Raptors Overtake Celtics for Best Odds to Win the Atlantic Division
- The Raptors have emerged as the favorite to take the Atlantic
- Toronto is tied for the league lead with a 10-1 record
- Are the Celtics still the better bet?
With all due respect to the Philadelphia 76ers, it’s a two-horse race in the Atlantic Division.
And right now, odds like the Toronto Raptors.
Odds to Win the NBA Atlantic Division in 2018-19
| Team | Record | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 10-1 | +110 |
| Boston Celtics | 6-4 | +135 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 6-5 | +425 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 5-6 | +10000 |
| New York Knicks | 3-8 | +12500 |
Raptors Unstoppable to Start Season
There’s a lot to like. A team that had question marks all offseason about the type of squad they were going to be is lighting the league on fire.
Toronto is tied with the perennial powerhouse Golden State Warriors for the best record in the NBA at 10-1 – and that’s with Kawhi Leonard having missed three games already.
Serge Ibaka drops a career quarter high 20 PTS (8-8 FGM) in the 1st on NBALP! #WeTheNorth pic.twitter.com/Wn7EOhfLgZ
— NBA (@NBA) November 5, 2018
It hasn’t mattered. Take their current Western Conference trip. Starting off with a win in Phoenix, the Raps faced a hellacious back-to-back against LeBron’s Lakers and the Jazz in Salt Lake.
?? and Kawhi is resting pic.twitter.com/aiRiga3vEB
— The Talk? (@TTalkSports) November 5, 2018
With a relentless attacking style on both offense and defense, the Raptors laid waste to both teams, including an absolute stomping in Hollywood, a game that was over after one quarter of play.
Raptors vs Celtics Statistical Comparison
| 114.8 (2nd) | Offensive Rating | 103.5 (27th) |
| 117.4 (6th) | Points | 104.2 (27th) |
| 26.1 (4th) | Assists | 23.6 (18th) |
| 49.2 (4th) | Field-Goal Percentage | 43.0 (26th) |
| 35.1 (T-14th) | Three-Point Percentage | 35.1 (T-14th) |
| 106.1 (9th) | Defensive Rating | 100.8 (1st) |
| 108.0 (8th) | Points Allowed | 101.3 (1st) |
| 42.9 (4th) | Field-Goal Percentage Allowed | 42.2 (2nd) |
| 35.9 (18th) | Three-Point Percentage Allowed | 29.6 (1st) |
| 44.0 (T-5th) | Points In The Paint | 44.8 (9th) |
Celtics Finding their Way Early
It would be premature to assume, however, that this race is over.
For a team trying to re-incorporate their two superstar players into an uber talented lineup, it’s not all bad for the 6-4 Boston Celtics.
First, the good news: it appears that Kyrie Irving has found the sort of scoring groove that made him an absolute killer while with the Cavs. He’s averaged 25.7 points and five assists a game in November, shooting 59.2% from the field and 56.0% from three.
Kyrie Irving was like, "You want the game ball after that ? ?, Jamal Murray? Go get it!" pic.twitter.com/ZfyFW8RpxH
— Michael Lee (@MrMichaelLee) November 6, 2018
He also appears to have that competitive fire burning. After a loss in Denver, he didn’t take too kindly to Jamal Murray trying to rack up 50 in the closing moments, and sent the souvenir ball into the audience. I like that.
But the bad news? The other returning star, Gordon Hayward, has struggled to find his groove. He’s averaging just over 10 points a game on the season, and has played about 25 minutes a night.
I know some of you don’t want to hear this but Gordon Hayward has to come off the bench… He just doesn’t look good right now for the Celtics
— Above The Rim Podcast (@jusblaze_513) November 7, 2018
Irving and Hayward were supposed to be able to lift last year’s struggling offense to top-flight heights. It hasn’t happened. And there are rumblings down the roster as other stars-in-waiting want minutes.
Unexpected early-season Celts subplot: Terry Rozier (restricted FA next summer) has been unhappy w/ his PT all season, word has gotten around the league, and everyone now knows the Celtics need to trade him… which, of course, makes it harder to trade him.
— Bill Simmons (@BillSimmons) November 7, 2018
Thankfully, Boston’s bread and butter has been one of the best defenses in the NBA, and should float them till they inevitably figure it out.
Who’s the Best Bet?
The Raptors currently sit top six across the NBA in scoring, field goal percentage and assists, as they try and find their range from deep – which was supposed to be a strong suit this year (T-14th at 35.1%).
It should be mentioned Kyle Lowry is playing at an All-Star level, and in non-Kawhi games has been the star. That’s a bonus.
Top net ratings by #NBA duos with > 200 minutes:
1. Kawhi Leonard/Kyle Lowry, @Raptors: 19.7 net rating
2. Lowry/Pascal Siakam, @Raptors: 19.0
3. Lowry/Danny Green, @Raptors: 18.8
4. Green/Siakam, @Raptors: 17.9
5. Kevin Durant/Draymond Green, @warriors: 17.2 pic.twitter.com/NXBlwXDijy
— Adam Fromal (@fromal09) November 5, 2018
The offense has been balanced by a stout defense, powered by outstanding wing play. Leonard, Danny Green, OG Anunoby, Pascal Siakam and Serge Ibaka are collectively the toughest group of players to try to get by right now. In this score-happy NBA, not needing help allows the Raptors to get the mini stops they need to be successful.
In this score-happy NBA, not needing help allows the Raptors to get the mini stops they need to be successful.
They’re eighth in points allowed and are one of four teams to hold their opponent to under 43% from the field this year. And remember, Leonard hasn’t yet hit his full stride.
Injuries aside, Toronto is in position for a conference crown, and that makes them the best bet in the Atlantic.
Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
