- The Golden State Warriors are -305 favorites to close out their opening round series vs the Sacramento Kings
- GState earned a road win last time out to take a 3-2 series lead
- Don’t miss the latest Kings vs Warriors Game 6 odds here, plus betting splits and Same-Game Parlay picks
The Golden State Warriors are on the verge of dimming the beam.
After getting a much-needed road win in Game 5, the Dubs return home looking to close out the Sacramento Kings in six games and advance to the second round in the West’s NBA Playoff Bracket.
Golden State has yet to lose a series tied 2-2 under Steve Kerr. They’ll be looking for their sixth series win in such a scenario.
Game 6 goes Friday (April 28) at 8pm ET from Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. You can watch the game live on ESPN.
Kings vs Warriors Game 6 Odds
|Sacramento Kings||+7.5 (-110)||+255||O 235 (-110)|
|Golden State Warriors||-7.5 (-110)||-305||U 235 (-110)|
Sacramento did have the best road record of any team in the West this season, and it wasn’t particularly close, four wins clear of the next-best team. Golden State was 33-8 at home this season, the 3rd-best home record in the NBA this season.
Odds as of April 27 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Kings vs Warriors Betting Preview
For this dynastic group of Warriors, it was only fitting their core-4 led the way in a 123-116 Game 5 win, marking the 28th-straight series GState has won a road game.
Steph Curry had 31 points and eight assists, while Klay Thompson went for 25 points, hitting 5-for-11 from distance. Kevon Looney was unstoppable in the trenches, grabbing 22 boards , with seven assists and four points.
WARDELL STEPHEN CURRY II 😱 pic.twitter.com/UTCIHlqvH3
— Warriors on NBCS (@NBCSWarriors) April 27, 2023
Draymond Green, in his second straight game coming off the bench, was dynamite, scoring 21 points, with four rebounds, seven assists and four steals. He consistently found open driving lanes as SacTo doubled Steph Curry off the pick and roll.
Sacramento’s De’Aaron Fox somehow played through a broken index finger on his shooting hand and led the Kings in scoring with 24 points, seven rebounds, nine assists and two steals, while Domantas Sabonis had 21 points, 10 rebounds, four assists and three steals. Malik Monk had 21 points, five rebounds and four dimes off the bench.
DE’AARON FOX TOUGH AND-1 😤 pic.twitter.com/BuZVLiFaov
— NBA on TNT (@NBAonTNT) April 27, 2023
There’s not much more around them for support. Kevin Huerter has had a nightmare series, averaging 9.0 points on 38.5% shooting from the field, and 16% from three. Harrison Barnes, who missed an open three-pointer to win Game 4, is averaging 13 points on 43.1% from the floor, including a paltry 22.1% from distance.
Sacramento vs Golden State Same-Game Parlay
If there’s a closeout game at home, it’s never a bad idea to start a Same-Game Parlay with Steph Curry.
He’s gone for 30+ in the last three games, all Warriors wins, and he kicks off a 3-legger that pays out at +500.
Kings vs Warriors Game 6 Same-Game Parlay
|Stephen Curry OVER 30.5 points||-140|
|De’Aaron Fox UNDER 26.5 points||-115|
|Domantas Sabonis UNDER 5.5 assists||+105|
|Same-Game Parlay Odds||+500|
Fox averaged 32 points a game across Games 3 & 4 at Chase, but that was before he broke his index finger. While he will still produce — hardly anyone else has — I see him shooting similar to his 9-for-25 night in Game 5.
Save for an 8-assisst game, Sabonis has gone under six dimes in every other game. Look for that trend to continue, as he tries to work his way through a tough Warriors defense.
Kings vs Warriors Prediction
After holding the Dubs to 114.5 points across their first two wins, Sacramento has surrendered 121 points per game across this three-game losing streak.
That being said, the Kings still have held their own against the Warriors. Despite their predicament, they are 12-3 against the spread in their last 15 visits in Golden State, and they’re 16-7 ATS in the last 23 head-to-heads.
However, Golden State is the best bet as a home favorite in the NBA this season, going 28-14-1 ATS during the regular season.
It’s SacTo’s fifth and final chance to win a game at Chase this season, and while I think they fall to the champs, I do think they give them all they can handle.
- Kings +7.5 (-110); 1.5 units to win 1.36 units
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