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Maryland vs Purdue Picks and Odds (Feb. 13)

Jack Magruder

by Jack Magruder in College Basketball

Feb 12, 2022 · 11:48 PM PST

Zach Edey
Purdue center Zach Edey (15) dunks the ball during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois, Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022, in West Lafayette, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • No. 3 Purdue is a 15-point favorite over Maryland on Sunday
  • Maryland has lost six of its last eight games
  • Read below for analysis and a betting prediction

No. 3 Purdue (21-4, 10-4 Big Ten) is a 15-point home favorite over Maryland in a Big Ten game Sunday at 1 pm ET on CBS. The Boilermakers suffered their worst loss of the season the last time out, falling 82-58 at Michigan on Thursday.

Maryland (11-13, 3-10 Big Ten) has lost four straight and was blown out 110-87 by Iowa on Thursday, the most points the Terrapins had given up in 31 seasons.

Maryland vs Purdue Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Maryland Terrapins +890 +15 (-110) Over 148.5 (-110)
Purdue Boilermakers -1700 -15 (-110) Under 148.5 (-110)

Odds from FanDuel on Feb. 12

Purdue is a 15-point favorite over Maryland with the total set at 148.5, the second-highest the Terps have seen this season. The Boilermakers are -1200 on the moneyline, which means they have a 94.4% implied with probability. Maryland is +725 on the moneyline, meaning it has a 10.1% implied win probability.


Purdue, Maryland Look to Recover

Both Purdue and Maryland were boat-raced the last time out, suffering their worsts losses of the season Thursday.

Michigan shot 51.6 percent from the field and led by as many as 29 points in an 82-58 home victory that stopped the Boilermakers’ six-game winning streak. Purdue, which ranked No. 1 in Division I with  plus-10.4 rebound margin per game, was out-rebounded 35-25, committed 14 turnovers and shot 44 percent.

Maryland had it even worse. The Terrapins lost to Iowa 110-87, the second-most points allowed in program history behind a 114-91 loss to North Carolina State on Feb. 27, 1991. The Wolfpack’s Chris Corchiani had 20 assists in that one.

This time, Iowa’s Jordan Bohannon made 10 3-pointers. Iowa shot 60 percent from the field and made 19 of 34 threes. How Bohannon continued to find open looks against the Terps’ man-to-man defense after making his first five or six threes is a mystery.

Iowa led by as many as 37 points while becoming the first Big Ten pair to have two 30-pointer scorers (Keegan Murray had 30), one of whom with 10 threes.

Maryland vs Purdue Head-to-Head Results

Maryland is 3-1 straight up and ATS in the last four meetings. Since the Terps joined the Big Ten in 2014-15, the Boilermakers are 6-5 straight up but only 2-7-2 ATS.

Purdue has won the last four in West Lafayette and is 4-1 straight up but 0-4-1 in the five at home. Five of the last six have gone under the total.

Betting Trends

Purdue is 9-2 straight up and 6-5 ATS since its only home loss of the season, 74-69 loss to Wisconsin on Jan. 3. The Boilermakers are 7-7 ATS as a home favorite. They will be playing their third game in six days.

Maryland has lost four in a row (1-3 ATS) and six of eight (3-5 ATS). The Terps are 9-15 ATS, the worst mark in the Big Ten. They are 2-4 on the road, 3-3 ATS.

The total has gone over 16 of Purdue’s 25 games and is 9-5 in Big Ten games.


Watch-List Boilermakers

Guard Jaden Ivey and big men Zach Edey and Travion Williams are among the midseason Wooden Award top 25, and Ivey is projected as a top-five pick in the 2022 NBA draft as the best guard available.

Ivey is averaging 17.7 points. 5.0 rebounds and 3.2 assists, and he has blossomed as a perimeter defender with his physical athleticism. Ivey thrives in the moment — his 3-pointer with 0.6 seconds remaining beat Ohio State 81-78 on Jan. 30.

Edey, a 7’4 sophomore who is averaging 14.6 points and 7.5 rebounds in only 18.7 minutes as part of the Boilermakers’ interior tag-team, has a skill set unique for a player of his height. He has terrific footwork in the paint and can score with both hands.

When Williams (12.3 points, 7.8 rebounds, 3.0 assists) enters, the Boilermakers have one of the best passing big men in Division I setting up Ivey and spot-up distance shooter Sasha Stefanovic (11.6 points).

Maryland Trending Down

Interim coach Danny Manning won three of his first four games after replacing Mark Turgeon in early December, but since then the Terrpains has lost nine of 12 with a volume shooting backcourt that is not particularly effective.

Leading scorer Eric Ayala (15.1 points) is shooting 38.3 percent from the floor and No. 2 scorer Fatts Russell (13.2 points) is at 40.2 percent. The Terrapins are shooting 41.9 percent in conference games, lowest in the league.

Ayala had nine points on 4 of 14 shooting against Iowa. Forward Donta Scott, who had a career-high 25 points against Ohio State on Sunday, had eight points and four shots against the Hawkeyes.

Maryland vs Purdue Prediction

While most of Purdue’s games fall in the winnable category, the Boilers enter an advantageous stretch. In the next two, Purdue is at Northwestern and is home to a Rutgers team that is due some payback after Ron Harper’s half-court shot at the buzzer gave the Scarlet Knights a 70-68 victory on Dec. 9.

The Terps’ topsy-turvy season figures to take another turn for the worse against an inspired Purdue team.

The pick: Purdue -15 (-110)


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