Timberwolves vs Thunder Odds, Picks, Player Props for Game 1 (May 20)

• The Minnesota Timberwolves visit the OKC Thunder in Game 1 of the Western Conference final on Tuesday night
• The Thunder are big home favorites to take a 1-0 lead
• See the Timberwolves vs Thunder odds, picks, and player props on May 20

The best-of-seven Western Conference final between the Minnesota Timberwolves (57-35, 28-18 away, 46-45-1 ATS) and OKC Thunder (76-17, 50-7 home, 57-33-4 ATS) starts on Tuesday night at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City (7:35 pm CT/8:35 pm ET).

The teams split their four regular-season meetings with each winning once at home and once on the other’s court but Tuesday’s NBA odds heavily favor the NBA-best Thunder starting the series with a win.

Jump to: MIN vs OKC Odds | MIN vs OKC Player Props | MIN vs OKC Picks

MIN Timberwolves vs OKC Thunder Odds (Game 1)

The Timberwolves/Thunder point spread favors OKC by 7.5 points, which is up half a point from where it opened on Sunday night after the Thunder blew out Denver in Game 7. On the moneyline, OKC is a -303 home favorite, giving the Thunder a 75.19% implied win probability. The Timberwolves come back as +240 road underdogs (29.41%). The game total has been bet up to 217.5, which is a massive 4.5 points higher than the opening O/U of 213.0.

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The Thunder are 6-5 O/U in the playoffs, hitting the over in the last two games against Denver in round two. The Timberwolves are 5-5 O/U and also enter the WCF on a two-game over streak, soaring over the number in both Games 4 and 5 against Golden State: 227 against a 201.5 O/U in Game 4 and 221 against a total of 203 in Game 5.

All four regular-season meetings between the teams witnessed at least 217 points and averaged 236.8 PPG.

The teams met three times in an 11-day span in mid-February with Minnesota winning 116-101 at home on February 13 and 131-128 in OT on the road on February 24. OKC took a 130-123 road win on February 23. OKC also won 113-105 in Minneapolis back on Dec. 31.

The Thunder/Timberwolves series odds opened with OKC as a -265 favorite but that number almost immediately jumped to -330, which is where it currently sits. OKC is also a -145 odds-on favorite in the NBA championship odds, with Minnesota at +550.

MIN vs OKC Player Props for Game 1

NBA player props from bet365 on May 20. Use the bet365 bonus code to bet on Game 1 on Tuesday.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (29.0 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 6.4 APG postseason) once again has a point total over 30 (31.5 O/U). SGA went over 30 points in five of seven games against the Nuggets in round two, and two of four against the Grizzlies in round one, though he only played 23 minutes in a 131-80 Game 1 rout.

Anthony Edwards (26.5 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 5.9 APG postseason) has the highest total on the Wolves at 25.5 O/U. Edwards has exceeded 25.5 points just four times in ten playoff games, twice against the Lakers in round one and twice against the Warriors in round two.

The highest rebound totals on the board belong to Rudy Gobert (8.9 PPG, 9.6 RPG postseason) and Chet Holmgren (15.7 PPG, 9.7 RPG postseason), both at 9.5 O/U.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Picks & Predictions

• Timberwolves +7.5 (-110) at DraftKings
• Edwards under 25.5 points (-115) at bet365

All four of the regular-season games between OKC and Minnesota were competitive. The Timberwolves showed a fairly unique ability to resist the Thunder’s usual onslaughts. OKC’s +12.9 per game point differential was the best in the NBA by 3.4 points, which was what propelled their league-best 52-26-4 ATS record during the regular season. But Minnesota kept the deficit to single-digits in both losses and won the other two meetings outright.

The Wolves will also be the more rested team heading into Tuesday, getting five full days off since eliminating the Warriors on Wednesday, May 14. OKC played Game 6 against Denver on THursday, May 15, and Game 7 on Sunday, May 18.

While I am backing the Timberwolves to cover as sizable road underdogs, I’m fading Anthony Edwards’ point total, betting under 25.5. As mentioned, Edwards has stayed under that number in six of ten postseason games so far, and he exceeded it just once in four regular-season games against OKC. averaged just 19.8 PPG against the Thunder. The only time he went over was in the 130-123 loss on Feb.23, scoring 29 points in a losing effort.