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Knicks vs Heat Odds, Lines & Picks (March 22)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NBA Basketball

Updated Mar 21, 2023 · 10:45 PM PDT

New York Knicks guard Immanuel Quickley celebrates hitting 3-pointer
Mar 20, 2023; New York, New York, USA; New York Knicks guard Immanuel Quickley (5) reacts after a three point shot against the Minnesota Timberwolves during the fourth quarter at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Miami Heat are 1.5-point home favorites over the New York Knicks in their NBA game slated for Wednesday, March 22
  • The Knicks are 3-0 straight up in their last three games against the Heat, including two wins this season
  • Below, find the Knicks vs Heat predictions and betting odds

Of late,  the New York Knicks (42-31, 40-30-3 ATS) are having their way with the Miami Heat (39-34, 26-44-3 ATS).

New York has won three in a row straight up from the Heat, including both meetings this season. As well, the Knicks are 2-0 SU in their last two visits to Miami. New York is also 3-0 against the spread in the last three games against Miami.

Knicks vs Heat Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
New York Knicks +1.5 (-110) +105 O 220 (-110)
MIAMI HEAT -1.5 (-110) -125 U 220 (-110)

Despite so many indications working in favor of the Knicks, it’s the Heat that oddsmakers are liking in this game. Miami is set as  1.5-point home favorite. Miami is just 3-9 ATS over the past 12 home games.

This game is being broadcast by NBA League Pass in the USA and Canada. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30pm ET at Miami-Dade Arena on Wednesday, March 22.



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Odds as of March 21 at Caesars Sportsbook.


The Heat and Knicks are co-13th betting choices in the NBA championship odds at +7500. Oddsmakers are setting Miami with a betting line of +525 to be making the NBA playoffs.

Knicks vs Heat Betting Trends

The people are liking the Knicks to cover but they aren’t as sold on the idea that New York will be winning the game. In the NBA public betting splits, there’s 66% of handle and 54% of bets. However, in the moneyline splits, handle is divided 50-50. But 63% of bettors are going with New York.

No action is yet registered on the total of 220 points. Miami has gone under in each of the last two games, but the Heat are 4-2 on the total through the past six games. The under has hit in five of New York’s last seven games. In the previous three Miami vs New York games, the total is showing a 1-1-1 slate.

New York vs Miami Injury Report

Though listed as questionable due to a knee injury, Heat point guard Kyle Lowry is expected to play and be part of the NBA starting lineups. Miami center Cody Zeller (nose) is out. He’ll miss his fifth straight game. Heat small forward Caleb Martin is listed as questionable with left knee soreness.

The Knicks are missing PG Duane Washington Jr (hip). Guard Trevor Keels (concussion) is day-to-day.

Randle Enjoys Monster Game vs Minnesota

Despite an astonishing 57-point performance from Julius Randle, the third-highest single-game output in franchise history, the Knicks were 140-134 losers at home to the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. It halted New York’s three-game winning streak.

A balanced offense is helping New York. Over the past six games, four different players have finished as the team’s top scorer. New York leads the Eastern Conference with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game.

Heat NBA’s Worst Betting Team

Miami is the worst ATS team in the NBA the season, covering at a 37.1% rate (26-44-3). The Heat are even worse at home, going 11-24-2 ATS (31.4%). As a home favorite, Miami is a touch better. At 9-22-2, the Heat are only second-worst in the league (29%).

Miami is 20-24 SU against Eastern Conference opponents.  Heat point guard Tyler Herro is averaging 3.2 made 3-pointers over his last 10 games.

Knicks vs Heat Prediction

Fifth seed in the East, the Knicks are sitting three games behind #4 Cleveland and three ahead of #7 Miami and a spot in the play-in tourney.  With nine games to play,  a victory in this game would be giving the Heat a realistic chance of catching the Knicks. These two teams will be meeting again on March 29.

Both Miami and New York are winners of three of their last four games and are 6-4 through their past 10 games. Along with New York’s recent team success against the Heat, Randle did score 43 points on his last visit to Miami.

Pick: New York Knicks +1.5 (-110)


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