.5
  • That would be their lowest total since going 47-35 in 2012-13
  • The Warriors have averaged 51 wins per season over the past six NBA seasons

The two-year title reign of the Golden State Warriors came to an end in the spring at the hands of the Toronto Raptors. But things look like they are about to get much worse for the Warriors.

Sportsbooks project the 2019-20 NBA win totals for the Warriors to be 47.5.

Golden State Warriors Win Total Odds

Team Win Totals Over Odds Under Odds
Golden State Warriors 47.5 -130 +110

*All odds taken 07/15/19.

That would be Golden State’s lowest output in the win column since going 47-35 in 2012-13.

Is the Sheen off Golden State?

Forty percent of their starting five has departed. Forward Kevin Durant joined the Brooklyn Nets. Center DeMarcus Cousins signed with the Los Angeles Lakers. Shooting guard Klay Thompson could be done until March of next season. He underwent surgery to repair a torn ACL.

On top of that, key reserves like Andre Iguodala and Quinn Cook are also gone.

Four Warriors went to the NBA All-Star Game last season. Of those four, only guard Steph Curry and forward Draymond Green will begin next season on the active roster.

It’s Not Just About who They Lost

While the Warriors were forced into a rebuild, several of their Western Conference finals were also retooling.

The Los Angeles Clippers gave Golden State all it could handle in the opening round of the playoffs. They’ve acquired Paul George and Kawhi Leonard, the guy who dismantled the injury-depleted Warriors in the NBA Finals. The Los Angeles Lakers picked up Anthony Davis.

The Houston Rockets teamed Russell Westbrook and James Harden. That gives them a pair of NBA MVPs and scoring champions. The Utah Jazz brought in Mike Conley, Bojan Bogdanovic and Ed Davis. The Portland Trail Blazers and Denver Nuggets weren’t as busy but still are deep teams.

The NBA Western Conference hasn’t been this wide-open in years.

The Youth Movement

The decision by the Warriors to jettison the veteran Iguodala in a trade with the Memphis Grizzlies cleared cap room. They engineered a sign-and-trade to add guard D’Angelo Russell from the Nets. They envision Russell, 23, evolving into a key factor in their equation.

They  traded three future second-round picks to acquire C/F Alen Smailagic, 18, and F Eric Paschall, 22. The Warriors drafted Michigan guard Jordan Poole, 20. More will be expected of Jacob Evans, 22, the club’s 2018 first-round pick.

In the past, Golden State made moves to add pieces that fit into their puzzle. This summer, puzzled, they’re trying to piece together a lineup that will fit.

It’s a completely different dynamic.

The Wild West

The shelf life of a great team is traditionally five years. The Warriors went to five straight NBA Finals.

Now they are vulnerable, and those they’ve beaten like drums will look to pounce.

Golden State will be hard-pressed to find wins. Play the under.

The Pick: Under 47.5 Wins (+110)

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