- LSU is a 2.5-point home favorite over Arkansas on Wednesday night in SEC action
- LSU freshman Cameron Thomas, averaging 22.3 points a game, is questionable with an ankle injury
- Odds, lines and spreads for Arkansas-LSU can be found below with game analysis.
LSU’s leading scorer Cam Thomas is questionable to play when they host Arkansas at 7pm ET Wednesday in an SEC game at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge.
LSU is 8-2 overall, 3-1 in the SEC and has won seven of its last eight games. However, the Tigers have been the losing side against the spread in five of its last seven games. They are favored in this one.
Arkansas vs LSU Odds
|Arkansas||+120||+2.5 (-112)||Over 159.5 (-106)|
|LSU||-142||-2.5 (-108)||Under 159.5 (-114)|
Odds taken Jan. 12 from FanDuel
Arkansas has been a profitable play lately as it has been the winning side ATS in four its last five games. The Razorbacks are 10-2 overall following a 9-0 start and 2-2 inside the conference.
LSU Star Questionable
LSU freshman guard Cam Thomas is questionable for this game after injuring his ankle four minutes into last Saturday’s 75-63 win at Mississippi.
Thomas is scoring 22.3 points a game to lead LSU and is projected to be a first-round pick in this year’s NBA Draft.
#LSU's Cam Thomas is an absolute killer operating out of triple-threat situations where he can shoot off a jab step, beat defenders off the bounce + either toss in floaters, absorb contact in the lane, or pull up sharply off stepbacks, via @DraftExpress >> https://t.co/UjlunSNufz pic.twitter.com/faxuQCqw83
— DraftExpressContent (@DXContent) January 12, 2021
He also has used 31.3% of the Tigers’ possessions, taken 36.2% of their shots, drawn 6.8 fouls per 40 minutes and is shooting 91.2% from the free throw line
LSU was still able to pull a mild upset after Thomas got hurt as it was a 2.5-point underdog.
The Tigers used balanced scoring to make up for Thomas’ absence. Sophomore forward Trendon Watford finished with 21 points, junior guard Javonte Smart added 17 and junior forward Darius Days chipped in with 15.
Watford (17.8), Smart (15.4) and Days (13.4) all have double-digits scoring averages. Smart has a 66.2 effective field percentage and 66.7 true shooting percentage and Days’ percentages are 64.1% and 65.3%.
Free dance lessons with Javonte Smart 🕺
1H 4:30 | LSU 30, Ole Miss 15
📺 SECN pic.twitter.com/lE41YuI01Q
— LSU Basketball (@LSUBasketball) January 10, 2021
That trio, along with Thomas, have helped the Tigers have the fifth-most efficient offense in the nation, according to KenPom.com.
However, they also do more than score. Watford is averaging 6.7 rebounds and 4.0 assists while Smart has averages of 4.0 rebounds and 4.1 assists and Day is pulling down an average of 8.1 boards.
LSU is just 109th in defensive efficiency but played well on that end against Mississippi. The Tigers forced 20 turnovers, which led to 29 points, and held the Rebels to 34% shooting.
Arkansas Bounces Back
Arkansas followed back-to-back losses with a 99-69 thumping of visiting Georgia on Saturday as a 9-point favorite. It was the Razorbacks’ largest margin of victory in two years.
Freshman guard Marcus Moody scored a career-high 25 points on 9-of-15 shooting. That came after he was just 1-for-8 with six points in a loss to Tennessee in Arkansas’ previous game.
— Arkansas Razorbacks Basketball 🐗 (@RazorbackMBB) January 11, 2021
Another freshman guard, Davonte Davis, also set a career high with 20 points against Mississippi. He made nine of 14 field goals attempts.
Senior guard Jalen Tate added a double-double with 15 points and 10 assists. Senior forward Vance Jackson Jr. had 15 points on 4-for-5 shooting from 3-point range.
Arkansas shot a smoking 57% (12 of 21) on 3s and 52% (36 of 69) overall. Those percentages were 60% from three and 75% from the field in the second half when the Razorbacks turned a 6-point lead into a 30-point rout.
They obviously listened to coach Eric Musselman.
Tonight’s message to the team was that we are stronger together. Play as a team and share the ball. Proud of the way they stayed together today! pic.twitter.com/icXEpkt1Mq
— Eric Musselman (@EricPMusselman) January 10, 2021
Reserve freshman guard Khalen Robinson (foot) missed the game and is questionable for Wednesday.
At 16.7 points a game, Moody leads five Arkansas players scoring in double figures with junior guard JD Notae (15.4), junior guard Desi Sills (11.8), senior forward Justin Smith (11.6) and Tate (10.7).
The teams have split their last 12 games, including a pair last season. Each team won its home floor in 2019-20, LSU 79-77 as a six-point favorite and Arkansas 99-90 as a 3.5-point choice.
Watford had a combined 35 points and 15 rebounds in the two games and Smart added 24 points and 12 boards.
Thomas’ availability will obviously impact Wednesday’s game his questionable status causes the lean to go to Arkansas.
Pick: Arkansas +2.5 (-110)
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