Fresno State vs Nevada Odds and Picks (Jan. 21)
- Fresno State vs Nevada odds favor the Bulldogs over Nevada on Friday (Jan. 21st) at 11 pm ET in Mountain West play
- The Bulldogs enter play winners of three straight, while the Wolf Pack has dropped two of three
- Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction
Fresno State backers have been cleaning up this season. The Bulldogs have been cashing tickets left, right, and center and are in another good spot to do so on Friday (January 21st). They’ll travel to Nevada for a date with the Wolf Pack, looking to extend their winning streak to four games.
Fresno State vs Nevada Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | -133 | -1.5 (-110) | O 135.5 (-110) |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | +110 | +1.5 (-110) | U 135.5 (-110) |
Odds as of Jan 20th at BetMGM.
Fresno State opened up as a 1.5-point road favorite, in a contest that features a total of 135.5. Tip-off is scheduled for 11 pm ET at the Lawlor Events Center in Reno, Nevada, a building where the Wolf Pack are just 3-5 at this season.
Nevada is currently listed as a +9500 longshot in the Final Four odds, while Fresno is off the board.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Analysis
The Bulldogs’ latest victory came at the expense of Utah State 61-54. Deon Stroud came off the bench to lead the team in scoring with 14, while Anthony Holland added 13 points, and leading scorer Orlando Robinson put up a monster stat line of 11 points, 13 rebounds, 6 assists, and 3 blocks.
The win was Fresno State’s ninth straight at home, and third in four Mountain West games this season. The Bulldogs (13-4, 3-1 MWC) started out slow, but cranked up the intensity, specifically on defense, in the second half. They held the Aggies to only 23 points over the final 20 minutes, erasing a 10 point halftime deficit to win by 7.
DAGGER🗡️= DELIVERED @antholland23 puts the 'Dogs up 56-54 with less than a minute to play. #GoDogs | #PrideOfTheValley pic.twitter.com/yLLxsXZcp2
— Fresno State Men’s Basketball (@FresnoStateMBB) January 19, 2022
They limited Utah State to its second lowest offensive output of the season, while forcing 15 turnovers, and yielding only 5 offensive rebounds.
Offensively, Fresno State came back down to earth after back-to-back games with a field goal percentage north of 50%, but it simply didn’t matter thanks to their defense.
They’ve been winning at that end of the floor all season long, ranking second in the nation in opponent points per game (56.2), and top-10 in both defensive rebounding percentage, and opponent field goal attempts.
Fresno State's scoring defense (56.5 points allowed per game) is now ranked 2nd in the nation.#GoDogs | #ValleyTough pic.twitter.com/ftEYGmI28D
— Fresno State Men’s Basketball (@FresnoStateMBB) January 20, 2022
Their defensive prowess has helped them rack up a +9.6 average score margin, which ranks 38th in the country. Friday’s matchup will test them as Nevada is one of the highest scoring offenses in the Mountain West, however the Wolf Pack also boasts one of the worst defenses.
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Analysis
The Wolfpack (8-7, 2-2 MWC) lost for the second time in its past three conference games last time out, falling to Wyoming 77-67. Leading scorer Grant Sherfield paced the offense with 20 points and 8 assists, while Will Baker chipped in with 12.
Final from Lawlor.#BattleBorn // #PackParty pic.twitter.com/J4b75KSrZ2
— Nevada Basketball (@NevadaHoops) January 18, 2022
It was a disappointing night for the Wolf Pack offense as a whole, especially second leading scorer Desmond Cambridge Jr. The senior guard managed only 6 points, 10 short of his season average, by missing six of his nine field goal attempts. Nevada as a team shot just 39.3%, and were an abysmal 6-of-30 from beyond the arc.
Defensively, they allowed at least 75 points for the third time in six games, and for the seventh time this season. They rank 310th out of 358 schools in scoring defense (76.4 ppg), while yielding an effective field goal percentage of 51.8%.
Offense is their calling card as mentioned earlier. They rank fourth in the conference in points per game (76.3), 32nd in the nation in assists, and 39th in made free throws.
Fresno State vs Nevada Pick
While the Bulldogs have been incredible at covering spreads this season, the Wolf Pack has been the complete opposite. They’re 0-4 ATS in conference play so far, and have failed to cover in six straight overall. They’ve been especially bad both straight up and against the number versus quality competition.
Time to fight back, Pack! 💪#BattleBorn // #PackParty pic.twitter.com/NGhqVPPBDV
— Nevada Basketball (@NevadaHoops) January 18, 2022
They’re 0-5 straight up versus top-100 ranked programs, covering just once. Fresno State checks in ranked 54th in the NCAA Net Rankings, and has covered in three straight outings, and in 12 of 16 contests overall.
No panic. ALL fight. #GoDogs | #ValleyTough pic.twitter.com/84c3nEmRFw
— Fresno State Men’s Basketball (@FresnoStateMBB) January 20, 2022
The Bulldogs have kept things close in games they’ve been dogs, and have blown out the bottom feeders on their schedule. Nevada ranks 78 spots lower than Fresno State in the NET Rankings, and is not a team for Bulldogs’ backers to fear.
Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs -1.5 (-110)
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
